Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 27.05.2023
With Bayern Munich losing at home to RB Leipzig on Saturday, the door was left wide open for Dortmund to take full advantage in the title race and they duly obliged with a 3-0 win away at Augsburg that saw them leapfrog the Bavarians to move to the summit of the table, two points clear of them going into this last round of matches. Barring a catastrophic collapse on the final day, all indications are Dortmund are set to end Bayern Munich’s decade-long stranglehold of the Bundesliga with their first title since 2011/12 season. A win is all they need here to guarantee that.
Mainz are right in the middle of the pack and have nothing to lose here. They cannot ascend to European places and are not at risk of relegation. They have been on a terrible slide in recent weeks having lost their last four straight league matches including the 4-1 thrashing at home by Stuttgart at the weekend. They now find themselves right in the middle of the title race where they could yet determine who wins it all. Bookies seem to have little faith in them if the movements on the prices for this game in the last few days is anything to go by.
With Dortmund all but set for a historic day, we expect them to go all out here. They have been in terrific form in recent weeks and their games have been producing a bucketload of goals. We fancy that trend to continue here and we are picking at least 4 goals to be scored here
Main tip: Over 3.5 Goals (go to tip details)
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Head-to-Head stats Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz
We look at the last 10 meetings between these teams:
- Dortmund dominate with 7 wins, Mainz have 2 wins and 1 game was drawn
- These matches scored an average of 3.24 goals per match
- The last time they met Dortmund won 2-1
Latest results Borussia Dortmund
- 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches
- An incredible 16 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average of 2.80 goals per match
- Thrashed Augsburg 3-0 away the last time out
Latest results Mainz
- 1 win, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches
- Just 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average of 1.20 goals per match
- Lost 4-1 at home to Stuttgart in their last match
Bundesliga Table Standings and Latest Results
Borussia Dortmund: rank 1st – 33 matches – 22 wins – 4 draws – 7 losses – 70 points
Form Guide: W-W-W-D-W
Mainz: rank 9th – 33 matches – 12 wins – 9 draws – 12 losses – 45 points
Form Guide: L-L-L-L-D
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Possible squad Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund: Kobel; Wolf, Süle, Hummels, Ryerson; Bellingham, Can, Brandt; Malen, Haller, Adeyemi
Out: Coulibaly (Sprained Knee), Meunier (Groin injury), Bynoe-Gittens (Shoulder injury)
Coach: Edin Terzic
Possible squad Mainz
Mainz 05: Dahmen; Martin, Bell, Caci; da Costa, Stach, Fernandes, Ingvartsen; Onisiwo, Lee; Ajorque
Out: Burkardt (Knee injury ), Widmer (Ankle injury), Hack (Groin injury)
Coach: Bo Svensson
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Our tip(s) and odds in detail
According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:
1) Bet on Over 3.5 Goals
Bet365 offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 3.5 Goals”
The odd of 1.57 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 64% chance that this match will witness at least 4 total goals
Odds comparison for Over 3.5 Goals
Bet365 – odd 1.57
Betway – odd 1.57
15% up to $ 60 Bet Credits in 🇰🇪
50% up to GHS 300 Bet Credits in 🇬🇭
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2) Bet on Correct Score 4-0
- Augsburg have conceded at least 3 goals in their last 4 straight games
- Dortmund have scored at least 4 goals at home in 4 of their last 5 matches
- They have also kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 home games
Odds for this bet
1xBet offers competitive odds for “Correct Score 4-0”
The odd of 11.00 means that the bookmaker is calculating with a likelihood of approx. 9% that the game will end in a correct score of 4-1 in favor of Dortmund
Odds comparison for Correct Score 4-0
1xBet – odd 11.00
Betway- odd 10.00
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