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Leicester - Arsenal
Premier League
Sun, 28.02.2021 – 2:00 PM GMT+2
our main tip:
Over 4.5 Bookings

Leicester vs Arsenal 28.02.2021

Leicester have proven to be the real deal this season. They have kept pace with the top four for the length of breadth of the season thus far. An impressive 3-1 victory over Champions Liverpool put on notice any pundits that may have doubted their ability to play the long game and maintain their top-four status. They followed it up with a 2-1 win away at Villa and are now tied with Man United on 49 points, with United edging them on goal difference.

Arsenal looked out of depth against a vastly superior Man City team in their last league outing which they lost 1-0 at home. They barely troubled the sturdy City defence and the scoreline failed to tell the story of how one-sided the game truly was. 

This one is likely to be a close encounter and if past encounters are anything to go by, there is a huge potential for cheap fouls and cynical challenges here. The reverse which Leicester won 1-0 at the Emirates Stadium had 9 total bookings. We fancy there to be at least 5 bookings in this game.

Main tip: Over 4.5 Bookings (go to tip details)

Head-to-Head stats Leicester vs Arsenal

Considering the last 22 matches between these teams:

  • Arsenal have 13 wins, Leicester have just 4 wins and they have also drawn 5 times
  • On average these matches scored 3.05 goals per match
  • Leicester won the reverse fixture 1-0

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Latest results Leicester City

  • Only lost 1 of their last 10 league matches
  • Average of 1.83 goals per match over their last 6 games
  • Beat Aston Villa 2-1 away last time out

Latest results Arsenal 

  • 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 6 matches
  • Only 4 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average of 0.80 goals per match
  • Lost 1-0 to league leaders Man City in their last league match

EPL Table Standings and Latest Results

Leicester: rank 3rd – 25 matches – 15 wins – 4 draws – 6 losses – 49 points
Form Guide (most recent first): W-W-D-W-L

Arsenal: rank 11th – 24 matches –  10 wins – 4 draws – 11 losses– 34 points
Form Guide (most recent first): L-W-L-L-D

Possible squad Leicester City

Leicester City: Ward; Pereira, Amartey, Soyuncu, Thomas; Mendy, Tielemans; Under, Maddison, Barnes; Vardy

Out: Morgan (Back),  Praet (Hamstring)

Coach: Brendan Rodgers

Possible squad Arsenal

Arsenal: Ryan; Bellerin, Holding, Gabriel, Soares; Elneny, Xhaka; Saka, Smith-Rowe, Pepe; Lacazette

Out: None

Doubtful: Partey (Ankle), Tierney (Calf)

Coach: Mikel Arteta

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Our tip(s) and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

1) Bet on Over 4.5 Bookings

Bet9ja offers the best odds for the bet “Over 4.5 Bookings”

The odd of 2.61 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 38% chance that there will be at least 5 bookings in this game

Odds comparison for Over 4.5 Bookings

Bet9ja – odd 2.61
Betway – odd 2.56
Konfambet – odd 2.47

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2) Bet on Under 2.5 goals

  • The last 4 straight meetings have had Under 2.5 goals
  • Both defences have been relatively solid in their recent matches

Odds for this bet

Bet365 offers the best odds for “Under 2.5 goals”

The odd of 1.90 means that the bookmaker is calculating with a likelihood of approx. 53% chance that there will be 2 or fewer total goals scored in the game

Odds comparisons for Under 2.5 goals

Bet365 – odd 1.90
Betway – odd 1.83
Bet9ja – odd 1.83
Betfair – odd 1.80

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