Arsenal vs Crystal Palace EFL prediction
The League Cup meeting between Arsenal FC and Crystal Palace takes place on Tuesday, 23.12.2025 at 11:00 PM GMT +3 at the Emirates Stadium. This knockout fixture brings together Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, who will rely on home advantage and a generally strong run of form, against Oliver Glasner’s Crystal Palace, a side that has shown flashes of resilience but arrives with greater recent inconsistency. The most recent direct encounter between the two sides ended in a 1:0 home victory for Arsenal, and across the last five competitive meetings Arsenal have recorded four wins and one draw against Palace. Given the circumstances of form, personnel and the home setting, this Cup tie appears poised to favour the Gunners.
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Betting tip: Correct Score 1-0 Home win
Our principal betting prediction is that Arsenal will secure victory in this tie. Several factors support this recommendation: Arsenal’s superior recent form, demonstrated by four wins in their last five matches, reflects both attacking cohesion and defensive discipline under Mikel Arteta. Crystal Palace, while capable of competitive displays under Oliver Glasner, have been more inconsistent and are likely to find it difficult to contain Arsenal’s structured press and ball progression over the course of 90 minutes. We identify the correct score 1:0 in favour of Arsenal as an attractive precise outcome. The 1:0 prediction mirrors recent low-margin meetings and the pragmatic approach often employed by Arteta in knockout fixtures, where control and defensive organisation can prevail over expansive attacking risk. This forecast acknowledges Arsenal’s ability to manage games while also recognising Palace’s capacity to occasionally limit scoring opportunities. Best odds: Correct score market: 1:0 (6.50 on 1Win).
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Both teams score? No
The recommended secondary market is that both teams will not score. This selection is grounded in the expectation of a tightly contested Cup match in which Arsenal, prioritising progression, may adopt a controlled tempo and limit Palace’s space on the counter. This market benefits from the context of knockout football, where managers often emphasise risk management. Oliver Glasner may set his team up to be defensively solid and seek to hit on transitions rather than engage in an open end-to-end contest, reducing the overall probability of both teams finding the net. Best odds on the both-teams-to-score market at this source are: NO at Betwinner with odd 1.75.
Over/Under prediction — Under 2.5 goals
Our tertiary market view is that the total number of goals in the match will remain under 2.5. This view aligns with the narrow correct-score projection and the “both teams do not score” stance: the likely outcome is a low-scoring, tightly managed affair. Arsenal’s tactical approach in Cup competitions frequently emphasizes game control and reducing unnecessary risk, while Palace, mindful of defensive fragility on certain nights, are likely to prioritize organisation and compactness.
Historical H2H context underlines a tendency for matches between these two sides to produce measured scorelines rather than high-scoring shootouts; moreover, the most recent direct meeting produced a 1:0 result. For bettors seeking a conservative and probability-driven selection, Under 2.5 goals is the preferred market. Best available reference for the over/under market indicates selection of Under 2.5 goals as the recommended outcome. Best odds for under 2.5 goals (1.85 on 1Win).
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Statistics for Arsenal FC vs Crystal Palace
Arsenal FC team news!
Arsenal enter the League Cup tie under the stewardship of Mikel Arteta and with clear momentum: four wins, no draws and a single defeat in their last five outings. Arteta’s side have displayed tactical maturity, maintaining balance between proactive possession phases and structured defensive transitions. Team news ahead of the match should focus on fitness updates and rotation choices, as Cup competitions often prompt selective changes to protect key players while preserving competitiveness. Nevertheless, the coach’s strategic clarity and the squad’s depth make Arsenal the natural favourites to progress.
Crystal Palace team news!
Crystal Palace are managed by Oliver Glasner and arrive with a recent sequence showing two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five fixtures. That pattern suggests periodic effectiveness coupled with recurring vulnerabilities, particularly against teams that press high or exploit transitional moments. Glasner’s tactical principles emphasize organisation and collective effort, and Palace may need to prioritise defensive rigidity and set-piece discipline to have a realistic chance at the Emirates. Any absences or injury concerns among Palace’s key defenders or creative outlets would further diminish their prospects.
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H2H statistics
Across the last five meetings in all competitions between Arsenal and Crystal Palace, Arsenal have secured four victories and the remaining fixture ended in a draw; Crystal Palace have not recorded a win in those five encounters. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 1:0 home win for Arsenal. This H2H trend indicates a consistent advantage for Arsenal in this matchup, both in terms of results and the ability to control the key moments that determine outcomes.
Last results Arsenal FC
Arsenal’s form in their last five matches comprises four wins, zero draws and one defeat. This sequence reflects a high level of consistency and suggests that the team is performing strongly across competitions, maintaining momentum into this Cup tie.
Last results Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace’s recent five-match record shows two wins, one draw and two defeats. That mixed form points to sporadic effectiveness interspersed with setbacks, implying that Palace remain a side capable of competitive results but lacking the sustained consistency that would make them clear favourites away at the Emirates.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Arsenal are the clear favourites for this League Cup fixture. Factors that underpin this assessment include Arsenal’s superior recent form, the H2H dominance over Palace, home advantage at the Emirates Stadium and the tactical stability introduced by Mikel Arteta. Crystal Palace, under Oliver Glasner, possess attributes that can make them difficult opponents on their day, but their inconsistency and relative struggles in recent meetings against Arsenal reduce the likelihood of an upset. The recommended forecast is a narrow home victory for Arsenal with a correct score 1-0, with supplementary predictions that both teams will not score and that the match will finish under 2.5 goals.
