A sure bet is a type of bet that allows bettors to benefit from the difference in odds offered by different bookmakers. With a sure bet prediction, you are guaranteed a profit irrespective of the outcome of the event. Generally, this involves usually placing two opposing bets, therefore a win is assured no matter the result of the event. However, it can also be used in sports with a possibility of three outcomes. The focus with sure bet prediction is to take advantage of the variation in odds on the different betting websites and placing your bet with no risk. This bet is also known as Arbitrage and it requires having multiple betting accounts. Therefore we will call this kind of bet, the “REAL SURE BET”!
BUT there is also another type of Sure Bets, which we call “STATISTICAL SURE BETS” with a VERY high probability of winning. These are backed by empirical data. They are 85-90% certain only that they carry some level of risk.
Bear in mind – Real sure bets are very hard to find & the odds advantages are gone very quick!
Due to this, we have decided to provide only statistical Sure Bets – Find them here:
Statistical Sure Bet predictions
TIP: Check out our best football tips for today on our homepage for a full range of betting tips for football competitions across the world.
REAL vs. STATISTICAL Sure Bet
Just as we have stated earlier, placing a sure bet essentially involves placing opposing bets to make some profit irrespective of the final outcome. This is the so-called REAL SUREBET. But the two bets are placed on two different betting sites as the core idea behind sure bet prediction is to maximize the difference in odds between betting sites. Essentially, a surebet prediction is to take advantage of different odds from different bookmakers.
For example, a betting site can offer higher – than average – odds for Over 2.5 goals, while another bookie offers higher – than average – odds for under 2.5 goals. This scenario provides a very good opportunity to place a sure bet and make some profit off your wagers in the process. It is important to bear in mind that Sure bets work best with a possibility of two outcomes. However, that is not to say it does not work with the possibility of three outcomes.
While there is a 2-way and 3-way surebet or hedging which guarantees the punter a profit, there is also a statistical surebet that is based on a high likelihood of winning.
Statistical sure bet prediction is basically data-backed with a high probability to win.
Why Choose Statistical Sure Bets?
Statistical sure predictions are based on data. Existing statistics are used in determining or choosing what bet to place or which team to back. For instance, when there is a fixture involving Bayern Munich and Fulham. The odds for Bayern Munich will be lesser than that of Fulham. This is because bookies are calculating that there is a high chance that Bayern will win the game. If properly used, statistical sure bets can be a profitable method. Some of the factors to consider before are:
The current form of a team is a good indicator of how well they are performing. Teams on a good run of form are likely to win, while teams with a bad run of form will struggle to win. So it is advisable to look at the recent form of teams before placing a bet.
The bigger teams usually have better players in terms of ability and performance. Hence, teams with better players will have lesser odds and are more likely to win a game.
The position of a team usually shows how well they are performing. Generally, teams that are stronger are nearer the top of the table. The position of a team can also whether they are on good form or not.
Difference Between Real Sure Bets and Statistical Sure Bets
The difference between the Real surebet prediction and the statistical sure bet is simple. While the Punter is guaranteed a win with a 2-way or 3-way sure win bet, there are no such guarantees with statistical surebet. This is because upset happens sometimes. For instance, Arsenal to win at home at 1.20 odds against Exeter. Arsenal are likely to win but there is a risk that they might lose or draw the game. But with Real surebet, there is no such worry because all the possible outcomes would have been covered.
Example of a REAL Sure Bet in Over/Under 2.5 Goals
In a football match, let us assume we want to bet on the over and under 2.5 goals. We know we are working with only the possibilities of two outcomes. There is no possibility for a third outcome. To illustrate, assuming we have settled for the highest odds available for the two markets from betting sites A and betting site B, we might have a pattern like this:
Betting Site A: The odd for Over 2.5 goals is 2.30
Betting Site B: The odd for Under 2.5 goals is 1.92
This is what a surebet prediction with a $100 stake would be like:
Using a stake of $45.56 Over 2.5 goals on odds of 2.30, you will get a return of $104.79.
Meanwhile, if you stake $54.44 on Under 2.5 goals on odds of 1.92, you will get a return of $104.52
Whichever player you back to win here, you are sure of making a profit of approx. 4,6% on your investment.
Example of Sure Bet in the 1×2 Market in a Football match
You can also use this bet on 3-way outcomes. You can capitalize on the difference in odds offered by various bookies to make some profit for yourself. Let us break it down:
Bookmaker 1: Odds for Team 1 to Win 1.30
Bookmaker 2: Odds for the game to end in a draw 8.00
Bookmaker 3: Odds for Team 2 to Win 16.00
Now dividing $100 to stake on the three possible outcomes on the different betting sites, and assuming:
We place a bet of $ 80.55 on Team 1 to Win, for a potential winning of $104.72
Another bet of $12.95 on the Match to end in a draw, a winning of $103.6 will be returned.
And a final bet of $6.5 on Team 2 to win, we would get a winning of $104
Again you are a sure winner with approx. 4% sure profit!
Sure Bets Sports and Options
As you would have found out, you can use sure bet prediction on both 2-way and 3-way outcomes. Examples of sports suited for this bet are:
Read our reviews of best betting sites for the best odds in the market.