Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction
The Bundesliga returns to BayArena on Saturday, 14 February 2026, when Bayer Leverkusen host FC St. Pauli in a Matchday 22 fixture with kick-off scheduled for 5:30 GMT+3. This contest pits a side that remains very much in the upper half of the table against one that is embroiled in a battle to secure its top-flight status. Leverkusen, guided by Kasper Hjulmand, occupy sixth place with 36 points, while Alexander Blessin’s St. Pauli sit 17th with 17 points. The statistical and recent-form evidence points to a clear advantage for the home side, although cup competitions and the variability of football always leave room for surprises.
For serious punters, our detailed Bundesliga betting tips break down team form, head-to-head stats, and value odds you shouldn’t ignore.
Main Betting Tip: Both teams score? No
While St. Pauli have demonstrated the capacity to score on occasion, their away record and overall goal return (20 scored, 35 conceded) suggest they will struggle to breach a disciplined Leverkusen defence. Leverkusen’s recent form shows a side capable of controlling matches and keeping clean sheets; the manager Kasper Hjulmand has prioritized balance and defensive organisation, particularly at home. Given St. Pauli’s travel woes and their defensive vulnerabilities, combined with Leverkusen’s ability to shut down opposition threats, the market for “Both teams to score — No” appears attractive.
Our daily BTTS prediction highlights the strongest Both Teams To Score opportunities backed by stats and recent performance.
Betting Tip 2: Leverkusen Win
Bayer Leverkusen enter this fixture with superior form and a significant home advantage. The hosts have accrued 36 points from 20 matches and possess a much stronger recent record, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings (four wins and one draw). BayArena has been a reliable venue for them, with six wins, one draw and three defeats in home league fixtures so far. Conversely, FC St. Pauli sit 17th with only 17 points and have managed only a single away victory all season, accompanied by two draws and eight defeats on the road. Head-to-head history further reinforces Leverkusen’s dominance: in the last five meetings across competitions, Leverkusen have won four with one draw and no losses. Taking these factors together, the probability strongly favours a home victory.
Betting Tip 3: Correct score 2-0
As a precise outcome, 2:0 to Leverkusen is a conservative and credible projection. It reflects the expectation that the home side will control the match, create clear chances and keep a clean sheet, while St. Pauli’s limited away threat is unlikely to produce a goal. A 2:0 scoreline combines a convincing but not excessive margin with defensive solidity from Leverkusen. This pick aligns with the forecast of a home victory and a shutout for the hosts. Best odds: Correct-score odds were not supplied in the provided data; the precise market pricing should be checked at the listed bookmaker or other reputable operators.
Statistics for Bayer Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen team news!
Kasper Hjulmand’s Bayer Leverkusen have compiled 36 points from 20 league matches, with an overall record of 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats and a goals tally of 39 scored to 27 conceded. Their home form is notable: six wins, one draw and three defeats at BayArena. Under Hjulmand, Leverkusen have displayed an organised approach, combining efficient attacking play with improved defensive resilience. Recent results show a team in strong rhythm, unbeaten in their last five matches across competitions, which suggests confidence and continuity in selection and tactics heading into this fixture.
FC St. Pauli team news!
Alexander Blessin’s FC St. Pauli occupy 17th place with 17 points, derived from 4 wins, 5 draws and 12 defeats, and a goals record of 20:35. Their away record is concerning: just one victory, two draws and eight defeats on their travels. St. Pauli must address defensive lapses while finding greater consistency in attack to improve their survival prospects. Blessin will be aware that an organized, compact performance is required to have any realistic chance of securing a positive result at BayArena, although the statistical picture indicates a challenging assignment.
H2H statistics
Across the last five head-to-head meetings between Bayer Leverkusen and FC St. Pauli in all competitions, Leverkusen have dominated with four wins and one draw; St. Pauli have not recorded a victory in these encounters. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 3:0 home win for Bayer Leverkusen, illustrating the historical gulf between the sides in recent years.
Last results Bayer Leverkusen
In their last five matches across competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have recorded four wins and one draw, remaining unbeaten in that span. That formline indicates a side with momentum and consistency, capable of controlling matches and producing results both domestically and in cup competitions.
Last results FC St. Pauli
Over their most recent five outings across competitions, FC St. Pauli have managed one win, two draws and suffered two defeats. That sequence points to irregular performances and a lack of sustained winning form, particularly concerning when competing away from home against a confident opponent.
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Conclusion
Given the comparative league positions, recent form, head-to-head history and home advantage, Bayer Leverkusen emerge as clear favourites for this Matchday 22 meeting at BayArena. Kasper Hjulmand’s side possess superior offensive output and defensive stability, and they have demonstrated resilience and consistency in recent matches. FC St. Pauli face an uphill task, with troubling away statistics and a thinner goal threat. Accordingly, the recommended primary outcome is a Both Teams to Score NO, with alternate pick on home win for Bayer Leverkusen. Complementary markets that fit the anticipated pattern are a clean-sheet outcome for the hosts (Both teams to score: No), and a conservative correct-score forecast of 2:0 in favour of Leverkusen.
