Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig DFB Prediction
The DFB-Pokal encounter between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig is scheduled for Wednesday, 11 February 2026, with kick-off at 22:45 at the Allianz Arena. This cup tie brings together two of Germany’s most prominent clubs in a fixture that traditionally carries high intensity and tactical intrigue. Bayern arrive with a strong recent result and the home advantage at one of Europe’s most imposing stadiums, while Leipzig will seek to unsettle the hosts under Ole Werner’s direction. The most recent direct meeting ended emphatically in Bayern’s favour with a 5:1 away victory, a result that will influence expectations ahead of this cup tie.
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Main Tip: Under 3.5 Goals
While Bayern can produce high-scoring displays, cup matches often adopt a more cautious tactical posture, with both coaches acutely aware of the knockout stakes. Vincent Kompany’s Bayern are likely to prioritize controlled dominance rather than reckless forward surges, and Ole Werner’s Leipzig will aim to remain compact and exploit counter-attacking opportunities. The combination of disciplined defensive structures and the knockout format makes an outcome with fewer than four goals plausible. We reckon that this match will produce less than four total goals with odds of 2.20 on Paripesa.
Betting Tip 2: Bayern Munich Win -Tip 1
Bayern Munich are the clear favourites to progress. The context support a straight home victory selection. Bayern have a convincing head-to-head record against Leipzig in recent meetings (four wins and one draw in the last five encounters across all competitions) and arrive with strong attacking momentum after recording a 5:1 league triumph in their latest outing. Vincent Kompany’s side are at home on familiar turf where they typically exert control through possession and high-quality finishing. The best available odd for a Bayern victory on the supplied market is 1.30 at Paripesa, reflecting the market’s expectation of a home success.
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Betting Tip 3: Both Teams To Score? Yes
Despite Bayern’s dominance in the head-to-head series, Leipzig possess sufficient attacking quality to breach Bayern’s defence. RB Leipzig have shown resilience on the road, including a recent 2:1 victory away from home, and Ole Werner’s squad are capable of creating chances in transitional phases and set-pieces. Bayern have also been prolific in attack, which increases the likelihood of Leipzig conceding but also scoring on the counter or from set-plays. The best odd for the “Both teams to score — Yes” market provided in the data is 1.48 at Paripesa. For bettors who prefer a combination of a Bayern victory with both teams on the scoresheet, this market aligns with the expectation of a competitive cup tie where Bayern prevail but Leipzig find the net.
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Statistics for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich team news!
Bayern Munich, under the stewardship of coach Vincent Kompany, enter the fixture with a positive needle in terms of recent results and confidence. In their most recent match before this cup tie they produced an emphatic 5:1 home win, which should have bolstered attacking confidence and team morale. Over the last five matches across all competitions, Bayern have registered 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. This sequence indicates a generally strong form, with the squad demonstrating scoring potency and the ability to control matches. Kompany’s tactical approach blends disciplined structure with quick transitions, and Bayern will rely on their depth, home advantage at the Allianz Arena, and set-piece quality to impose themselves on this tie.
RB Leipzig team news!
RB Leipzig, coached by Ole Werner, approach the tie with mixed recent results but with the capacity to cause problems. Their last match prior to the cup meeting was a 2:1 away victory, providing a timely confidence boost. In their last five fixtures across all competitions, Leipzig have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, reflecting some inconsistency but also an ability to win on the road. Under Werner, Leipzig typically emphasize transitional play, pressing triggers and quick vertical movements; these characteristics can be effective against teams that commit numbers forward. However, Leipzig must contend with Bayern’s superior head-to-head pedigree and the challenge of containing Bayern’s attacking threats away from home.
H2H statistics
Head-to-head data underlines Bayern Munich’s recent superiority. The last direct meeting between the two clubs resulted in a 5:1 victory for Bayern Munich. Looking at the last five meetings across all competitions, Bayern have won four times and one match ended in a draw; RB Leipzig have no wins in that sequence. This historical dominance should be considered when assessing probability and market pricing; it provides a clear rationale for favoring the home side in a cup encounter where psychological edges can be meaningful.
Last results Bayern Munich
Over the most recent five-match window across all competitions, Bayern Munich have achieved 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Their current form can be described as largely positive: they have produced multiple convincing performances, including a high-scoring victory that will lift confidence going into the cup tie. The pattern of results suggests a team capable of both controlling games and finishing chances.
Last results RB Leipzig
In their last five matches across all competitions, RB Leipzig have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The club’s form is mixed, with occasional strong away performances but also vulnerabilities when facing high-quality opposition. Leipzig’s recent results indicate they can compete effectively on their day but may lack the consistency shown by Bayern in the same period.
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Conclusion
Bayern Munich are the clear favourites for this DFB-Pokal tie at the Allianz Arena, on account of recent form, historical head-to-head superiority and home advantage. Vincent Kompany’s team combine attacking firepower with tactical control, while RB Leipzig under Ole Werner possess the attacking tools to score but have struggled to convert prior meetings into victories. That said, we predict that this match will return less than four total goals, accompanied by a victory for Bayern Munich and a both teams to score outcome.
