Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
The Bundesliga returns to action on Sunday, 14 December 2025, when SC Freiburg host Borussia Dortmund at the Europa-Park Stadion (kick-off 5:30 PM GMT +3) in Matchday 14. This fixture pits a mid-table Freiburg side against a top-three Dortmund outfit. Freiburg occupy 9th position with 16 points from 13 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 20 and conceding 22; their home form reads 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Borussia Dortmund, by contrast, sit third with 28 points from 13 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat), a goals tally of 23:11 and an impressive away record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The recent head-to-head history strongly favours Dortmund, who have won each of the last five meetings, including a 4:1 success in the most recent direct encounter.
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Betting prediction – Both teams score? Yes
Prediction: Both teams will score. This betting tip is supported by both clubs’ recent tendencies in attack and defence. Freiburg have registered 20 goals across 13 league fixtures while conceding 22; such figures indicate that Freiburg are capable of finding the net even when they do not secure points. Dortmund, with 23 goals scored, possess the quality to break down opponents away from home. The head-to-head recent meetings have frequently produced multiple goals and Dortmund’s higher offensive output paired with Freiburg’s defensive lapses make BTTS a credible expectation. Best available odds on this market (provided data): Both teams to score — YES at 1win with odd 1.65.
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Betting prediction — Away win (Tip 2)
Betting prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win. Borussia Dortmund arrive as clear favourites based on current league position, superior points tally and overall goal difference. Their away performances this season have been convincing, with an away record that underlines their capacity to secure results on the road. In addition, the head-to-head statistics are heavily one-sided in Dortmund’s favour: five consecutive wins against Freiburg in all competitions is indicative of a tactical and psychological edge that is unlikely to be overturned overnight. Freiburg’s defensive record (22 goals conceded in 13 matches) suggests vulnerability to a Dortmund attack that has been efficient in front of goal (23 scored). Given these factors, an away win is the primary selection. Best available odds for the 1×2 market (provided data): Tip 2 (Borussia Dortmund) at Betwinner with odd 2.17.
Over/Under – Over 2.5 Goals
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals. The rationale for this market selection stems from the combination of Dortmund’s attacking potency and Freiburg’s goals conceded figure. Recent matches involving these teams and their direct encounters often produce multiple goals, and the tactical setups expected in this fixture suggest open phases and goal-scoring opportunities for both sides. Consequently, Over 2.5 goals is a plausible outcome for bettors anticipating an open and eventful game. Best available odds for Over 2.5 Goals: 1.80 on 1Win.
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Statistics for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg team news!
Coach Julian Schuster’s Freiburg have produced mixed results this season, reflected in 16 points from 13 matches and a ninth-place standing. Freiburg’s home record (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat) demonstrates that they remain difficult to dislodge at the Europa-Park Stadion, where tactical organisation and set-piece delivery have been focal points. Offensively they have managed 20 league goals, but defensive fragility — 22 goals conceded — remains an area of concern that the coach will need to address. Schuster’s approach traditionally emphasises compactness and collective defending; however, against an opponent of Dortmund’s calibre, Freiburg will need both tactical discipline and clinical finishing to secure a positive result.
Borussia Dortmund team news!
Under coach Niko Kovač, Borussia Dortmund sit third in the table with a notable points haul of 28 from 13 rounds. Dortmund’s record reflects consistency and effectiveness: 8 wins, 4 draws and a single defeat, with a goal difference that underlines their attacking strengths and improved defensive stability (23:11). Kovač’s side have shown adaptability on the road, producing an away record that should instil confidence for this fixture. Tactical balance and a capacity to exploit transitional moments make Dortmund a pronounced threat against middling defensive units. Expect Dortmund to deploy an assertive game plan aimed at controlling the tempo and creating high-quality chances.
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H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head sequence is unequivocal: in the last five meetings across all competitions, SC Freiburg have not recorded a single win or draw, while Borussia Dortmund have won all five encounters. The last direct meeting ended in a 4:1 victory for Dortmund. This sustained dominance points to both a tactical mismatch and a psychological advantage for Dortmund in fixtures against Freiburg.
Last results SC Freiburg
In their last five matches across all competitions Freiburg have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Their current form reflects inconsistency: moments of attacking effectiveness are offset by defensive lapses that have cost them points. The recent away loss to Heidenheim (1:2) indicates vulnerability when facing direct pressure.
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Last results Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund’s recent form across their last five matches reads 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. This sequence underlines greater stability and the ability to accumulate points consistently. A recent 2:2 home draw in a European fixture demonstrates that while Dortmund are potent, they are not immune to conceding and may leave spaces that opponents can exploit.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Borussia Dortmund enter this fixture as favourites due to superior league position, better points-per-game, stronger away form and a commanding head-to-head record against SC Freiburg. Julian Schuster’s side will rely on home advantage and cohesive defending to challenge Dortmund, but the statistical indicators favour an away victory. Betting markets reflecting an away win (Tip 2) and both teams to score are coherent with the available data; Over 2.5 goals is also a plausible scenario given the attacking figures and defensive records. The recommended primary outcome is both teams to score, an away win for Borussia Dortmund, and over 2.5 goals. As always, readers should assess current team news and line-ups shortly before kickoff and gamble responsibly.
