RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich prediction
The Bundesliga returns with a high-profile encounter on Saturday, 17 January 2026, when RB Leipzig host Bayern Munich at the Red Bull Arena. This Matchday 18 fixture kicks off at 8:30 PM GMT +3 and pits a side firmly placed in the upper tier of the table against the runaway leaders. Leipzig arrive in fourth position with 29 points from 15 matches (9 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats), while champions-elect Bayern top the standings with 44 points from 16 matches (14 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats). The historical context and current form make this a compelling clash: Bayern have established clear superiority in recent head-to-head meetings, and Leipzig will need to produce an exceptional performance at home if they are to upset Vincent Kompany’s near-invincible unit.
Both teams enter this fixture having won their most recent outings. RB Leipzig recorded a 2:0 home victory against SC Freiburg, while Bayern Munich prevailed 3:1 away at 1. FC Köln. The last competitive meeting between these clubs ended in a emphatic 6:0 home win for Bayern, and across the last five encounters in all competitions Bayern have registered three wins to Leipzig’s none, with two draws. Given these facts, the match presents an intriguing tactical test: Ole Werner’s side must balance attacking ambition with defensive caution against a Bayern side that has been prolific in front of goal this season.
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Betting prediction for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich
Main betting prediction — Both teams score? Yes
The primary betting tip is that both teams will score. Leipzig are productive at home and have the offensive capability to breach Bayern’s defence on occasion, particularly when Bayern push forward and open space in transition. Conversely, Bayern’s attacking potency virtually ensures they will create chances; Leipzig’s defensive record (19 goals conceded across the season) suggests they are not impervious. The recent form of both sides supports a contest with goals at both ends: Leipzig have shown attacking confidence, and Bayern have been scoring freely. Best available odds on this market: Both teams to score — YES at Paripesa, 1.40.
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2nd betting prediction — 1X2: Away win (Tip 2)
Our secondary betting prediction for this fixture is an away victory for Bayern Munich. The Bavarians have been the dominant force in the Bundesliga this season, remaining unbeaten with 14 wins and 2 draws and boasting an extraordinary goals record (63 scored, 12 conceded). Bayern’s away record is particularly impressive: six wins and one draw from seven matches. In contrast, Leipzig, while solid at home (6 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat), have displayed vulnerability against elite opposition and have lost four of their 15 league matches. The balance of quality, recent head-to-head outcomes (three wins to Bavaria in the last five), and momentum favours Vincent Kompany’s side. Best available odds on the 1X2 market: Tip 2 at 1Win, 1.57.
Third betting prediction: Over 3.5 goals
The third prediction is an expectation of a high-scoring game, specifically over 3.5 goals. Bayern’s matches frequently produce multiple goals, and their aggregate scoring rate—63 goals in the campaign—indicates an offensive approach that often yields high totals. Leipzig’s encounters at the Red Bull Arena have also featured several goals, and recent direct fixtures between the two sides have not been low-scoring affairs. Given Bayern’s capacity to score several times in a match and Leipzig’s ability to respond, a total exceeding 3.5 goals is a sensible selection. Best available odds for the Over/Under market: Over 3.5 goals (1.85 on Paripesa).
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Statistics for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig team news!
RB Leipzig occupy fourth place with 29 points from 15 contests, compiled via 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, and a goals record of 30 scored and 19 conceded. At home they are strong, having won six of seven matches, and their recent form across all competitions stands at three wins and two defeats from the last five matches. Under coach Ole Werner, Leipzig have shown tactical flexibility and attacking intent, particularly at the Red Bull Arena. Werner’s team will aim to leverage home advantage, but must address defensive lapses that Bayern can exploit with their depth and forward quality.
Bayern Munich team news!
Bayern Munich top the Bundesliga with 44 points from 16 matches, accumulated through 14 wins and two draws, and have yet to suffer a defeat this season. They have registered an exceptional goal tally (63 for, 12 against) and are unbeaten away, with six wins and a draw from seven road fixtures. Coach Vincent Kompany has overseen a side that combines ruthless finishing with structural solidity. Bayern’s form over the last five matches reads four wins and one draw, underscoring their consistency and the difficulty opponents face when attempting to contain them.
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H2H statistics
In the recent head-to-head ledger across the last five meetings in all competitions, RB Leipzig have failed to secure a victory against Bayern Munich, recording 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. The most recent direct meeting was a 6:0 triumph for Bayern Munich at Leipzig, a result that underscores the gulf that has sometimes existed between the sides in recent encounters. The historical pattern gives Bayern a psychological and tactical edge heading into this fixture.
Last results RB Leipzig
Over their last five matches across all competitions, RB Leipzig have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Their current form indicates that while they are capable of strong performances, they remain susceptible to setback when facing top-tier opposition. The home victory in their latest match provides a confidence boost, but consistency will be key if they are to challenge Bayern.
Last results Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich’s recent sequence comprises 4 wins and 1 draw from their last five matches across all competitions. This run highlights their unbeaten domestic campaign and the level of performance maintained under Vincent Kompany. Their momentum and scoring frequency make them the pre-match favourites.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Bayern Munich enter this fixture as clear favourites. Their unbeaten record, superior goal differential, and convincing head-to-head history against RB Leipzig position them as the more likely winners. Ole Werner’s side can draw encouragement from home form and recent positive results, but overcoming Bayern’s quality will require tactical discipline and clinical finishing. Considering form, statistics and recent encounters, the prediction favours an away victory for Bayern, with both teams likely to score and the match to yield more than 3.5 goals.
