RB Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction
The Bundesliga resumes midweek as RB Leipzig host SC Freiburg on Wednesday, 14 January 2026. The fixture, which is a Matchday 17 at the Red Bull Arena, pits third-placed Leipzig (29 points) against eighth-placed Freiburg (23 points). Leipzig arrive with a strong home record this season — six wins, no draws and one defeat at the Red Bull Arena — and an overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with a goals tally of 30 scored and 19 conceded. Freiburg have accumulated 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats (27:27) and show a more modest away record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats on the road.
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Main Tip: Correct Score 1-1
Although the primary forecast favours a Leipzig victory, the second and third selections reflect the likelihood of a closely contested encounter. A 1:1 outcome aligns with expectations of a match where Leipzig create clear opportunities but Freiburg respond resiliently and find an away goal. The last direct meeting ended in a goalless draw (0:0), and recent head-to-heads have been generally competitive. Betwinner lists 1:1 as a correct-score option for this fixture; and the odds is presented as 7.50.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? — Yes
While Leipzig possess a strong defensive record overall, Freiburg have shown attacking potency, registering 27 goals in the season and arriving with positive form in recent matches. Freiburg’s balanced scoring profile combined with Leipzig’s propensity to concede occasionally – particularly in high-tempo Bundesliga encounters – makes the both-teams-to-score market appealing. Backing both teams to score is supported by Betwinner’s market where the yes option is offered at 1.55, which is the best available odd provided for this market.
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Betting Tip 3: Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals. Despite Leipzig’s offensive capabilities, the fixture has the ingredients of a cautious tactical duel. Freiburg’s recent form demonstrates compactness and defensive organisation under Julian Schuster, while Leipzig may adopt a measured approach after their heavy recent defeat, seeking to control tempo rather than open the game completely. The combination of a home side looking to reassert discipline and an away team comfortable in structured, lower-scoring encounters supports an Under 2.5 prediction. The available market reference indicates Under 2.5 goals is the selected over/under line; bettors should consult Betwinner for the specific odds on this market as listed by the provider.
Statistics for RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig team news!
Coach Ole Werner’s RB Leipzig occupy third place with 29 points from 15 league matches. Leipzig’s home record this season is impressive: six wins, no draws and a single defeat, underlining their capacity to secure full points in front of their supporters. Across all competitions, Leipzig have recorded nine wins, two draws and four defeats, scoring 30 goals and conceding 19. Werner will be focused on restoring defensive stability after the team’s recent 1:3 home loss to Bayer Leverkusen; however, their attacking personnel remain capable of producing decisive moments. Expect Werner to set up the team to control possession and exploit wide areas, while prioritising a compact shape to limit transitions.
SC Freiburg team news!
Julian Schuster’s Freiburg sit eighth with 23 points and a season record of six wins, five draws and five defeats, with an exact goals balance of 27:27. Freiburg’s away record — two wins, two draws and four defeats — suggests they can be vulnerable on the road but also capable of picking up results through disciplined organisation and efficient finishing. The team arrives after a morale-boosting 2:1 home win against Hamburger SV, and Schuster will likely emphasise defensive cohesion and quick, decisive counterattacks. Freiburg’s ability to score away from home makes them a threat, though they typically prefer structure and compact phases over open, high-scoring affairs.
H2H statistics
In the last five meetings between the sides in all competitions, RB Leipzig have dominated with four wins and one draw; Freiburg have not recorded a victory in those five fixtures. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 0:0 draw, illustrating that matches between these clubs can be tightly contested and occasionally low-scoring. The H2H history underpins Leipzig’s psychological and tactical advantage, though Freiburg have demonstrated the capacity to frustrate their visitors.
Last results RB Leipzig
In their last five matches across all competitions, RB Leipzig have registered 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. That sequence reflects a degree of inconsistency in recent weeks; the team’s current form can be described as mixed, with periods of strong performance interspersed with setbacks — most notably the recent home loss to Bayer Leverkusen, which underlines the need for Werner’s side to reassert control.
Last results SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg’s last five matches across all competitions have yielded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The club’s recent form is therefore relatively positive, indicating momentum and resilience under Julian Schuster. Freiburg’s capacity to string together results has helped consolidate their mid-table position and suggests they will travel with confidence.
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Conclusion
RB Leipzig enter this fixture as favourites on account of their superior league position, dominant home form and favourable head-to-head record. Nevertheless, Freiburg present a disciplined and counter-capable opponent who have shown recent good form and the ability to score away goals. The recommended primary bet is a home win for RB Leipzig, supported by Betwinner’s best-quoted odd of 1.86 for Tip 1 in the dataset provided. Complementary selections reflect a cautious, competitive encounter: both teams to score (Yes at 1.55 on Betwinner), Under 2.5 goals (market available at Betwinner) and a 1:1 correct score as a plausible specific outcome. Taken together, these predictions balance Leipzig’s favourites’ status with Freiburg’s resilience and suggest a closely fought match in which the home side should ultimately have the edge.
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