RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction
The Bundesliga returns to the Red Bull Arena on Saturday, 18 October 2025, when RB Leipzig host Hamburger SV in a Matchday 7 encounter. Kick-off is scheduled for 16:30 GMT+3. This fixture pairs a side comfortably placed in the upper reaches of the table — RB Leipzig sit third with 13 points — against a Hamburger SV team that has shown moments of resilience but occupies ninth place on eight points. Leipzig’s home form has been particularly strong so far this season, while Hamburg have yet to claim an away victory. The recent direct meeting ended in a decisive 4:0 win for RB Leipzig, which remains relevant in assessing psychological advantages heading into this match.
The Bundesliga predictions have full details on the upcoming Der Klassiker with a suggested pick for this tighter contest in Germany.
Main Betting Tip: Under 3.5 goals
A prediction for a relatively modest-scoring affair is supported by both teams’ average defensive solidity and the pragmatic nature of many Bundesliga midweek and weekend encounters. Leipzig has eight goals scored and conceded across six matches, while Hamburg’s 6:8 tally suggests matches with a moderate total number of goals. Given the competitive stakes and the likelihood that Leipzig will look to control tempo and limit Hamburg’s transitions, a game with fewer than four goals is a sensible expectation. The Under 3.5 market suits conservative stakes and can often provide value when a favourite aims to manage a lead.
Betting Tip 2: RB Leipzig Win
Leipzig are the clear favourites to claim all three points at the Red Bull Arena. Their current league standing (third) and superior recent form — four wins and one draw in their last five matches in all competitions — contrast with Hamburger SV’s more erratic sequence of results. RB Leipzig also boast an unblemished home record this season: two wins from two home outings. Manager Ole Werner has established a coherent tactical identity that has delivered defensive solidity and enough attacking return to keep them competitive at the top end of the table. Given the head-to-head history (three wins in the last five meetings for Leipzig, including a 4:0 victory), the probability favours a home success. Best quoted 1X2 odds: Home win is at 1xBet, odds 1.47.
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Betting Tip 3: Both teams score? Yes
Despite Leipzig’s generally solid defensive record, Hamburger SV possess sufficient attacking capability to find the net. Hamburg have registered six goals so far this season, and their recent 4:0 triumph demonstrates their potential to break through when in form. Leipzig’s matches have also produced goals at both ends on a number of occasions; the home side’s 8:8 goals record indicates that while they score, they are not immune to conceding. The tactical approaches of both coaches — Ole Werner for Leipzig and Merlin Polzin for Hamburg — suggest that the visitors will not sit completely deep and will endeavour to attack, particularly if they fall behind.
Statistics for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig team news!
RB Leipzig come into the fixture with 13 points and occupy third position in the Bundesliga table after seven rounds. Their record reads four wins, one draw and one defeat in the league, with an overall goals record of 8:8. At home they are unbeaten this season with two wins from two matches at the Red Bull Arena. Under coach Ole Werner, Leipzig have shown a blend of organisation and attacking intent; Werner’s tactical setup has yielded four wins and one draw in the club’s last five fixtures across all competitions. This consistency makes Leipzig favourites for the upcoming encounter, particularly on familiar turf.
Hamburger SV team news!
Hamburger SV arrive with eight points and sit ninth in the standings. Their domestic record stands at two wins, two draws and two defeats, with a goals aggregate of 6:8. Hamburg have not yet won away in the league this season: their away record reads zero wins, two draws and one defeat. Coach Merlin Polzin has overseen a mixed run of form: in the last five matches across competitions Hamburg have secured two wins, one draw and suffered two defeats. Polzin will need to balance defensive discipline with the visitors’ desire to exploit set-piece and counter-attacking opportunities if they are to threaten Leipzig at the Red Bull Arena.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings across all competitions favours RB Leipzig: three wins for Leipzig, one draw and one victory for Hamburger SV. The most recent direct encounter concluded as a 4:0 home win for RB Leipzig, a result that underscores the gulf Leipzig were able to establish in that fixture. Historical context suggests Leipzig hold a psychological and tactical edge, though Hamburg remain capable of disrupting expectations on the day.
Last results RB Leipzig
In their last five matches across competitions, RB Leipzig have recorded four wins and one draw, with no defeats. This strong recent form indicates a team in good rhythm, competitive on both domestic and continental fronts and capable of registering positive results consistently.
Last results Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV’s form over their most recent five matches reads two wins, one draw and two defeats. The pattern indicates variability: Hamburg can produce convincing performances but have also been susceptible to lapses that cost points. That inconsistency will be a challenge to overcome against a top-three side away from home.
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Conclusion
RB Leipzig enter this Matchday 7 fixture as the clear favourites. Home advantage, consistent form under Ole Werner, a superior league position and a favourable recent head-to-head record all point toward a Leipzig victory. Hamburger SV, coached by Merlin Polzin, possess attacking qualities and the capacity to score, but their lack of away wins and mixed form reduces their probability of taking maximum points. The recommended outlook is a Leipzig win, coupled with both teams scoring and a match containing fewer than four goals.
