Union Berlin vs Dortmund prediction
The Bundesliga returns on Saturday, 24 January 2026, with a high-profile encounter between 1. FC Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund at An der Alten Försterei. This match, scheduled for kick-off at 20:30 and forming part of Matchday 19, pits the ambitious hosts against one of the division’s leading sides. Union arrive at this fixture on 24 points and occupy ninth place in the table, while Borussia Dortmund sit second with 39 points. The contrast in league positions and recent form sets the scene for an intriguing tactical battle under the lights in Köpenick.
This preview offers a considered betting prediction and analysis of the likely match scenarios, taking into account recent form, head-to-head history, home and away records, and available betting markets. Our principal betting tip is an away win for Borussia Dortmund (Tip 2), complemented by additional selections that reflect expectations of both teams contributing to the scoreline and a relatively low total-goals game.
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Main Tip: Both Teams To Score? Yes
Union have averaged goals in their home fixtures despite defensive vulnerabilities, and their matches frequently produce both sides on the scoresheet. Dortmund are an attack-oriented side capable of creating chances against compact defences, but they have conceded at times this season; their overall goals-against figure (17) suggests they are not impervious. Considering Union’s ability to find the net at An der Alten Försterei and Dortmund’s propensity to both score and concede, a “Both teams to score: Yes” bet aligns with expected match dynamics. This selection is also supported by recent form in which both teams have been involved in matches featuring goals at both ends, and it is priced at 1.73 on 1xBet.
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Betting Tip 2: Under 2.5 Goals
While both sides can produce attacking moments, this match is likely to be a tactically cautious contest. Union’s recent form shows a strong defensive focus under Steffen Baumgart, and the home side have tended to produce compact, disciplined performances. Dortmund, despite their attacking prowess, often register matches where goals are limited when facing organised opposition on the road. The combination of Union’s defensive approach and Dortmund’s tactical caution in away fixtures makes an Under 2.5 goals outcome credible. It is available on 1xBet at 1.94.
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Betting Tip 3: Correct score: 1-1
Betting tip: Correct score 1:1. As a value ancillary selection, 1:1 captures the expected tightness and the likelihood of both teams scoring without a high overall tally. It acknowledges Dortmund’s superiority while allowing for Union’s capacity to breach Dortmund’s defence at home. This scoreline also reflects historical tendencies in close encounters between a disciplined Union side and an efficient Dortmund outfit. The correct score market for 1:1 is listed at 1xBet; please check the bookmaker for the precise odds available.
Statistics for 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Union Berlin team news!
- FC Union Berlin occupy ninth position in the Bundesliga standings with 24 points, accumulated from six wins, six draws and six defeats. The team has scored 24 goals and conceded 27. At home, Union have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats, indicating a modestly positive return on their own turf but also a propensity for tight contests. Manager Steffen Baumgart has instilled a combative and organised style; Union’s recent run includes two wins and three draws from their last five matches across all competitions, an undefeated sequence that speaks to improved consistency in match management. Their most recent outing ended in a 1:1 away draw against VfB Stuttgart.
Borussia Dortmund team news!
Borussia Dortmund present an impressive profile as the Bundesliga’s second-placed team with 39 points, produced by eleven wins, six draws and only a single defeat. Their goal record stands at 35 scored and 17 conceded, highlighting both attacking efficiency and a relatively secure rearguard. Dortmund’s away form is strong: four wins, four draws and one defeat on the road. Under the stewardship of Niko Kovač, Dortmund have won three and drawn one of their last five matches, though they suffered a 0:2 defeat away to Tottenham Hotspur in their most recent outing, which may influence team selection and mentality ahead of this weekend’s trip.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings (all competitions) favours Borussia Dortmund decisively: Union have secured 1 win, there have been 0 draws, and Dortmund have claimed 4 wins. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 3:0 home win for Borussia Dortmund, underlining Dortmund’s recent superiority when the clubs have met.
Last results 1. FC Union Berlin
In their last five matches across all competitions, 1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, registering no defeats in that sequence. Their present form is therefore unbeaten and indicative of a side capable of grinding out results and maintaining defensive stability.
Last results Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund’s last five matches across all competitions have yielded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The recent defeat away to Tottenham is the sole blemish in an otherwise positive run, and it may prompt tactical recalibration. Overall, Dortmund’s form remains strong and competitive.
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Conclusion
On balance, Borussia Dortmund enter this fixture as clear favourites by virtue of their superior league position, better goal difference and stronger overall record. Their away resilience and dominant head-to-head history against Union Berlin further support a prediction in favour of Dortmund. Nonetheless, Union’s recent unbeaten run and home resilience suggest that the hosts will not be easily overrun; the match is likely to be close and tactically disciplined. Our principal recommendation is both teams to score: yes, Under 2.5 goals and Correct Score 1-1.
