Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction
The Bundesliga fixture between 1. FC Union Berlin and RB Leipzig will take place on Friday, 12.12.2025, at 22:30, on Matchday 14, at the An der Alten Försterei. This encounter pits a mid-table Union side seeking consistency against a high-flying Leipzig team that continues to challenge at the top of the table. Union enters the match with 15 points and occupies 12th place, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a goal difference of 16:22. Their home record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats. Leipzig, by contrast, sits second with 29 points from 9 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 28 and conceding 13; their away record reads 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats.
The last direct meeting between these clubs ended in a 0:0 draw; across the most recent five meetings, Leipzig leads with two wins to Union’s one, alongside two draws. Form coming into the game shows Union with one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five matches, while Leipzig has recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat over the same span. The respective managers are Steffen Baumgart for Union and Ole Werner for Leipzig.
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Betting Tip 1: RB Leipzig to Win
Our principal betting prediction for this fixture is an away victory for RB Leipzig (Tip 2). Leipzig’s superior league position, goal differential, and general consistency away from home make them the clear favourites on paper. They arrive having scored freely in recent matches and possessing greater squad depth and attacking variety. Union have struggled for goals themselves (16 in the league) and are vulnerable defensively, a situation compounded by inconsistent form — Union have suffered more defeats than wins this season. Tactical balance and recent momentum suggest Leipzig is better placed to control the game and convert chances. The best available odds for an away win in the supplied data are 2.11 at Betway, which represents reasonable value for backing Leipzig in a match where they are favourites by virtue of form and personnel.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Our second betting tip predicts that both teams will score (Both teams score: Yes). Despite Leipzig’s defensive solidity, their matches frequently produce goals at both ends, and Union retain the capacity to breach better defences at home, particularly from set-pieces and transitional moments. Union’s attacking output has been modest, but playing at the An der Alten Försterei often provides them a platform to find the net against stronger opposition. Conversely, Leipzig’s high-tempo approach and forward lines are likely to produce at least one goal. The best quoted odds for “Both teams to score — Yes” in the provided information is 1.67 at Paripesa, making this market an attractive complement to an away-win selection.
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Prediction 3: Over/Under – Over 2.5 goals
The third prediction is for over 2.5 goals in the match. Both teams have shown the capacity to be involved in matches with multiple goals: Leipzig have a notably strong attacking record (28 goals in the league), and Union, while less prolific, have conceded frequently this campaign (22 goals against). Leipzig’s recent large-margin victory in their last fixture indicates their potential to contribute decisively to a higher-scoring game, while Union’s defensive frailties can open the door to further scoring. The supplied data lists the market “Over 2.5 goals” as the recommended Over/Under option; specific best odds for this market were not provided in the source information, so it is advisable to compare prices across bookmakers for the most favourable return.
Statistics for 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
1. FC Union Berlin team news!
Manager: Steffen Baumgart. Union occupies 12th place with 15 points after 13 league rounds. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, coupled with a goal tally of 16 and 22 conceded, underlines an imbalance between attack and defence. At home, Union have been moderate, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, indicating that while they can be competitive at the An der Alten Försterei, they are not impervious. Baumgart will be mindful of tightening the defensive organisation and finding more incisive solutions in the final third. Injuries, suspensions, or rotation decisions may shape Union’s ability to press and sustain intensity against a direct opponent like Leipzig.
RB Leipzig team news!
Manager: Ole Werner. Leipzig is second in the Bundesliga table with 29 points, displaying one of the league’s most productive attacks (28 goals) and a solid defensive record (13 conceded). Their away statistics — 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats — demonstrate effectiveness on the road, although not invulnerability. Werner’s side comes into this fixture buoyed by a convincing recent victory at home and will aim to carry forward attacking momentum while maintaining defensive discipline. Squad rotation is a possibility given fixture congestion, but Leipzig’s depth affords them multiple tactical options to exploit Union’s weaknesses.
H2H statistics
Over the last five meetings across all competitions, the head-to-head record reads: 1 win for 1. FC Union Berlin, 2 draws and 2 wins for RB Leipzig. The most recent encounter ended 0:0, suggesting that while Leipzig have been the more successful side overall in recent meetings, Union can deliver disciplined displays and frustrate opponents.
Last results 1. FC Union Berlin
In their last five matches across all competitions, Union have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats. The current form indicates a side struggling for consistent positive outcomes and grappling with defensive lapses and limited offensive returns. Their most recent match concluded with a 1:3 away loss to VfL Wolfsburg, further emphasising short-term difficulties.
Last results RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig’s recent form across the last five fixtures stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat. This sequence demonstrates greater consistency and a higher level of performance compared with their opponents. Leipzig’s most recent match was a commanding 6:0 home victory over Eintracht Frankfurt, a result that underscores their attacking potency and confidence ahead of this trip.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, RB Leipzig approach this fixture as clear favourites. Their superior league position, recent form, and prolific scoring record underpin the assessment that they are the more likely winners. Union’s home advantage and capacity to score cannot be discounted, but their defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent recent form reduce their prospects of obtaining a positive result against a top opponent. The recommended betting strategy is to back an away win for RB Leipzig (Tip 2), combined with the view that both teams will score and that the match will produce over 2.5 goals; a plausible correct-score prediction is 1:2 in Leipzig’s favour. Bettors should, as always, compare market prices across bookmakers to identify the most favourable odds and consider staking sensibly in line with risk tolerance.
