Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction
The UEFA Champions League fixture between SL Benfica and Real Madrid will take place on Wednesday, 28.01.2026 at 23:00, staged at the Estádio da Luz. This encounter forms part of the competition’s Ligaphase, matchday 8, and carries relevance for both clubs’ aspirations in the group. Benfica arrive with modest returns in the group, while Real Madrid occupy a significantly stronger position and will travel to Lisbon seeking to consolidate their standing. The following analysis and betting prediction evaluate current form, squad context and statistical indicators to deliver considered wagering suggestions for this high-profile European meeting.
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Main Tip: Real Madrid – Tip 2
Real Madrid lead the comparative metrics in group performance, sitting on 15 points and occupying third place in the table with five victories and only two defeats. Their offensive productivity in the competition is superior, reflected in 19 goals scored compared to Benfica’s six. Conversely, Benfica have struggled in the group with only two wins, five defeats and a negative goal difference. Recent domestic momentum for Benfica (a convincing 4:0 win in their last match) should not be understated, yet the aggregate data and the visitors’ away resilience suggest Real Madrid are the more likely side to secure three points. The best available odds for this market is priced at 1.70 on Paripesa.
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Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Both clubs possess offensive capabilities that make a goalless contest improbable. Real Madrid have demonstrated consistent scoring across competitions, contributing to their 19 goals in the group, while Benfica — despite defensive inconsistencies — have shown they can find the net, as evidenced by their recent 4:0 domestic victory. The statistical pattern suggests a match dynamic in which Real Madrid will press and create chances, and Benfica will exploit spaces on the counter or via set-pieces. For customers assessing the goals markets, the best listed odds for Both Teams to Score -YES are Paripesa 1.55.
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Betting Tip 3: Over 3.5 goals
This market anticipates an open, high-scoring affair. Real Madrid’s attacking productivity juxtaposed with Benfica’s defensive fragility makes a contest with four or more goals a realistic prospect. Benfica’s need for points in the group stage may encourage a forward posture, particularly at home, while Real Madrid’s propensity to score away and to press for dominance increases the likelihood of multiple goals.
Statistics for SL Benfica vs Real Madrid
SL Benfica team news!
Coach: José Mourinho. SL Benfica enter this clash with a modest points tally of 6 from the group, occupying 29th position in the broader dataset provided (note: this may reference a wider domestic/aggregate ranking). Their group record shows 2 wins and 5 defeats with a goals tally of 6 for and 10 against. Home form in the competition is 1 win and 2 defeats, suggesting that the Estádio da Luz has not been an impenetrable fortress this season. Benfica’s most recent result is a 4:0 home victory against Estrela Amadora in domestic competition, which may provide a short-term confidence boost. Given José Mourinho’s experience in European competition, tactical adjustments and match management will be key; however, the statistical profile indicates defensive vulnerabilities that need addressing to counter Real Madrid’s offensive threat.
Real Madrid team news!
Coach: Arbeloa. Real Madrid are on 15 points and rank third in the relevant table for this phase, compiling five wins and two defeats with a pronounced attacking output — 19 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their away record in the group stands at 2 wins and 1 defeat, underlining reasonable effectiveness on the road. Real Madrid’s most recent fixture culminated in a 2:0 away win at Villarreal CF, which suggests good competitive momentum. Under the guidance of Arbeloa, the team have combined attacking impetus with sufficient defensive organisation to sustain tournament progress; their scoring consistency is a central factor in projecting their chances in Lisbon.
H2H statistics
There are no prior head-to-head meetings recorded between SL Benfica and Real Madrid in the supplied data. The H2H record stands at 0 encounters, yielding 0 wins for Benfica, 0 draws and 0 wins for Real Madrid. Consequently, historical direct-match trends offer no guidance for predictive purposes; assessment must rely on recent form, competition metrics and tactical considerations rather than past head-to-head outcomes.
Last results SL Benfica
In their last five matches across all competitions, SL Benfica have registered 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. This sequence denotes an inconsistent run of form — capable of high-scoring domestic performances yet vulnerable to losses — which complicates forecasting. The team’s current form is therefore mixed and somewhat unstable, indicating that match-to-match variability should be expected.
Last results Real Madrid
Over their most recent five fixtures in all competitions, Real Madrid have secured 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. This run reflects a comparatively steadier state of form than their opponents, combining offensive productivity with a reasonable level of defensive control. The current form suggests Real Madrid are the more consistent side in recent weeks.
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Conclusion
On balance, Real Madrid emerge as the favourites for this Champions League fixture in Lisbon. Their superior points total in the group, markedly higher goals scored and steadier recent form favour an away victory. Benfica’s home advantage and recent domestic resurgence do mitigate some of that superiority, but defensive concerns and an inferior group standing reduce their likelihood of overturning the visitors. The principal recommendation is an away win for Real Madrid (Tip 2), supplemented by the both-teams-to-score and an expectation of an open, high-scoring contest that will return at least three total goals.
