Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao prediction
The Champions League returns to Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday, 01 October 2025 at 22:00 GMT+3, when Borussia Dortmund host Athletic Bilbao in Group stage matchday 2. This encounter pits Niko Kovač’s Dortmund side against Ernesto Valverde’s Basque outfit. Dortmund enter the fixture with a single point from their opening group match — 15th in the mini-table with a goals tally of 4:4 — while Athletic Bilbao sit on zero points and a 0:2 goal record. The two clubs have met once in recent history, with Athletic Bilbao registering a 2:0 home victory in their last direct meeting. Home advantage, squad form and tactical adjustments will determine whether Dortmund can overturn that previous result before a partisan crowd.
Make the most of your bet on Europe’s top club competition as we have arranged the best Champions League betting tips.
Main Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
The recent scoring trends for Dortmund, combined with Athletic Bilbao’s defensive lapses in recent fixtures, suggest this match could produce three or more goals. Dortmund’s matches have tended to be open and end-to-end, while Bilbao’s difficulties have seen them concede multiple goals in several outings. That combination supports an Over 2.5 goals selection as a plausible outcome, and the best odds for this outcome is quoted as 1.89 on 1xBet.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Given Dortmund’s attacking tendencies and the fact that their recent fixtures have produced multiple goals (the team carry a 4:4 goal record in the competition so far), combined with Athletic Bilbao’s willingness to play on the front foot even when out of form, this match has a high probability of seeing both sides find the net. Athletic Bilbao scored in matches historically even when results have gone against them, and Dortmund have shown vulnerability at the back on occasion. The betting market reflects this possibility; the best quoted price for Both teams to score -yes is 1.72 at 1xBet.
Our BTTS prediction is the best you will find on the internet.
Betting Tip 3: Borussia Dortmund Win
Dortmund are the favourites for this fixture on account of recent domestic form, greater attacking output and the boost of playing at Signal Iduna Park. Under coach Niko Kovač, the team have shown offensive potency and a measure of consistency: four wins and a draw in their last five matches across competitions. Athletic Bilbao, conversely, arrive with a deeply concerning sequence of results and defensive frailty, having failed to win in their last five matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats). While the first meeting between the teams ended in a Bilbao victory, context has shifted; Dortmund’s confidence and momentum give them the edge. Best available odds for a Dortmund win are quoted at 1.86 with 1xBet.
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Statistics for Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao
Borussia Dortmund team news!
Borussia Dortmund come into this Champions League fixture under the management of Niko Kovač. On paper and in recent performance the side appears in robust domestic form: four wins and one draw across their last five competitive matches indicate strong momentum. In the group they have 1 point from the opening round with a goal difference of 4:4. The club’s home record for this competition is listed as 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats, reflecting that the group stage home fixtures are only just beginning. Kovač will likely rely on a balanced approach that leverages Dortmund’s attacking strengths while addressing intermittent defensive lapses observed earlier in the season.
Athletic Bilbao team news!
Athletic Bilbao are led by Ernesto Valverde. Bilbao’s start to their Champions League campaign has been difficult: 0 points and a 0:2 goal record in the group. Their recent form is poor, recorded as 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last five matches across competitions. That run exposes vulnerabilities at both ends of the pitch. Valverde may seek tactical adjustments to shore up the backline while attempting to exploit set-piece opportunities and quick counters, but squad morale and recent results raise questions about their ability to perform away from home against a motivated Dortmund side.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head ledger between Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Bilbao is very limited in recent times: one meeting in the compiled record shows no wins for Dortmund, no draws, and one win for Athletic Bilbao — the most recent direct meeting ended in a 2:0 home victory for Bilbao. That single result grants Bilbao a psychological edge from the last encounter, but given the small sample size, it should be weighted alongside current form and squad circumstances rather than used as a decisive indicator.
Last results Borussia Dortmund
In their last five matches across all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, with no defeats. The current form is therefore strong and indicative of a team that is executing its game plan effectively and maintaining momentum. This run provides them with confidence going into a consequential Champions League home fixture.
Last results Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao’s most recent five-match sequence across all competitions reads as 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. The form is troubling and suggests systemic issues that Ernesto Valverde must address quickly. Defensive instability and a lack of winning momentum are the primary concerns heading into a challenging away assignment.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Borussia Dortmund arrive as the favourites for this Champions League tie based on current form, attacking capability and the advantage of playing at Signal Iduna Park. Athletic Bilbao’s poor recent run and defensive fragility temper their prospects, though their previous 2:0 victory in the last direct meeting implies they cannot be dismissed entirely. Our recommended main betting tip is over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and Dortmund win.
