Juventus vs Benfica prediction
The Champions League returns to the Allianz Stadium on Wednesday, 21 January 2026 (kick-off 11:00 PM GMT +3) for a decisive Group stage encounter in matchday 7 between Juventus and SL Benfica. Juventus approach this fixture with 9 points and a relatively positive group standing, while SL Benfica sit on 6 points and require a favourable result to bolster their hopes of progressing. The match will take place at the Allianz Stadium and pits two experienced coaches against one another: Luciano Spalletti for Juventus and José Mourinho for SL Benfica. Given the recent form, the clubs’ respective records at home and away, and their historical head-to-head data, this preview sets out the likely scenarios and provides a formal betting tip for the contest.
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Betting tips for Juventus vs Benfica
Main betting tip — Double Chance – Juventus/Draw
Double Chance – Juventus/Draw is the principal betting tip for this fixture. The Serie A side holds a superior point total in the group (9 points versus Benfica’s 6) and has been relatively consistent at the Allianz Stadium, where their home record in the competition reads 1 win and 2 draws with no defeats. Juventus have scored 12 goals and conceded 10 across the group campaign; while not impregnable, their capacity to secure results at home under Luciano Spalletti is a decisive factor. Benfica arrive with fewer points, a less convincing away record (1 win, 0 draws, 2 defeats), and a head-to-head history that, while favourable to Benfica overall, includes a recent away victory for them but not a consistent dominance at Juventus’ venue. Given Juventus’ imperative to control proceedings at home and their greater points buffer, backing the hosts is the most prudent selection. Best odds for DC – Juventus/Draw: Paripesa — 1.23.
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Second betting tip — Both teams score? Yes
Both teams to score is the secondary prediction. Juventus have registered 12 goals but conceded 10 in the group; Benfica have scored 6 and conceded 8. Those figures indicate that both sides possess the offensive capability to find the net while defensive lapses have occurred on both sides. Moreover, the tactical approaches expected from Spalletti and Mourinho—both managers who often balance pragmatism with selective attacking intent—make a mutual goal scenario plausible, particularly given Benfica’s ability to strike on transitions and Juventus’ capacity to create opportunities at home. For bettors seeking market diversification alongside the home-win selection, the Both Teams to Score — Yes market complements the main tip. Best odds for Both Teams to Score — Yes: 1Win — 1.80.
Third betting tip — Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals
The third prediction is for Under 2.5 goals. Even though both teams are capable of scoring, the match is likely to be governed by tactical caution and measured attacking intent, with both managers conscious of the consequences of a high-risk approach in a decisive group fixture. Juventus’ recent defensive record in the group (conceding 10 in six games) suggests vulnerability, but the club’s home performances and the importance of not losing control may limit the openness of the contest. Benfica, while dangerous in attack, have only 6 goals in the group and may opt for a compact shape to avoid conceding at the Allianz Stadium. Consequently, a match featuring one or two goals is a credible outcome. Best available for Under 2.5 goals: Paripesa — 1.89.
Fourth betting tip — Correct score: 1:1 Draw
The correct score prediction is a 1:1 draw. This forecast synthesizes the expectation of a competitive, tactically nuanced match in which both sides find the net but neither manages to secure a decisive margin. A 1:1 outcome reconciles Juventus’ home advantage and need for points with Benfica’s capacity to score on structured counter-attacks and set pieces. It also corresponds with the expectation of Under 2.5 goals while satisfying the Both Teams to Score selection. Bettors using exact-score markets should consider the lower-probability but higher-return possibilities such as 1:1 if they wish to complement outright and goals markets. Best odds for correct score 1:1: Paripesa — 6.50.
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Statistics for Juventus vs SL Benfica
Juventus team news!
Under Luciano Spalletti, Juventus have accumulated 9 points in the Champions League group, occupying 17th table position in the data set provided, with a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat and an aggregate goal tally of 12 scored and 10 conceded. At home in the competition they remain unbeaten with 1 win and 2 draws. Juventus enter this fixture off a narrow domestic setback — a 0:1 away loss to Cagliari — but their broader recent run across all competitions shows three wins, one draw and one defeat in the last five matches. Spalletti’s influence is visible in the team’s structured build-up play and emphasis on compactness; at home he will expect his squad to control possession and limit transitions that favour Benfica.
SL Benfica team news!
SL Benfica, coached by José Mourinho, arrive with 6 points from the group and a record of 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their away record in the competition stands at 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Benfica’s most recent result was a 2:0 away victory over Rio Ave FC, providing momentum heading into the Champions League tie. Mourinho’s approach often prioritises organisation and defensive solidity, which should make Benfica a hard opponent even when travelling; nonetheless, their mixed results and lower points total indicate vulnerability in a group where every point is crucial.
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H2H statistics
The head-to-head record across the last five meetings in all competitions shows Juventus with 1 win, 1 draw and SL Benfica with 3 wins. The most recent direct meeting saw a 2:0 away win for SL Benfica. Historically, Benfica have had the edge in these encounters, but Juventus’ current group standing, home advantage and form profile render the balance of probabilities more nuanced for this particular fixture.
Last results Juventus
In their last five matches in all competitions Juventus have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, reflecting a generally positive run of form. The most recent result was a 0:1 away loss to Cagliari, which underlines that while Juventus can be beaten, they remain competitive and capable of responding when playing at the Allianz Stadium under Spalletti.
Last results SL Benfica
SL Benfica’s last five matches in all competitions show 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Their immediate prior result was a 2:0 away win versus Rio Ave FC, offering a degree of momentum ahead of the trip to Turin. However, the mixed sequence of outcomes suggests inconsistency that could be decisive against a home side determined to secure qualification points.
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Conclusion
On balance, Juventus are the favourites for this Champions League fixture at the Allianz Stadium. Their superior points total in the group, unbeaten home record in the competition so far, and recent overall form under Luciano Spalletti provide a solid foundation for optimism. SL Benfica, led by José Mourinho, are capable of a disciplined and effective performance and boast a favourable historical head-to-head record, but their away form and lower point accumulation in the group reduce the probability that they will claim maximum points in Turin. The most coherent scenario is a tightly contested game with goals at both ends but limited overall scoring — a result that supports a double chance – Juventus/draw market, the Both Teams to Score — Yes market, Under 2.5 goals and a plausible correct score of 1:1.
