Liverpool vs Real Madrid prediction
The Champions League returns to Anfield on Tuesday, 04.11.2025 at 23:00 GMT+3 for a compelling Group-stage encounter in matchday 4: Liverpool FC welcome Real Madrid in a game that carries significant implications for the standings. Liverpool approach the fixture sitting on 6 points and occupying 10th place in the group with a record in the competition of 2 wins and 1 defeat (goals 8:4). Real Madrid head to Anfield in strong form in the group, leading their section with 9 points from 3 wins in 3 matches (goals 8:1) and hold an unbeaten away record in the competition so far.
This preview offers a concise assessment of the teams, tactical considerations under coaches Arne Slot (Liverpool) and Xabi Alonso (Real Madrid), and a reasoned betting prediction for the fixture.
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Main Tip: Draw (Tip X)
The principal betting prediction for this fixture is a draw. Both sides have legitimate claims: Liverpool possess the typical intensity and attacking threat expected at Anfield under Arne Slot, while Real Madrid arrive unbeaten and display a clinical power in front of goal under Xabi Alonso. Recent head-to-head context shows a competitive balance, and the group standings mean both teams may adopt a cautious approach to avoid a damaging defeat that could jeopardize qualification prospects. Given Liverpool’s mixed form in recent matches and Real Madrid’s consistency, a stalemate appears plausible. Best odds for the draw are listed at 4.03 with Betwinner.
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Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
The secondary betting tip is that both teams will score. Liverpool have shown they can both create and concede chances; their group goal tally of 8 scored alongside 4 conceded indicates attacking potency but defensive vulnerability. Real Madrid have been effective offensively across competitions and should find opportunities against Liverpool’s transitional game. A balanced match where both sides manage to breach the opposition’s defence is likely, particularly if both managers prioritize controlling the midfield and pressing high. Best odds for Both Teams to Score — Yes are available at 1.36 with Betwinner.
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Betting Tip 3: Under 3.5 goals
The third forecast recommends under 3.5 goals. Despite the expectation that both teams will score, the contest may not produce an abundance of goals. Both managers are tactically astute and may opt for measured control in phases, especially considering the importance of the result for group positioning. The combination of careful game management, strategic substitutions and the potential for defensive consolidation suggests a match with limited goal volume, though not completely sterile. This market aligns with a 1:1 correct-score projection.
Statistics for Liverpool FC vs Real Madrid
Liverpool FC team news!
Liverpool arrive under the management of Arne Slot, who has endeavoured to blend high-intensity pressing with fluid attacking patterns. In the Champions League group they have accumulated 6 points and currently sit in 10th place on goal figures of 8:4. At home in the competition they have recorded 1 win from 1 fixture. Recent form shows two victories and three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions, indicating inconsistency: Liverpool are capable of strong offensive performances but have exhibited defensive lapses that can be costly against elite opposition. Slot will need to balance the team’s desire to dominate possession with pragmatic organisation at the back.
Real Madrid team news!
Real Madrid, coached by Xabi Alonso, are unbeaten in the Champions League group with three straight wins and an away record in the competition showing 1 win so far. They have scored eight goals and conceded only one in the group phase. Their current overall form is excellent — five wins from their last five matches across competitions — reflecting both offensive efficiency and defensive discipline. Alonso’s side arrive with momentum and tactical clarity; their ability to control midfield transitions and find clinical finishing will be critical in what promises to be a tightly contested fixture.
H2H statistics
Recent head-to-head statistics over the last five meetings across all competitions show a slight advantage to Real Madrid: three wins for Real Madrid, one win for Liverpool and one draw. The last direct meeting between the clubs resulted in a 2:0 victory for Liverpool at home. This recent history underlines that while Real Madrid have been more successful overall in the recent sample, Liverpool are capable of securing decisive results at Anfield.
Last results Liverpool FC
In their last five matches across all competitions Liverpool have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. The current form is therefore inconsistent; victories can be followed by setbacks. This uneven sequence increases the likelihood of a cautious approach in high-stakes matches where defensive solidity is prioritised.
Last results Real Madrid
Real Madrid’s most recent five-match sequence is markedly stronger: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Their unbeaten run and winning consistency indicate high confidence and effective execution of tactical plans. This strong form increases their stature as favourites on paper, though Champions League away fixtures at Anfield remain notoriously difficult.
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Conclusion
The match between Liverpool and Real Madrid is poised to be a tactically rich and closely fought encounter. On balance, Real Madrid bring greater recent consistency and clinical edge, but Liverpool’s home advantage and the specificities of Anfield make this fixture highly unpredictable. Given Liverpool’s uneven recent form and Real Madrid’s unstoppable momentum, the most balanced expectation is a draw, with both teams likely to score but the total number of goals remaining limited. The recommended outcome, therefore, is a 1:1 draw — a result that reflects the tactical parity, the relative strengths of both squads and the strategic imperatives each manager faces in the group stage. In addition, we are backing both teams to score, and less than four total goals recorded.
