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Paris Saint Germain - Dortmund
Champions League
Tue, 07.05.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC +2.5 Dortmund

Paris Saint Germain vs Dortmund prediction

PSG may have missed an opportunity in Germany in the first leg, but now hosting Dortmund in the second leg, they will aim to be clinical at home and secure their spot in the finals. Overcoming the visitors’ narrow lead won’t be easy, but the Parisians are prepared to fight tooth and nail to eliminate Dortmund from the competition. Despite missing out on being crowned Ligue 1 champions after a 3-3 draw against Le Havre in their last domestic fixture, PSG have another chance to advance towards the UEFA Champions League title on home turf, a title they have yet to win. In their previous UEFA home fixture, they suffered a 3-2 defeat to Barcelona.

Dortmund, the Germany side, will look to protect their 1-0 lead as they visit France. It is expected to be a closely contested match despite the narrow lead. Their recent strong performance in the domestic league, with a 5-1 victory over Augsburg, will give them confidence on the road, although they did lose their last away game against Leipzig. With their impressive form, Dortmund is ready to take on PSG in this second leg. They have a strong away record, boasting a 9/10 unbeaten streak, but they did suffer a defeat in their last away match in this competition.

UEFA second leg matches are often filled with drama and unexpected outcomes. We have witnessed teams overturning deficits to their advantage. Will PSG turn the tables or will Dortmund maintain their lead? Considering how efficient the Germany side is, PSG should proceed with caution to avoid a different outcome. In the previous encounter, Dortmund showcased impressive performances, with Sancho leading in dribbles while Mbappe was not at his usual best. As we approach this fixture, we expect a similar game plan to the first leg. Therefore, we believe that PSG vs Dortmund prediction will favor a handicap of +2.5 for Dortmund, as we believe they will likely score and may concede some goals as well.

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Main tip: Handicap +2.5 Dortmund Win

Our Paris Saint Germain vs Dortmund predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: HC +2.5 Dortmund Win

The Parisian must stay vigilant and keep pressing. It appears to be an evenly matched game, with the home team likely dictating play. PSG is expected to utilize their attacking prowess to score early goals, but Dortmund is unlikely to sit back and relax with just a 1-0 lead.

Given the teams’ parity, we favor a handicap bet of +2.5 in favor of Dortmund. They are unlikely to concede three goals without a fight, and their quality suggests they will rise to the occasion. We recommend placing a bet on the 1win bookie market with competitive odds.

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet HC +2.5 Dortmund Win

The odd of 1.26 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 79% chance that Dortmund will not lose this encounter by a 3 goal margin or above.

Odds comparison for HC +2.5 Dortmund Win

1Win – odd 1.26
Bet365 – odd 1.24

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Prediction 2: Both Teams to Score

PSG has been outstanding at home this season, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see their UEFA ambitions continue. They have scored in all 20 fixtures in all competitions, and we believe they will score again in this match. Meanwhile, Dortmund has an impressive away record and the advantage in this tie, so they will be determined to score at least one or two goals.

We are comfortable banking on both teams to score in this match using the Paripesa market.

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for Both Teams to Score

The odd of 1.61 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 62% chance that both teams will score in this encounter.

Odds comparisons Both Teams to Score

Paripesa – odd 1.61
1xbet – odd 1.61

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Prediction 3: Paris Saint Germain to Qualify

Although Dortmund currently leads 1-0, we believe the hosts will overturn this and reach the finals. PSG, as the hosts in this crucial match, will do everything possible to defeat the visitors. Previous home games have demonstrated their strength at home, making it likely that they will shatter Dortmund’s dreams.

Considering the high stakes for both teams, we have opted for PSG to qualify by the end of the game, whether in full time, extra time, or penalties. We are placing our bet on Paris Saint Germain to advance to the finals with a 1-win bookie due to its appealing odds.

Statistics for Paris Saint Germain vs Dortmund Prediction

H2H statistics

We take a look at their last 7 meetings

  • Paris Saint Germain has 2 wins, Dortmund has 2 wins, and 3 matches resulted in draws
  • They scored an average of 1.71 goals
  • The last time they met, Dortmund won 1-0

Latest results Paris Saint Germain

  • 3 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 15 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 3.00 goals per match
  • They lost 1-0 against Dortmund during their last match

Latest results Dortmund

  • 3 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 12 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.40 goals per match
  • They won 5-1 against Augsburg during their last match
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Possible squad Paris Saint Germain & Dortmund

Line upPSGDortmund
DefenseMendes, Hernandez, Marquinhos, Hakimi Maatsen, Schlotterbeck, Hummels, Ryerson
MidfieldRuiz, Vitinha, EmerySabitzer, Can, Sancho, Brandt, Adeyemi
ForwardBarcola, Mbappe, DembeleFullkrug
MissingRico (doubt), Kurzawa (doubt)Duranville (Injury), Bensebaini (Injury)
CoachLuiz EnriqueTerzic Edin

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