Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco Prediction
The UEFA Champions League play-off encounter between Paris Saint-Germain and AS Monaco is scheduled for Wednesday, 25 February 2026 at 11:00 PM GMT +3, to be contested at the Parc des Princes. This is the second leg of the play-offs and carries significant weight for both French sides seeking to secure progression in Europe’s premier club competition. Paris Saint-Germain arrive with superior form and an established record against their domestic rivals, while AS Monaco will aim to upset expectations away from home. Below follows a detailed assessment of the teams, betting perspectives and statistical context ahead of kickoff.
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Main betting tip – Both teams score? Yes
Betting tip: Both teams to score — Yes. Despite PSG’s generally positive defensive numbers, AS Monaco possess sufficient attacking quality to find the net, as evidenced by their capacity to score in away fixtures and their recent 3:2 result against RC Lens. The head-to-head history between the two clubs has featured competitive matches that produced goals for both sides. Given Monaco’s willingness to attack on the break and PSG’s propensity to commit men forward, a mutual scoring outcome is a realistic proposition. Best odds for the Both Teams To Score market are listed at Paripesa: YES at 1.62.
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2nd Betting tip: Home win — Paris Saint-Germain (1)
Betting prediction: Paris Saint-Germain are the clear favourites to claim victory in this fixture. Their season statistics show a club with a stronger goal return (21 scored, 11 conceded) and superior recent form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. PSG also hold the advantageous head-to-head record from recent meetings against Monaco, with four wins in the last five encounters and a 3:2 away victory in the most recent direct meeting. Home advantage at the Parc des Princes, combined with the tactical acumen of coach Luis Enrique and PSG’s deeper attacking resources, suggest they should control large passages of the tie and secure three points. Best odds for this market (1×2) are offered by 1Win: Tip 1 at 1.25.
3rd betting tip – Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals
Betting tip: Under 3.5 goals. While both sides are capable of scoring, the tactical priorities in a Champions League play-off context often encourage caution, particularly from the home side who will look to avoid throwing the tie open unnecessarily. PSG’s recent domestic and continental performances indicate a team that can control games and limit heavy scorelines when required, and Monaco’s away record suggests they may be selective in their attacking forays. Therefore, an expectation of fewer than four goals in total is reasonable. The supplied data specifies Under 3.5 goals as the recommended Over/Under selection. Best odds for this market; 2.06 on Paripesa.
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Statistics for Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain team news!
Paris Saint-Germain sit on 14 points in the competition table and currently occupy 11th place in their domestic context as reported. Their overall Champions League form includes four wins, two draws and two defeats, with a goals tally of 21:11. At home, PSG have recorded two wins, one draw and one defeat. Coach Luis Enrique has overseen a side that has won four of its last five matches and lost only once in that span, suggesting robust current form. Injury and selection specifics are not provided here, but tactical stability under Luis Enrique and the ability to rotate without a notable drop in performance are features that favour the Parisians heading into this decisive fixture at Parc des Princes.
AS Monaco team news!
AS Monaco arrive with 10 points and are placed 21st in the referenced standings. Their Champions League record shows two wins, four draws and two defeats, and a goal difference of 8:14. Monaco’s away record stands at one win, one draw and two defeats. Coach Sébastien Pocognoli has overseen a team that has secured two wins, one draw and two defeats in the last five competitive matches — a mixed set of results that indicate resilience but also defensive vulnerability. Given the travel and pressure of European knockout competition, Monaco must rely on compact structure and opportunistic attacking moments if they are to challenge PSG at the Parc des Princes.
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H2H statistics
Across the last five meetings between the clubs in all competitions, Paris Saint-Germain hold a dominant advantage with four wins, no draws and one win for AS Monaco. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 3:2 away victory for Paris Saint-Germain, underlining the tendency for competitive, goal-involving fixtures between the two sides, though PSG have largely been the superior side in recent encounters.
Last results Paris Saint-Germain
In their most recent five matches across competitions, Paris Saint-Germain have recorded four wins and one defeat. This sequence indicates a strong current form and suggests that the team is entering the play-offs with confidence, rhythm and a proven capacity to produce winning performances in consecutive fixtures.
Last results AS Monaco
AS Monaco’s form in the last five matches comprises two wins, one draw and two defeats. This record presents a more uneven trend, highlighting periods of effectiveness interspersed with vulnerability. Monaco’s recent results demonstrate that while they can produce positive outcomes, consistency remains an issue which could be decisive in high-stakes European competition.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Paris Saint-Germain enter this Champions League play-off tie as the favourites. Their superior recent form, stronger goal production, advantage in the head-to-head series and the tactical leadership of Luis Enrique all weigh in favour of a home win at the Parc des Princes. AS Monaco, under Sébastien Pocognoli, possess attacking qualities that make a both-teams-to-score outcome plausible, but their defensive record and less consistent recent form make an upset less likely. The recommended match outcome is that both teams will score, PSG will win (Tip 1), and that the total goals will remain under 3.5.
