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PSG - AC Milan
Champions League
Wed, 25.10.2023 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:

PSG vs AC Milan prediction

PSG will be looking to bounce back from a 4-1 thrashing by Newcastle on matchday 2 when they welcome AC Milan to Paris on Wednesday night. The French champions had a great start to this season’s campaign with a 2-0 over Dortmund but they were completely torn to shreds by Newcastle at St James’ Park on a glorious night for the Toons on their return to the big stage after nearly two decades. The Parisians have however seemingly shaken off that loss with back-to-back wins on the domestic front that has elevated them to the top of the league. They sit second behind Newcastle in this group and coach Luis Enrique will be looking to carry some of the momentum here.

AC Milan have proven to be a hard nut to crack in this group of death, with a couple of goalless stalemates to start the campaign. The first was at home against Newcastle and they followed it up with another one away at Dortmund. The Rossoneri have now won just two of their last 9 group games at this stage and they will need to pick up some wins if they are to have any chance of making it out of this group. They haven;t had much luck on the domestic front either and the 1-0 loss to Juventus at the weekend has certainly put coach Pioli under the spotlight. He will be hoping to turn things around with a positive result here, even if it’s another stalemate

PSG have been solid at home in recent matches. Although we expect both teams to give it a shot here, we fancy PSG to continue their solid performance in their backyard. As such we are backing PSG to Win (Draw No Bet) as our main PSG vs AC Milan prediction for this game

Our Champions League predictions for matchday 3 are ready. Follow our expert’s advice if you want to increase your wins!

Main tip: PSG Win (Draw No Bet)

Our PSG vs AC Milan predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: PSG Win (Draw No Bet)

PSG has seemingly turned the corner after a rather lackluster start to the season. They have particularly been good in front of their home supporters lately with 4 wins in their last 5 games.

Milan have also been solid to start the Champions League this season with two draws in their opening two group games.

We nevertheless fancy the home side to prevail here and we are backing this PSG to Win on the Draw No Bet option available at 1xBet for great odds

Odds for this bet

1xBet offers competitive odds for the bet “PSG Win (Draw No Bet)”

The odd of 1.33 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 75% chance that PSG will win the game but bets will be void if the game ends is a draw

Odds comparison for PSG Win (Draw No Bet)

1xBet – Odd 1.33
Betwinner – odd 1.30

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Prediction 2: Under 3.5 Goals

Goals have been a rare occurrence in matches involving AC Milan lately. They are yet to concede nor score a goal in their two group games thus far. In fact, only 2 of their last 10 matches have had more than 3 goals.

Although PSG have been scoring with some ease in their turnaround, they will find the going hard here. Milan have been a tough customer. In their 5 H2H matches over the years, not even one of them had over 3 goals scored. With this in mind, we are therefore picking this match to have no more than 3 total goals scored and we recommend very competitive odds for this option available at Paripesa.

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.44 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 69% chance that this game will have no more than 3 total goals scored

Odds comparisons for Under 3.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.44
Bet365 – odd 1.41

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Prediction 3: Over 8.5 Corners

Although we expect few goals, the same cannot be said of corners here. We expect both teams to defend resolutely and the spillover effect for this more often than not, is usually more corners.

4 of PSG’s last 5 matches have had at least 9 corners and the same has occurred in 3 of Milan’s last 5 matches. We are backing this trajectory to hold and we are recommending a bet on at least 9 corners to be taken in this game as our final PSG vs AC Milan prediction

Statistics for PSG vs AC Milan Prediction

H2H statistics

These teams have met 5 times before:

  • Milan have had the better of the exchanges with 3 wins and two games were drawn
  • These meetings have averaged just 1.60 goals a game
  • AC Milan won the last meeting 1-0

Latest results PSG

  • 3 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.20 goals per match
  • Thrashed Strasbourg 3-0 in the weekend league fixture

Latest results AC Milan

  • Also had 3 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • Lost 1-0 at home to Juventus in their last match
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Possible squad PSG & AC Milan

Line upPSG AC Milan
DefenseHakimi, Marquinhos, Skriniar, HernandezCalabria, Thiaw, Kjaer, Hernandez
MidfieldZaïre-Emery, Vítinha, UgarteLoftus-Cheek, Krunic, Reijnders
ForwardDembélé, Muani, MbappePulisic, Chukwueme, Leao
MissingNavas (Back), Asensio (Foot), Rico (Head), Mendes (Hamstring), Kimpembe (Achilles)Tomori (Suspension), Kalulu (Muscle), Giroud (Ankle), Bennacer (Knee)
CoachLuis EnriqueStefano Pioli

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