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Chelsea - Liverpool
EFL Cup Final
Sun, 25.02.2024 – 6:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
DC Liverpool/Draw

Chelsea vs Liverpool EFL prediction

The curtains are coming down to the League Cup this Sunday with two storeyed English giants Chelsea and Liverpool locking horns in the final at Wembley.

Chelsea have blown hot and cold this season and they have gone and they find themselves in mid-table halfway through the season. The Blues nevertheless put in all their energy in this competition and they made the most of good luck in the draws that landed them lower-ranked opponents every step of the way who they put to the sword. They were on course to upset Man City at the Etihad last time out but ultimately settled for a 1-1 draw which significantly changed the matrix atop the standings ironically in Liverpool’s favor.

Liverpool on the other hand are soaring high in the skies. A 4-1 thrashing of Luton in midweek saw them move back to the top of the standings. The Reds are still in the running for a treble but they will now train their guns on securing their first of this silverware if they can handle Chelsea in this final. Klopp is dealing with a host of injuries in this his final season at Liverpool but despite that, they are still getting the job done

Based on the form of the two teams coming into this match, it is difficult to see any result that does not swing Liverpool’s way. They have been on a tear lately winning 4 of their last 5 matches. We feel comfortable backing them on the double chance here as our opening Chelsea vs Liverpool EPL prediction.

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Main tip: DC Liverpool/Draw

Our Chelsea vs Liverpool predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: DC Liverpool/Draw

Liverpool seem to have turned things up a notch despite the many injuries they have been ravaged with. It seems as if they are all playing to give their coach Klopp the best farewell gift ever. In 4 wins out of their last 5 games, they have scored 15 goals; 4 goals in 3 of the 4 wins!

One of these wins was a 4-1 thrashing of Chelsea at Anfield in a match they dominated from start to finish.

We do not expect such a one-sided affair here given that this is a final. We nevertheless don’t expect a different outcome. Liverpool are at the top of their game at the moment and they are all locked in. Based on this, we are picking Liverpool to either win or draw this game with very competitive odds for this market available at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “DC Liverpool/Draw”

The odd of 1.30 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 77% chance that Liverpool will win or draw this match

Odds comparison for DC Liverpool/Draw

1Win – odd 1.30
Betwinner – odd 1.28

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Prediction 2: Handicap -2.5 Liverpool Corners

Typically finals are normally drawn-out snorefests with teams playing very cautious right? That’s true for most finals except for Liverpool finals. They never got the memo and are always throwing everything including the kitchen sink in their pursuit of silverware.

The Reds always dominate the possession against just about every team and this sees them have more corners all the time. They have had more corners in all their last 5 straight matches including the loss to Arsenal.

Against Chelsea 3 weeks ago, the corners count was 8-1 in their favor

We fancy another one-way traffic with Chelsea likely to sit back and hit on counters. We are therefore picking Liverpool to have at least 3 more corners than Chelsea in this match with terrific odds for this option available at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Handicap -2.5 Liverpool Corners”

The odd of 1.75 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 57% chance that Liverpool will have at least 3 more corners than Chelsea in this match

Odds comparisons Handicap -2.5 Liverpool Corners

Paripesa – odd 1.75
10Bet – odd 1.73

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Prediction 3: Over 4.5 Bookings

There is desperation on both ends to bag this trophy. For Liverpool it could potentially be their consolation should they end up falling short on the other fronts. For Chelsea, this would be their saving grace from what is shaping up to be another disappointing season.

There is no love lost between these two teams and they always play overly physical with some cheeky and cynical challenges thrown in. Their last meeting 3 straight meetings have had at least 5 bookings including the last meeting 3 weeks ago which had 6 bookings

We expect that trend to hold here and we are backing this match to have at least 5 bookings as our final Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction here.

Statistics for Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction

H2H statistics

Taking a look at the last 10 meetings between these two teams:

  • Liverpool have 4 wins, Chelsea only have 1 win and 5 games were drawn
  • These matches averaged just 1.80 goals a match
  • The last meeting ended 4-1 in favor of Liverpool

Latest results Chelsea

  • 2 wins, a draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.00 goals per match
  • Drew 1-1 away at Man City in their last match

Latest results Liverpool

  • 4 wins and a loss and in their last 5 matches
  • 16 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 3.10 goals per match
  • Thrashed Luton 4-1 at home in their last match
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Possible squad Chelsea & Liverpool

Line upChelsea Liverpool
DefenseChilwell, Silva, Disasi, GustoRobertson, Van Dijk, Konate, Bradley
MidfieldFernandez, CaicedoGravenberch, Endo, Mac Allister
ForwardJackson, Gallagher, Madueke, PalmerSalah, Nunez, Diaz
MissingBadiashile, Ugochukwu, Cucurella, James, Sanchez, Lavia, Fofana, Jota, Jones, Alcantara, Alexander-Arnold, Alisson
CoachMauricio PochettinoJurgen Klopp

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