Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Prediction
The DFB-Pokal returns to Holstein-Stadion on Wednesday, 04.02.2026, when Holstein Kiel host VfB Stuttgart in a one-off cup tie scheduled for a 22:45 kick-off. This knockout meeting pits the ambitious second-division side against a Bundesliga outfit that arrives with higher expectations, making for an intriguing contest in the German cup. The last direct encounter between these two teams ended in a 2:2 draw, and the overall head-to-head record across the last five meetings is finely balanced: two wins apiece and one draw. Both clubs arrive in decent form in their respective competitions, but differences in squad depth and recent domestic results tip the balance subtly in favour of the visitors.
Our DFB Pokal betting predictions are well-researched and presented.
Main Tip: Under 2.5 Goals
For our primary tip, we are reckon there will be less than three total goals, in this match. Cup ties often produce cautious tactics, especially when one side (the higher-tier team) prefers to avoid an upset. Stuttgart’s pragmatic approach under Sebastian Hoeneß, combined with the defensive organisation Holstein Kiel will deploy under Marcel Rapp, suggests a contest that could be decided by a single moment or set-piece rather than a high-scoring affair. Both teams have recently experienced matches with limited goal totals: Stuttgart’s last match ended 1:0, and Kiel’s most recent fixture was 1:2 — both indicating tight margins. Given the defensive discipline likely to be in evidence and the knockout nature of the fixture, we are backing under 2.5 goals as a sensible selection. The best odds for this selection is 2.32 on Betwinner.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Both sides possess offensive capabilities capable of breaching opponents, and the recent history between the clubs suggests open encounters. The last direct meeting finished 2:2, and both teams have demonstrated a propensity to score in recent fixtures. Holstein Kiel, playing at Holstein-Stadion, will be encouraged to attack and exploit set-piece situations and transitions, particularly early in the match. Stuttgart, while capable of controlling possession, can be vulnerable to counter-attacks and transitional moments, which supports the expectation that Kiel will find the net. Given these dynamics, a Both Teams to Score selection is logically consistent with the match context. The best odds is 1.62 on Betwinner.
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Betting Tip 3: Stuttgart Win – Tip 2
VfB Stuttgart enter this encounter as the favourites on paper, principally due to their status as a Bundesliga side with greater top-level experience and squad quality. Stuttgart’s recent run of form — three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches demonstrates a steady momentum, including a 1:0 victory in their most recent fixture against SC Freiburg. Holstein Kiel, despite a respectable recent sequence (two wins, two draws, one defeat), suffered a 1:2 home loss in their last match versus SpVgg Greuther Fürth and will likely find it difficult to cope with Stuttgart’s superior individual quality and tactical application over 90 minutes. The visitors’ coach, Sebastian Hoeneb, has shown the ability to prepare his side effectively for knockout fixtures and to manage games proactively. Considering these factors, a Stuttgart victory is the most probable outcome. The best odds for this outcome is 1.57on Betwinner.
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Statistics for Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart
Holstein Kiel team news!
Manager Marcel Rapp has established a structured, organised approach at Holstein Kiel. The team’s last five-match record reads positively: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. That run indicates a solid level of consistency, particularly at home, where the Holstein-Stadion often provides a compact environment and vocal support. Kiel will aim to exploit set-pieces and transitional opportunities against Stuttgart, and Rapp will likely set up to frustrate the visitors early on, looking to absorb pressure and strike on the counter. Recent injuries, lineup rotation and cup-specific tactical adjustments can influence selection, but the club’s current form suggests they are competitive and capable of causing problems, particularly in a single-elimination match.
VfB Stuttgart team news!
Under the stewardship of Sebastian Hoeneß, VfB Stuttgart have demonstrated solidity and efficiency. Their last five matches show a strong sequence: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, and they arrive from a morale-boosting 1:0 home victory over SC Freiburg. Stuttgart possess greater depth in attacking and midfield options, enabling rotation while maintaining quality. Hoeneß will likely prioritise maintaining structure and controlling key moments, utilising experienced players to manage the tempo. Stuttgart’s ability to execute set-piece routines and exploit defensive lapses should make them the favourites to progress.
H2H statistics
Across the last five meetings between these sides in all competitions, the record stands at: Holstein Kiel 2 wins, 1 draw, VfB Stuttgart 2 wins. The most recent direct confrontation concluded in a 2:2 draw, demonstrating that encounters between these two clubs can be competitive and produce goals from both sides. The head-to-head balance underlines that while Stuttgart hold nominal superiority due to league status and squad resources, Kiel are by no means an easy opponent and have previously secured positive results.
Last results Holstein Kiel
In their last five matches across all competitions, Holstein Kiel have registered 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The current form suggests a team that is hard to break down and capable of taking points, but the recent home defeat (1:2 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth) signals potential vulnerabilities that a clinical opponent could exploit.
Last results VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart’s last five matches across all competitions show 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The side looks consistent and capable of delivering results, as evidenced by their most recent 1:0 victory over SC Freiburg. This run underlines Stuttgart’s status as the marginal favourites for Wednesday’s tie.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, the balance of probabilities favours VfB Stuttgart to progress from this DFB-Pokal tie. While Holstein Kiel will enjoy home support and possess the organisation to make the game difficult, Stuttgart’s overall quality, recent form and squad depth under Sebastian Hoeneb point to an away victory. Our primary selection is an away win for VfB Stuttgart (Tip 2), complemented by both teams scoring (Yes), an expectation of Under 2.5 goals, and a suggested correct score of 1:2 in favour of the visitors. These selections reflect the tactical profiles, recent results and the cup context: a tightly contested match, likely settled by a narrow margin in Stuttgart’s favour.
