AC Milan vs Benfica Prediction
The Europa League returns to the Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 (kick-off 10:00 PM GMT +3), when AC Milan host SL Benfica in their opening group-stage fixture. This early group match pits two clubs with rich European pedigrees against one another: AC Milan, managed by Rúben Amorim, seek to establish a strong start on home soil, while Marco Silva’s Benfica arrive in confident form after an impressive domestic run. Both teams bring contrasting recent records into this encounter, and tactical discipline is likely to play a key role at the San Siro.
We have the best Europa League betting tips with a high rate of success. Our experts pick different betting markets for each game to bring you good returns.
Main Betting prediction — Double Chance – AC Milan/Draw
Our main betting prediction for this fixture is a Double Chance – AC Milan or Draw. Milan arrive unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (three wins and two draws) and will benefit from playing at the Giuseppe Meazza, where they can rely on familiar surroundings and home support. Despite a mixed recent European record—two wins and three defeats in their last five Europa League outings—the squad’s current domestic momentum and Amorim’s tactical adjustments should provide the edge in a tight contest. The best available odd for Double Chance 1X is 1.34 at Paripesa.
Join Paripesa Kenya today and enjoy a generous welcome bonus. They also have high odds, a large sportsbook, and lots of customer rewards.
2nd Betting Tip – Both teams score? Yes
We predict that both teams will score in this match. Benfica have been prolific and consistent recently, recording five wins in their last five matches across all competitions; such form suggests their attack is in good order and capable of breaching a Milan defence that has shown occasional vulnerabilities in European play. Conversely, AC Milan’s forward line has been effective enough in domestic fixtures to find the net as well. The recent goal-scoring trends from both clubs make the “Yes” selection the more probable market outcome. The best odd for “Both teams to score: Yes” is currently 1.58 at 1Win.
3rd Betting Tip – Under 2.5 Goals
For the over/under market, our prediction is Under 2.5 goals. While both teams possess attacking talent and are likely to find opportunities, the match context—an early-stage group game with high competitive value—often yields cautious, tactical approaches from both managers. Rúben Amorim and Marco Silva are likely to emphasise structure and defensive organisation, which increases the probability of a low-scoring, tightly contested encounter. Moreover, recent Europa League performances for both clubs show a number of narrow scorelines, and the San Siro setting commonly fosters compact tactical battles. Best odds for Under 2.5 goals; 2.11 on Paripesa.
4th Betting Tip – Correct score 1:1 draw
Our fourth betting prediction is the correct score 1:1. This selection aligns with the expectation of a competitive, cagey encounter in which both sides manage to score but defensive discipline prevents a large tally. It also acts as a conservative forecast that pairs well with the Under 2.5 prediction and the Both Teams to Score selection. Best odds provided for the 1:1 correct-score market; 6.50 on 1Win.
Our multibet tips are made of several selected matches that are combined to give you high odds for greater returns.
Statistics for AC Milan vs SL Benfica
AC Milan team news!
AC Milan enter this match with encouraging overall form: in their last five matches across all competitions they have recorded three wins and two draws, remaining unbeaten in that span. Under coach Rúben Amorim, Milan have displayed renewed organisation and a pragmatic approach that emphasises balance between attack and defence. Their recent Europa League results across the season window are less flattering—two wins and three defeats in the last five—indicating some inconsistency at continental level. At Giuseppe Meazza, Milan will prioritise control of tempo and defensive solidity, seeking to neutralise Benfica’s attacking thrusts while exploiting set-piece and transitional opportunities.
SL Benfica team news!
SL Benfica travel to Milan in excellent overall shape, boasting five wins from their last five matches across all competitions. Marco Silva has restored a high level of attacking efficiency to the team, and Benfica’s confidence is palpable after recent domestic successes. In Europa League terms they have produced two wins, two draws and a single defeat in the most recent five matches covering the season window, which denotes relative steadiness on the continental stage. Benfica’s recent home win (3:1 vs. Gil Vicente) underlines their scoring capabilities; however, the away trip to the San Siro represents a sterner test, where tactical restraint may be required.
TIP: Download Telegram before you click here!
H2H statistics
The last direct meeting between these clubs ended in a 1:0 away win for SL Benfica. Across the most recent three meetings in all competitions, the head-to-head record is evenly balanced: one win for AC Milan, one draw, and one win for SL Benfica. This symmetry underlines the competitive nature of encounters between the two sides and suggests that marginal factors—home advantage, current form and managerial tactics—may decide the outcome.
Last results AC Milan
In their last five matches across all competitions AC Milan have recorded three wins and two draws, remaining unbeaten. Their current form is therefore positive and steady, providing a platform of consistency as they begin their Europa League group campaign.
Last results SL Benfica
SL Benfica have won all of their last five matches across all competitions, a sequence that reflects strong momentum and attacking confidence. Their current form is excellent, and Benfica will present a formidable challenge in Milan if they maintain these standards.
Check out our best football tips for today. Our experts give you winning predictions from different betting markets.
Conclusion
This Europa League opening group fixture is finely poised. AC Milan’s unbeaten domestic run and home advantage make them the favourites in our assessment, which is why the primary recommendation is a Double Chance – AC Milan/Draw. Nevertheless, SL Benfica’s flawless recent form and offensive potency mean that the match is unlikely to be one-sided; both teams scoring is a plausible outcome and fits the expected pattern of a tight, controlled contest. The Under 2.5 goals selection and the 1:1 correct-score forecast reflect a scenario of measured tactical play combined with moments of attacking quality from both sides. Bettors seeking value may prioritise the double chance 1X market while also considering the Both Teams to Score—Yes market as a complementary stake.
