Bologna vs AS Roma Prediction
The Europa League Round of 16 first-leg fixture between Bologna FC and AS Roma will take place on Thursday, 12 March 2026, at 8:45 PM GMT +3 at the Renato Dall’Ara. This knockout encounter pits two sides with contrasting recent domestic and continental records against one another. Home and away form are notable: Bologna’s home record reads one win, three draws and no defeat, while Roma’s away record shows three wins, one draw and no defeat. The two clubs have met on five occasions across competitions in recent seasons; Bologna holds a narrow historical advantage with three wins and one draw to Roma’s single victory, though the most recent direct meeting ended in a 1:0 victory for AS Roma.
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Betting prediction
Main betting prediction — AS Roma Win (Draw No Bet)
Our principal betting prediction for this encounter is AS Roma Win (Draw No Bet). Several factors underpin this assessment. Roma have displayed greater consistency on the road this term, boasting an unbeaten away record with three wins and one draw, and they concede relatively few goals overall (six in domestic play). The club’s squad depth and tactical adaptability under coach Gian Piero Gasperini give them an edge in knockout fixtures, where marginal gains in organisation and experience often decide outcomes. Conversely, Bologna, under Vincenzo Italiano, have shown resilience at home but tend to be involved in tight affairs: their home record of one win and three draws suggests difficulty in converting home advantage into decisive triumphs. Given these metrics and Roma’s recent continental pedigree, the probability-weighted selection is a Roma victory. Best available odd on this market (as supplied): at 1win with odd 1.68.
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Second betting prediction — Both teams score? No
The second prediction addresses whether both teams will score. We forecast that both teams will not score (No). This selection is justified by the defensive solidity shown by both sides this season: Bologna have conceded seven goals, while Roma have conceded only six in their domestic campaign. The meeting of two organised units often results in cautious approaches in the opening leg of a European knockout tie, where the emphasis on not conceding can supersede the incentive to press for many goals. Although both teams have the capacity to score, the pattern of disciplined defensive displays suggests at least one side will be kept off the scoresheet. Best available odd on this market (as supplied): Both teams to score — NO at Betwinner with odd 1.78.
Third betting prediction — Under 2.5 goals
The third betting prediction is that the match will finish with under 2.5 goals. The rationale for this Under 2.5 selection echoes the defensive arguments above and the knockout context: first legs frequently produce cautious affairs, with both managers likely to prioritise compactness and minimise risk. Bologna’s propensity to draw at home and Roma’s away conservatism point toward a low-scoring contest. Moreover, the statistical season totals for goals scored and allowed by both clubs support the expectation of a modest goal count. Best odds on the Under 2.5 selection; 1.58 on 1Win.
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Statistics for Bologna FC vs AS Roma
Bologna FC team news!
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano. Bologna approach this fixture having collected 15 points in their domestic sequence and occupy 10th place in the league table. The club’s record of four wins, three draws and one defeat yields a +7 goal difference (14 scored, 7 conceded). At Renato Dall’Ara they have been difficult to beat: one victory and three draws, without a home defeat recorded in the supplied data. Vincenzo Italiano’s side tend to display organisational discipline and a pragmatic approach at home, often seeking to control proceedings and avoid heavy defensive exposure. Their recent form, indicated by four wins and a single defeat in the last five matches across competitions, suggests solidity and confidence, albeit with some limitations in breaking down stubborn defences.
AS Roma team news!
Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini. Roma sit marginally ahead with 16 points and an 8th-place standing in their domestic table, a record of five wins, one draw and two defeats, producing 13 goals for and six against. Their away form is particularly strong: three wins and one draw away from home, with no defeats in road fixtures as per the provided information. Under Gasperini, Roma have shown tactical adaptability and cohesion, which are assets in two-legged European ties. Their performance over the last five matches is moderate — two wins, two draws and one defeat — indicating reliable, if not spectacular, recent momentum.
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H2H statistics
The head-to-head record for the last five meetings across competitions records three wins for Bologna, one draw and one win for AS Roma. The most recent direct confrontation concluded with a 1:0 victory for AS Roma at their home venue. Historically, Bologna have enjoyed influence in this matchup, though the immediate precedent favours Roma. This mixture of historical advantage for Bologna and recent advantage for Roma adds an additional tactical narrative to the upcoming fixture.
Last results Bologna FC
In their last five competitive matches Bologna have registered four wins and one defeat, with no draws among those five fixtures. This run reflects a strong sequence of results and favourable form in the short term, suggesting the team have momentum and self-belief heading into the European tie. Their form at home has been characterised by resilience and a tendency toward low-scoring, tightly contested matches.
Last results AS Roma
AS Roma’s most recent five-match sequence comprises two wins, two draws and one defeat. The pattern indicates steadiness and the capacity to avoid defeat frequently, particularly in away settings. Roma’s mixture of results shows they are competitive and difficult to break down, but they have not produced an unblemished run leading into this first-leg encounter.
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Conclusion
On balance, AS Roma emerge as the marginal favourites for the first leg at Renato Dall’Ara. Their unbeaten away record and defensive consistency, coupled with tactical acumen under Gian Piero Gasperini, provide reasons to favour an AS Roma Win (Draw No Bet) as the primary selection. Bologna’s home resilience and superior head-to-head historical record caution against an overly confident prognosis for Roma; therefore, alternative lower-risk selections — such as both teams not scoring and Under 2.5 goals — are sensible complements to the main bet. Our principal recommendation remains an AS Roma win (DNB), with supplemental convictions that the match will be low-scoring and tightly contested (Both teams to score — No; and Under 2.5 goals). Bettors should weigh these selections against their risk tolerance and consider in-play developments and team news ahead of kickoff.
