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Shakhtar Donetsk - Marseille
Europa League
Thu, 15.02.2024 – 8:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 3.5 Goals

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Marseille prediction

With the Europa League resuming for the knockout round this week, Shakhtar Donetsk will be gearing up to make the most of the 1st leg against Marseille. The Ukraine giants play their home games at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany as a result of the situation in their country at the moment. They dropped down from the Champions League after finishing third in a tough Group H behind Barcelona and FC Porto.

Marseille meantime have fallen off the cliff in Ligue 1 this season after some lacklustre performances, particularly in recent weeks. In Europe though, they have been quite solid. They went toe-to-toe with English outfit Brighton but a 1-0 loss in Brighton on the final round of group games saw them finish 2nd to them.

We expect a tight game here with both teams keen to keep things close in this opening leg. Both teams have struggled to put the ball in the back of the net in recent weeks. That pattern is likely to replicate here and as such we feel comfortable backing this game to have no more than three total goals scored as our main Shakhtar Donetsk vs Marseille prediction.

Explore our Europa League betting tips for this knockout phase from our experts and stand by to cash in!

Main tip: Under 3.5 Goals

Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Marseille predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 3.5 Goals

Both teams have struggled in front of goal lately. Shakhtar are averaging 1.40 goals in their last 5 matches; Marseille 1.20 goals a match in the same timespan.

Going back in their H2H history, we can see their two matches only average 2.50 goals a match

We do not expect these teams to suddenly discover their scoring touches here. We are therefore backing this match to have fewer than 4 total goals scored with competitive prices for this market offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.35 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 74% chance that there will be not more than 3 total goals to be scored in this match

Odds comparison for Under 3.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.35
Betwinner – odd 1.33

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Prediction 2: DC Shakhtar/Draw

Shakhtar were in it with a chance to go top in their Champions League group going into. That basically speaks volumes of their strength.

They have been quite good at home in competitive matches, winning the last 3 straight league games and only losing 1 match in their last 7 competitive home games. In this run they picked up two solid wins over Antwerp and Barcelona in their UCL group matches

Marseille are struggling to get positive results at the moment. They are winless in their last 5 matches overall and have only won 1 of their last 5 matches on the road.

We fancy a close game here but we feel Shakhtar just have enough to get a favourable result. We are therefore backing Shakhtar to win or draw here with terrific odds for this option available at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “DC Shakhtar/Draw”

The odd of 1.67 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 60% chance that Shakhtar will either win or draw this match

Odds comparisons DC Shakhtar/Draw

Paripesa – odd 1.67
Bet365 – odd 1.65

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Prediction 3: More Corners Shakhtar

With Shakhtar looking to hold the serve in this 1st leg, we expect them to dominate the proceedings here for the most part.

Their home form indicates that they are force to reckon with, even if they are not actually playing on their traditional home ground. They have had more corners in 3 of their last 4 home games.

We are backing this trend to continue here and we are backing the Shaktar to have more corners in this game as our final Shakhtar Donetsk vs Marseille prediction

Statistics for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Marseille Prediction

H2H statistics

These teams have only met twice before

  • Shakhtar won both games in the Europa League group stage back in 2009
  • These matches average 2.50 goals a match
  • The last meeting ended 2-1 away in favor of Shakhtar

Latest results Shakhtar Donetsk

  • 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.40 goals per match
  • Drew 1-1 with Lechia Gdansk in their last match

Latest results Marseille

  • 4 draws and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • Drew 1-1 at home against Metz in their last match
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Possible squad Shakhtar Donetsk & Marseille

Line upShakhtar DonetskMarseille
DefenseGocholeishvili, Bondar, Rakitskiy, MatviyenkoMeïté, Gigot, Balerdi, Merlin
MidfieldBondarenko, Stepanenko, SudakovOunahi, Harit, Onana
ForwardZubkov, Sikan, KryskivHenrique, Aubameyang, Ndiaye
MissingNoneSarr (Suspended after 2nd yellow), Veretout (Knock), Kondogbia (Muscle), Murillo (Muscle), Nadir (ACL), Rongier (Knee)
CoachMarino PusicGennaro Gattuso

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