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Alaves - Real Madrid
La Liga
Thu, 21.12.2023 – 11:30 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
R. Madrid Win (DNB)

Alaves vs Real Madrid prediction

Alaves remained in the bottom half of the standings after losing 1-0 at home to newcomers Las Palmas at the weekend. It was a tale of missed opportunities that came to bite them hard once again with the visitors making the most of their chances to take the lead in the first half against the run of play and held on to steal all three points on offer. Coach Luis Garcia was left disappointed by their failure to get the job done and he will have an even more arduous task here against the juggernaut from Madrid.

Real Madrid duly underlined their title ambitions with a comprehensive 4-1 win over Villarreal which pushed them back to the top of the standings and extended their unbeaten streak in La Liga to thirteen games. A 1-1 Betis a week ago allowed Girona to leapfrog them to the top of the table. Lightening was not going to strike twice here though as they grabbed the chance to reclaim the leadership – albeit temporarily with the Blanquivermells set to play on Monday against the same opponents.

Los Bloncos have too much firepower at their disposal and they are in such a groove across all competitions. They have shown they are in this title run for the long haul and they are certainly pulling no stops to reclaim the title they lost last season to Barcelona. We fancy them to end the year with a bang and we are backing them to come out with the win here on the draw no bet option as our opening Alaves vs Real Madrid prediction

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Main tip: Real Madrid Win (Draw No Bet)

Our Alaves vs Real Madrid predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Real Madrid Win (Draw No Bet)

Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in the Spanish top flight. They have won three of the last four away matches in this span.

Alaves on their part have been wobbly at home in their recent matches. They have lost 3 of the last 6 home games including the weekend loss to Las Palmas

Looking at the context of the title race, we expect to see another laser-sharp Real Madrid performance here. We are therefore backing Real Madrid to win on the draw no bet option with terrific prices for this option offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Real Madrid Win (Draw No Bet)”

The odd of 1.24 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 81% chance that Real Madrid will win this match but bets will be void (refunded) if it ends in a draw

Odds comparison for Real Madrid Win (Draw No Bet)

1Win – odd 1.24
Betwinner – odd 1.21

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

This fixture has been a high-scoring one in recent years. 8 of the last 10 encounters have had at least 3 goals.

Madrid’s attack has also been on a tear scoring at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches across all competitions.

We expect this trend to hold here and we are backing at least 3 goals to be scored in this match with terrific odds for this option available at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.74 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 57% chance that there will be at least 3 total goals scored in this match

Odds comparisons Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.74
Bet365 – odd 1.72

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Prediction 3: Real Madrid Over 5.5 Corners

When clicking on all cylinders as they have been doing, Real Madrid are hard to stop. Their terrific attack puts a lot of pressure on other teams’ defences. As a result, they tend to rack up a lot of corners in the process.

4 of their last 5 H2H matchups saw Los Bloncos take at least 6 corners.

Given this is the final league match before we close the year, we fancy the visitors to come out with all guns blazing. With this in mind, we feel strongly there is value in backing Real Madrid to get at least 6 corners in this match as our final Alaves vs Real Madrid vs prediction for this clash

Statistics for Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 matches between these teams:

  • Alaves have 2 wins, Real Madrid have 8 wins
  • These matches have averaged 3.20 goals a game
  • Madrid won the last meeting 3-0 at home

Latest results Alaves

  • 2 wins, a draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • Just 5 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.00 goals per match
  • Lost 1-0 at home to Las Palmas in their last match

Latest results Real Madrid

  • 4 wins, and a draw in their last 5 matches
  • 14 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 2.80 goals per match
  • Thrashed Villarreal 4-1 at the Bernabeu in their last match
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Possible squad Alaves & Real Madrid

Line upAlaves Real Madrid
DefenseGorosabel, Maras, Marín, CarballoVázquez, Fernandes, Rüdiger, Mendy
MidfieldHagi, Blanco, GuridiValverde, Kroos, Modric
ForwardRebbach, Omorodion, RiojaBellingham, Rodrygo, Díaz
MissingAbqar (Red Card), Sedlar (ACL) Benavidez (Knock), Simeone (Ankle)Alaba (ACL) Camavinga (Knee), Carvajal (Calf), Courtois (ACL), Vinícius Júnior
(Hamstring), Militão (ACL), Güler (Muscle)
CoachLuis GarciaCarlo Ancelotti

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