Almeria vs Cadiz CF Prediction
The Segunda División encounter between UD Almería and Cádiz CF will take place on Sunday, 16.11.2025 at 6:15 GMT +3. The match, scheduled for Matchday 14, will be hosted at the UD Almería Stadium and promises to be a closely contested Andalusian derby. UD Almería arrive in fifth position with 22 points while Cádiz CF occupy sixth place with 21 points. Both sides have ambitions to keep pace at the top of the table, and this fixture offers an opportunity for either team to gain valuable ground.
This preview sets out the form, team news, head-to-head context and a set of considered betting predictions for the match, including the principal tip and several supplementary market selections.
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Betting tip: Correct score — 2:0 home win
Betting tip: Correct score prediction — UD Almería 2, Cádiz CF 0. The primary rationale for this selection is threefold: home advantage, recent form and the squad momentum under coach Rubi. At the UD Almería Stadium the hosts have been robust, recording four wins, one draw and one defeat in their home fixtures this season. Almería have also produced an excellent run of form overall, remaining unbeaten in their last five competitive matches (four wins and one draw) and producing a convincing 3:1 victory in their most recent outing against SD Eibar. Cádiz, by contrast, have been more conservative in attack this season — accumulating only 11 goals in the league — and have produced a mixed set of results away from home, with only one away win and several draws. Given these factors, Almería look the more likely side to take three points. Best odds for the correct score 2:0 are available at 6.50 (1win).
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Betting tip: Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams to score — No. The expectation that this contest may produce a clean sheet for one side is supported by the recent defensive solidity shown by UD Almería and Cádiz’s modest scoring record on the road. Almería have conceded 18 goals in the season but have tightened up recently, while Cádiz have managed only 11 goals overall, indicating limited offensive potency. Cádiz’s away record (1 win, 4 draws, 1 defeat) suggests they are compact and cautious on their travels, often prioritising a disciplined defensive shape rather than expansive attacking play. In a derby where margin and organisation will likely decide the outcome, a “no” on both teams scoring is a sensible conservative selection. Best odds for Both Teams to Score — No are listed at 1.92 (Betwinner).
Betting prediction: Over/Under — Under 2.5 goals
Betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals. The expectation of a low-scoring encounter is consistent with the styles and recent outputs of both teams. Cádiz’s season tally of 11 goals underlines their difficulty in producing high-scoring away performances, and Almería’s more pragmatic approach under Rubi has emphasized control and balance rather than free-scoring football. Recent fixtures for both sides have featured careful, tactical battles; Almería’s unbeaten run includes disciplined defensive displays and Cádiz have had several low-scoring draws. Consequently, a selection of under 2.5 goals is recommended as the most probable aggregate market. Best odds for Under 2.5 goals are 1.93 on 1Win.
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Statistics for UD Almería vs Cádiz CF
UD Almería team news!
UD Almería come into the fixture on a strong vein of form. Under the guidance of coach Rubi, they occupy 5th place in the Segunda División with 22 points from 12 matches, produced by six wins, four draws and two defeats, and a goal difference reflecting a 23:18 goals record. The hosts have been particularly effective at home — four wins, one draw and one loss — where they have shown an ability to control proceedings and press opponents aggressively. Rubi’s tactical organisation, emphasis on structured build-up and the momentum from recent victories make Almería a firm favourite in front of their supporters.
Cádiz CF team news!
Cádiz CF, coached by Gaizka Garitano, are close behind in sixth position with 21 points, accrued from five wins, six draws and two defeats, and a goals tally of 11:9. Cádiz’s season has been defined by tight, often low-scoring affairs and an approach that favours defensive solidity and compactness. Their away form shows a conservative record (one win, four draws, one defeat), suggesting that Garitano’s side are difficult to break down but also not prolific in attack on the road. The heads-up from their most recent fixture — a 0:0 home draw with Real Valladolid — underlines the team’s propensity for disciplined, low-scoring displays.
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H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head record between these clubs is finely balanced. In the last five meetings across all competitions, the record stands at one win for UD Almería, three draws and one win for Cádiz. The most recent direct encounter finished as a 2:1 home victory for Cádiz. Historical meetings between regional rivals often generate tight affairs, and the record of draws indicates parity and a habit of closely contested matches.
Last results — UD Almería
In their last five competitive outings UD Almería have recorded four wins and one draw, remaining unbeaten over that period. Their current form is excellent, reflecting a team growing in confidence and cohesion under Rubi’s leadership. The most recent game saw Almería claim a 3:1 home victory over SD Eibar, reinforcing their attacking threat when both control and opportunity present themselves.
Last results — Cádiz CF
Cádiz CF’s last five fixtures have produced one win, three draws and one defeat. Their recent form is therefore more conservative, characterised by stalemates and a compact defensive approach, as evidenced by their most recent 0:0 draw at home against Real Valladolid. This run underscores Cádiz’s difficulty in converting matches into wins while maintaining a compact defensive posture.
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Conclusion
All considered, UD Almería should be viewed as the favourites for this fixture. Home advantage, superior recent form and momentum under Rubi give them the edge against a Cádiz side that tends toward caution and low-scoring outcomes. The principal forecast is a correct-score projection of 2:0 in favour of the hosts, supplemented by conservative markets that reflect the likely low-scoring nature of the clash: Both Teams to Score — No, and Under 2.5 goals. Bettors should, as always, manage stakes prudently and verify the latest team news and market prices prior to placing wagers.
