Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca prediction
The Primera División fixture between Atlético Madrid and RCD Mallorca is scheduled for Sunday, 25.01.2026 at 4:00 PM GMT +3 (matchday 21). The match will be staged at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano and pits a table-contending Atlético side against a Mallorca team fighting to consolidate its top-flight status. Atlético Madrid occupy 4th place with 41 points, while RCD Mallorca sit 14th on 21 points. This preview analyses form, head-to-head data and squad context to produce considered betting guidance for the encounter.
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Main Betting prediction — Correct score: 2:0 Atletico Win
Atlético arrive with a strong overall record (12 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats) and an especially imposing home record: 9 wins and 1 draw from ten home matches, remaining unbeaten at their staged ground this season. Mallorca, by contrast, have managed only one away victory, alongside two draws and seven defeats on the road. The sides’ recent head-to-head history further supports the home side: in the last five meetings Atlético have won four and shared one draw. Atlético’s defensive record for the season (17 goals conceded) indicates a robust, organised unit under coach Diego Simeone, which reduces the probability of an upset by an away side that has struggled to score consistently away from home. A 2:0 home victory reflects a controlled performance by Atlético: an efficient attacking display sufficient to secure the three points combined with defensive solidity to prevent Mallorca from scoring. Best odds for correct score 2:0 (6.00 on 1Win).
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2nd Betting tip — Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams do not score (Both teams to score? No). Atlético Madrid have conceded relatively few goals across the campaign, with 17 conceded in total, while Mallorca’s away scoring record is modest. Considering Atlético’s defensive organisation and Mallorca’s away struggles (1W, 2D, 7L), the likelihood of a clean sheet for Atlético is credible. Additionally, the head-to-head trend and Atlético’s form at home suggest a match where the hosts can control proceedings and limit Mallorca’s chances. For those who prefer the market pricing, the best available odds on both teams to score: NO at 1win 1.67 on Betwinner.
3rd Betting prediction — Under 2.5 goals
Betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals. Atlético’s approach under Diego Simeone is traditionally compact and pragmatic, particularly in fixtures they are expected to control. Their goals conceded and the clean-sheet potential noted above point to a probability of a low-scoring affair. Mallorca’s away matches have often failed to produce many goals from the visitors, and the combination of Atlético’s defensive discipline with Mallorca’s limited attacking output away supports an Under 2.5 selection. Best odds for Under 2.5 goals is 2.19 on 1Win.
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Statistics for Atlético Madrid vs RCD Mallorca
Atlético Madrid team news!
Atlético Madrid sit 4th with 41 points, accrued from 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats, with a goal record of 35 scored and 17 conceded. At home they are particularly formidable, recording nine wins and one draw from their ten home fixtures, an unbeaten home ledger that underpins their status as favourites. Coach Diego Simeone has again instilled tactical discipline and defensive organisation as hallmarks of the team’s performance. Atlético’s recent overall form shows two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions, indicating reasonable momentum but also some vulnerability in tight encounters. Their most recent match ended in a 1:1 away draw against Galatasaray.
RCD Mallorca team news!
RCD Mallorca occupy 14th place with 21 points, from 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats, and a goal tally of 24 scored and 30 conceded. Their away record is problematic: only one win away from home, with two draws and seven defeats. Under coach Jagoba Arrasate, Mallorca have shown resilience at times but have struggled to accumulate points on the road and to maintain defensive consistency. In the last five matches across competitions Mallorca have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, a sequence that highlights precarious form. Their latest fixture produced a 3:2 home victory over Athletic Bilbao, but that positive result does not neutralise their wider away deficiencies.
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H2H statistics
In their last five meetings across all competitions Atlético Madrid have won four times and one match ended in a draw; Mallorca have not registered a win in that recent sequence. The head-to-head balance is clearly in Atlético’s favour, reflecting both tactical advantages and psychological superiority in direct encounters.
Last results Atlético Madrid
In their most recent five fixtures across all competitions Atlético Madrid have compiled two wins, two draws and one defeat. The sequence points to a generally positive but not flawless run of form; Atlético remain competitive and difficult to break down at home.
Last results RCD Mallorca
RCD Mallorca’s last five matches show one win, one draw and three defeats. The pattern reveals inconsistency and defensive frailties, particularly away from home, which have contributed to their modest points total and their placement near the lower half of the table.
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Conclusion
All available indicators point to Atlético Madrid assuming the role of clear favourites for this encounter. The host advantage — an unbeaten home record this season — combined with a superior league standing, a favourable head-to-head record and a compact defensive profile under coach Diego Simeone, make a home victory the most probable outcome. RCD Mallorca’s well-documented struggles away from home, lower goal-scoring efficiency on the road and recent run of mixed results reduce their prospects of overturning the hosts. Consequently, the recommended primary selection is a Correct Score 2:0 home win for Atlético Madrid. Complementary selections — Both teams to score: No, and Under 2.5 goals — coherently reflect the expectation of a controlled Atlético performance with limited goal concessions.
