Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna prediction
The Primera División returns to the spotlight on Saturday, 18 October 2025, when Atlético Madrid face CA Osasuna at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Kick-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM GMT +3 on matchday 9. Atlético Madrid approach the fixture as one of the division’s more consistent sides so far this season and will expect to capitalise on an excellent home record. Osasuna travel with the objective of damaging those expectations, yet their away form and recent results make them sizeable underdogs.
Competition: Primera División
Matchday: 9
Stadium: Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Date & Time: Saturday, 18.10.2025, 10:00 PM GMT +3
Atlético Madrid: 13 points — 5th place (3 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat, goals 15:10). Home record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats.
CA Osasuna: 10 points — 12th place (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats, goals 7:8). Away record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 4 defeats.
Last direct meeting: 2:0 home win for CA Osasuna. Head-to-head (last 5): Atlético Madrid 3 wins, 0 draws, CA Osasuna 2 wins. Recent form (last 5, all competitions): Atlético Madrid 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats; CA Osasuna 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats. Last matches: Atlético Madrid secured a penalty-shootout success (4:2 on penalties after 1:1) at home to Inter Milan; CA Osasuna lost 0:2 away to Real Sociedad.
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Main tip: Halftime/Fulltime, Atletico/Atletico
Betting prediction: Halftime/Fulltime, Atletico/Atletico. The home side have compiled an unbeaten run in their last five matches across competitions (four wins and one draw) and maintain a perfect domestic home record to date (three wins and one draw). Diego Simeone’s squad has demonstrated both defensive resilience and attacking potency, registering 15 goals in the league so far. Osasuna’s away form is troubling: they have yet to secure a point on the road this season (0W, 0D, 4L) and have shown vulnerability away from home. Given these factors, a home victory is the most probable outcome. Best available odd for HT/FT, 1/1: Paripesa at 1.84.
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Betting prediction — Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams do not score. Atlético Madrid combine a solid defensive record at home with an attacking unit that has been selective in conceding away opportunities. Osasuna have struggled to score consistently away and their road games this season have produced few goals in their favour. Considering Atlético’s ability to control fixtures under Diego Simeone and Osasuna’s poor away scoring record, the No option for both teams to score offers a sensible risk-reducing alternative to a plain home win. Best available odds for Both Teams To Score: NO at 1Win, 1.65.
Betting prediction — Under 2.5 goals
Betting tip: Under 2.5 goals. Having recommended that both teams may not score, the under 2.5 market is supported by Atlético’s propensity for tight defenses, resulting in low-scoring matches. Osasuna, when playing away, have often played a cautious game, and Atlético’s offensive quality may not be enough to push the contest beyond the 2.5 threshold even if Osasuna’s scoring remains limited. This selection complements the main prediction by anticipating a match with fewer than three goals, likely delivered primarily by Atlético. Best odds for under 2.5 goals are odds 1.93 on Paripesa.
Betting prediction — Correct score: 2:0 to Atlético Madrid
Betting tip: Correct score prediction of 2:0 in favour of Atlético Madrid. This precise outcome reflects the expectation that Atlético will control the game, create sufficient chances to score multiple times, and maintain defensive discipline to prevent Osasuna from breaking through. The scoreline also aligns with Atlético’s tendency to secure clear, controlled victories at home. Best odds: the specific best odd for the 2:0 correct-score market was 5.50 on Paripesa.
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Statistics for Atlético Madrid vs CA Osasuna
Atlético Madrid team news!
Atlético Madrid enter the fixture on 13 points and occupy fifth position in the Primera División standings. Under the management of Diego Simeone, Atlético have produced a blend of tactical solidity and efficient attacking play, evidenced by 15 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their domestic home form is notable: three wins and one draw in four matches, with no defeats on home soil this season. The squad’s recent run of four wins and one draw in the last five matches highlights an uplift in confidence across competitions, including a cup-style success on penalties against Inter Milan in the most recent outing. Simeone’s experience and the team’s cohesion provide Atlético with a clear competitive edge for the forthcoming fixture.
CA Osasuna team news!
CA Osasuna arrive with 10 points, positioned 12th in the table. Managed by Alessio Lisci, Osasuna have accumulated three wins, one draw and four defeats overall, with a modest goal difference (7:8). Their away record is a major concern: zero points from four matches, without a single away win or draw. Recently the team has struggled for consistency, with one win, one draw and three losses in their last five outings; the latest result was a 0:2 defeat away to Real Sociedad. Lisci faces a challenge to arrest the away form and to find more reliable goal-scoring outlets in hostile stadium environments.
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H2H statistics
The head-to-head history between these clubs in the last five meetings shows Atlético Madrid with three wins and CA Osasuna with two wins; there have been no draws among those five encounters. Notably, the most recent direct meeting concluded with a 2:0 home victory for CA Osasuna, indicating that while Atlético have the superior overall record in recent clashes, Osasuna are capable of specific results on their day.
Last results Atlético Madrid
In terms of recent form across competitions, Atlético Madrid have recorded four wins and one draw in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten during that sequence. This run encapsulates positive momentum and a stable performance profile: the team has been effective both in converting chances and in maintaining defensive organisation under pressure.
Last results CA Osasuna
CA Osasuna’s recent form shows one win, one draw and three defeats in the last five fixtures. The pattern indicates inconsistency and defensive frailty, particularly away from home. The current form suggests Osasuna must improve significantly to pose a sustained threat to Atlético at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Atlético Madrid are the clear favourites for this match. Their unbeaten recent form, strong home record and superior offensive output make them the most likely team to secure the three points. CA Osasuna’s poor away form and inconsistent recent performances diminish their prospects. The recommended primary selection is a HT/FT, Atletico/Atletico. Complementary selections that reflect the match dynamics are Both Teams To Score: No, Under 2.5 goals, and a correct score prediction of 2:0 to Atlético Madrid. These combined predictions balance probability and value given the available information and bookmaker pricing.
