Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction
The Primera División fixture between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid will take place on Saturday, 27.09.2025 at 5:15 PM GMT +3. The match, played on Matchday 7, is scheduled for the Riyadh Air Metropolitano and promises to be a high-profile encounter between two of Spain’s most prominent clubs. Atlético Madrid arrive with 9 points and occupy 8th place in the table after recording 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, with a goal difference of 9:7. Their home form has been solid: 2 wins and 1 draw from three matches at the Metropolitano.
Real Madrid top the table with a perfect record of 18 points from 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats, boasting an impressive 14:3 goal tally and an unbeaten away record of 3 wins from 3 matches. The two sides also met most recently in a cup tie that finished 0:1 after regular and extra time, with Real Madrid prevailing 4:2 on penalties. Historically, across the last five meetings in all competitions, Real Madrid have the edge with 2 wins and 3 draws, while Atlético have not recorded a victory in that span.
Get the best La Liga betting tips for all the top teams and matches for each matchday. Our experts pick a variety of markets that bring you good returns.
Our betting tip for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid
Main betting tip — Double Chance – Real Madrid/Draw
The principal betting tip for this fixture is a Double Chance – Real Madrid/Draw. Real Madrid’s form this season is exemplary: they have won all six league matches and remain unbeaten in their last five competitive fixtures. Under the direction of Xabi Alonso, Real have demonstrated consistency in attack and resilience defensively, reflected in a +11 goal difference so far. Atlético, coached by Diego Simeone, have shown grit but their results indicate vulnerability—they have drawn three league matches already and have not been able to match Real’s offensive efficiency. Given Real’s momentum, superior recent form and psychological advantage from the last direct meeting, an away win or draw is a logical primary selection. Best available odds on the market for Double Chance – Real Madrid/Draw at 1win with odd 1.40. This selection offers value when balancing current form, personnel stability and recent head-to-head dynamics.
1Win is one of the best betting sites in Kenya as reviewed by our team of experts. They score high on their registration, payment methods, betting markets, and odds.
Second betting tip — Both teams score? Yes
The second betting tip is that both teams will score. Both Atlético and Real Madrid have been involved in open, competitive games this season. Atlético have scored nine goals in their league fixtures while conceding seven; their matches have tended to be competitive and contain multiple goal-scoring opportunities for both sides. Real Madrid are prolific offensively yet have conceded in some fixtures, indicating that they are not immune to counter-threats and set-piece vulnerabilities. The combination of Atlético’s willingness to press and Real’s attacking potency suggests both teams finding the net is a realistic outcome. Best available odds for Both Teams to Score: YES at Betwinner with odd 1.60.
Third betting tip — Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals
The third betting tip favors Under 3.5 goals. While both teams possess attacking quality, the nature of Atlético’s tactical organization under Diego Simeone often tempers matches, particularly against elite opposition. Real Madrid, despite their scoring record, may approach this fixture with tactical caution given the significance of the rivalry and the away setting; Xabi Alonso is likely to manage the game pragmatically. The recent head-to-head pattern and Atlético’s tendency to keep matches tight favor a game that remains under four goals. Note: the specific market odds for Under 3.5 were not provided in the supplied data, but this market offers a conservative expectation consistent with both teams’ defensive records in certain high-stakes fixtures.
Enjoy easy wins daily with our Victor predictions. We feature matches from different leagues and competitions.
Statistics for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid team news!
Atlético Madrid, managed by Diego Simeone, have reached this fixture with an uneven but resilient start to the league campaign. The club sits in 8th position with 9 points earned from 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, and a goals tally of 9 scored against 7 conceded. Home form has been a relative strength: 2 wins and 1 draw at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano indicate that Atletico are difficult to beat on familiar turf. Simeone’s tactical emphasis on organization, counter-attacking and set-piece efficiency will remain central to Atlético’s approach; they are likely to prioritize defensive compactness and transitional chances against Real’s creative threats.
Real Madrid team news!
Real Madrid, under the guidance of Xabi Alonso, have begun the campaign in dominant fashion and lead the table with 18 points from six consecutive wins. Their goal return of 14 for and only 3 against highlights a balanced team performance with effective attacking rotation and a sturdy defensive base. Away from home they have recorded three wins from three, indicating confidence and cohesion when playing on the road. Alonso’s system has produced both fluid offence and organized pressing, which poses a significant test to Atletico’s defensive discipline.
Get free football betting tips from our page. We cover a wide range of leagues and competitions from across the world.
H2H statistics
In the last five meetings across all competitions between these two teams, Atlético Madrid have not registered a victory. Real Madrid have won 2 of those encounters and the remaining 3 ended in draws. The most recent direct meeting was resolved in Real Madrid’s favour on penalties after a narrow 0:1 scoreline in regulation and extra time. Historically, Atlético’s matches with Real are often tight and tense, with marginal differences deciding outcomes.
Last results Atlético Madrid
Over their last five competitive matches, Atlético Madrid have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The current form reflects a team that is difficult to break down at home but occasionally lacks clinical finishing to convert dominance into full points. Their mix of results emphasizes resilience and the potential for an organized defensive performance against high-caliber opposition.
Last results Real Madrid
Real Madrid come into the match on an outstanding run: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. This sequence underlines a side in peak condition, combining attacking efficiency with consistent results. Their recent form suggests they are the favorites for this fixture, carrying momentum and confidence.
TIP: Download Telegram before you click here!
Conclusion
In conclusion, Real Madrid enter this fixture as the clear favorites on form and league standing. Their unbeaten start, recent sequence of victories and robust away performances make them the logical selection to win. Atlético Madrid remain a stern opponent, particularly at home and under Diego Simeone’s tactical stewardship, but their mixed results and defensive concessions leave them vulnerable to Real’s incisive attack. The recommended outcome remains a Double Chance – Real Madrid/Draw, with an expectation that both teams will score and the match will stay under 3.5 goals — a scenario consistent with a tight but open clash.
