Girona vs Real Madrid prediction
The Primera División returns to the Municipal de Montilivi on Sunday, 30 November 2025, when Girona FC host Real Madrid in a Matchday 14 encounter with kick-off scheduled for 11:00. Girona arrive in a precarious position near the foot of the table on 11 points and in 18th place, while Real Madrid top the standings on 32 points. This preview examines form, personnel considerations, and statistical context ahead of the clash, and concludes with a set of betting recommendations based on the available markets and probabilities.
And if you’re still trying to figure out where this one might tilt, it’s worth taking a quick look at our La Liga betting tips, just to see which angles stand out the most.
Main Tip: Both teams score? Yes
Both teams to score — Yes. Despite Girona’s defensive fragility, they have shown an ability to find the net at times; Real Madrid have conceded more than in some previous campaigns and can be vulnerable to direct transition play. The combination of Girona’s need to attack at home and Real Madrid’s attacking potency suggests a high likelihood of both sides scoring. Additionally, recent matches include goals on both ends (Real Madrid’s 4:3 away win in Europe demonstrates both scoring capacity and some defensive exposure). Best available odds for this market in the supplied data: Both teams to score — YES at 1win, odds 1.60.
Tip 2: Over/Under – Under 3.5 Goals
Under 3.5 goals. While both teams are likely to score, the structural profile of the fixture (a stronger visiting side against a lower‑ranked home team that will often invite pressure and attempt controlled counterattacks) points to a match that may not exceed a high‑scoring threshold. Under 3.5 goals is a conservative selection that captures the probability of a contested game with multiple defensive interventions and tactical caution from Girona, who will prioritise structure to limit damage. This market selection aligns with an expected final scoreline that is competitive but not runaway. Note: the supplied data lists the Over/Under selection as Under 3.5 goals, but does not include a specific quoted odd for this exact market in the provided sources.
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Tip 3: Correct score Tip
Correct score prediction — 1:2 (Away win for Real Madrid) Projecting a realistic scoreline, a 1:2 win for Real Madrid reflects Girona’s tendency to concede while retaining some offensive threat at Montilivi. It dovetails with a forecast where Girona manage to convert at least once (through set pieces or counter opportunities) while Real Madrid, enjoying greater attacking quality, secure two goals. The correct score market is more speculative and has higher variance, and no explicit odds for this exact correct score were supplied in the provided dataset.
Statistics for Girona FC vs Real Madrid
- Competition: Primera División
- Date & time: Sunday, 30.11.2025, 23:00
- Matchday: 14
- Stadium: Municipal de Montilivi
Basic season numbers:
- Girona FC: 11 points — 18th place; 2 wins, 5 draws, 6 defeats; goals 12:25. Home record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats.
- Real Madrid: 32 points — 1st place; 10 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat; goals 28:12. Away record: 4 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat.
Girona FC team news!
Manager: Míchel Under the stewardship of Míchel, Girona have struggled to convert their tactical ideas into consistent results this season. The side’s defensive record is concerning, with 25 goals conceded after 13 matches, yet they have not been bereft of attacking endeavour — they have accumulated a number of draws and sporadic victories. At Montilivi, expectations are for a compact, organised defensive block that seeks to disrupt Real Madrid’s rhythm and hit on the break. Squad selection will likely favour defensive solidity and players capable of quick transitions; injuries and individual match‑ups will influence whether Míchel adjusts his approach to a more conservative game plan.
Real Madrid team news!
Manager: Xabi Alonso Xabi Alonso has guided Real Madrid to a commanding league position. The team’s balance between attacking flair and structural discipline has produced a strong points return and a positive goal difference. Away performances have been generally convincing, and the squad depth offers Alonso multiple tactical options. Real Madrid will aim to control possession, probe Girona’s defensive lines, and exploit set‑piece and wide opportunities. Rotation remains possible depending on the workload in other competitions, but the starting XI is expected to retain a strong attacking spine.
H2H statistics
Recent meetings favour Real Madrid. Over the last five encounters across all competitions, Girona have recorded 1 win while Real Madrid have won 4; there have been no draws in that sample. The last direct meeting ended in a 2:0 home win for Real Madrid.
Last results Girona FC
In their last five matches across all competitions Girona have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Their current form therefore shows some resilience, with a run that includes multiple unbeaten results, but the team’s broader season numbers indicate persistent defensive issues and inconsistent goal production.
Last results Real Madrid
Real Madrid’s last five matches across all competitions also show a 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat pattern. Recent outings include high‑profile scoring displays, illustrating both attacking potency and occasional defensive lapses.
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Conclusion
Real Madrid arrive as clear favourites to secure three points at Montilivi. The combination of superior league position, better goal difference, stronger away form and favourable head‑to‑head history supports an away win as the primary outcome. Girona’s tactical approach under Míchel will seek to frustrate and counter, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends, but also makes a narrow scoreline more probable than a rout. For betting considerations: the main betting prediction is a Real Madrid victory (Tip 2 — 1xBet odd 1.45), with secondary selections favouring Both Teams to Score — Yes (Paripesa odd 1.60) and Under 3.5 goals as a conservative goals market choice. A plausible correct score is 1:2 to Real Madrid. As always, bettors should consider match‑day team news, starting line‑ups and any late injuries before placing stakes.
