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Girona - Real Madrid
La Liga
Sat, 30.09.2023 – 7:30 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Real Win (DNB)

Girona vs Real Madrid prediction

Action continues in the Spanish La Liga this weekend as Girona will look to continue their good start to the season when they host Real Madrid in one of the fixtures to anticipate. So far, Girona have had a flying start to the season, earning 5 wins and 1 draw in their first 6 league games, a form which has propelled them to 2nd on the log, 1 point behind leaders Barcelona. In fact, excluding Real Madrid and Barcelona, Girona are the first side to have earned more than 13 points from their first 5 games of the season since Sevilla in 2017/18 campaign. Here, they will hope to build on this impeccable feat and hand Real their second defeat of the season.

Meanwhile, Real Madrid head to this away game on the back of a 3-1 away loss to Atletico Madrid. That defeat, was Real’s first this season, ending their perfect start to the campaign. It was also the second league game Jude Bellingham had failed to rescue his side’s all 3 points. As things stand, Real are already falling behind their arch rivals Barcelona in terms of how the former has been grinding out results to also remain unbeaten so far this season. In their last trip to Girona, Real lost 4-2, meaning in this tie, they will look to avoid back to back losses against Miguel Ángel’s men.

Certainly, Girona will be upbeat by their current La Liga form and the fact that the Real struggled in their last away trip. However, Real Madrid still have what it takes to earn all three in this tie. As a result, for our Girona Vs Real Madrid prediction, we are backing the Ancelotti’s men to emerge victorious while the game will be void in the event of a draw.

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Main tip: Real Win (DNB)

Our Girona vs Real Madrid predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Real Win (DNB)

Real Madrid’s last away trip ended in a 3-1 loss to city rivals Atletico Madrid, this means they will be extra motivated to avoid a second defeat on the road. Also, their last trip to Girona ended 4-2 in favor of the home side but prior to that tie, Real Madrid enjoyed a good outing against them winning 4-1 and 3-1 respectively. With this, Ancelotti’s men have earned a better h2h record, winning 4 out of their 8 meetings, against Girona’s 3. Going by this run and the presence of match winners in that Real squad, we are backing the away side to get all 3 points and we expect the game to be voided if it ends in a draw.

Odds for this bet

Betwinner offers competitive odds for the bet “Real Madrid Win (DNB)”

The odd of 1.48 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 68% chance that Real will win while the game will be refunded if it ends in a draw.

Odds comparison for Real Madrid Win (DNB)

Betwinner – odds 1.48
Melbet – odds 1.47

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

Real Madrid have what it takes to deliver on the goals front given the presence of top players like Bellingham, Joselu, Kroos and others. In fact, 4 of their last 5 games have produced at least three goals. Also, in 7 of their last 8 meetings against Girona, at least 3 goals were scored as those games ended 2-1, 6-3, 4-1, 4-2, 3-1, 2-1 and 4-2 respectively. In addition, Girona’s last home game saw them score 5 in a 5-3 win over Mallorca. Prior to that win, they beat Granada 4-2 away, taking their tally in 2 games to 9. Based on this, we can see both sides have all it takes to give punters an entertaining show. Hence, for our second Girona Vs Real Madrid prediction, we expect the game to produce at least 3 goals.

Odds for this bet

Melbet offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.64 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 61% chance that This match will produce not less than 3 goals.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Goals

Melbet – odds 1.64
Mozzart – odds 1.63

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Prediction 3: Over 8.5 Corners

A look at the previous engagements of both sides show how much of an attacking side they are and what we can enjoy as fans, punters and neutrals. Real’s push to avoid a consecutive loss on the road and Girona’s quest to earn back to back home wins against Ancelotti’s men, makes this an explosive fixture to anticipate. We believe Griona’s quest for another home win and Real’s desire to avert another away loss sets this up for a potential corner driven game. Hence, we are expecting that at least 9 corners will be played here.

Statistics for Girona vs Real Madrid Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 8 meetings between these two teams:

  • Real got 4 wins, Girona won 3, while 1 match was drawn
  • These matches scored an average of 4.75 goals per match
  • The last time they met, it ended 4-2 to Girona

Latest results Girona

  • 5 wins in their last 5 matches
  • 14 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.80 goals per match
  • In their last match, they beat Real 4-2

Latest results Real Madrid

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • They lost 3-1 to Atletico in their last match
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Possible squad Girona & Real Madrid

Line upGironaReal Madrid
DefenseMartinez, Garcia, Lopez, GutierrezNacho, Rudiger, Vazquez, Mendy
MidfieldSavio, Martin, Garcia, HerreraValverde, Tchouameni, Camvinga, Diaz
ForwardTsygankov, DovbykJoselu, Rodrygo
MissingNoneMilitao (ACL), Courtois (ACL)
CoachMiguel ÁngelCarlo Ancelotti

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