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Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid
La Liga
Sun, 18.02.2024 – 4:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Real Madrid Win

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid prediction

Rayo Vallecano are desperately looking to overturn a terrible slump but their task doesn’t get any easier this weekend as they welcome league leaders and more illustrious neighbors Real Madrid to their Campo de Futbol de Vallecas stadium (Madrid). A 2-1 loss at Mallorca last time out means the Red Sashes are now winless in six games and are in danger of being dragged into the relegation battle as they are 14th on the log, just 7 points away from the drop zone.

Real Madrid have a spring in their bounce at the moment. An impressive 4-0 thrashing of 2nd placed Girona last weekend saw them open up a 5-point cushion at the top of the standings. They followed that up with a solid 1-0 midweek win away at RB Leipzig in the first leg of their UCL last 16 tie. Brahim Díaz’s brilliant 2nd half strike was all it took to put them in pole position for the 1/4 finals. Coach Ancelotti will look to continue their assault on the league especially now that they have started to create some separation

Both teams are on opposite spectrums as far as form is concerned. While Rayo is struggling to get any sort of footing, Madrid are firing on all cylinders. We expect the home side to try and put up some resistance but the quality within the rank and file of the visitors is too much to overcome. We are therefore backing Ream Madrid to pick up the win here as our main Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid prediction for this game

Stay in touch with the latest Real Madrid prediction for upcoming matches from the Spanish top division as well as the Champions League. Follow our expert tips to win!

Main tip: Real Madrid Win

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Real Madrid Win

Rayo are winless in their last 6 matches and have actually lost 4 of their last 5 league matches; Real on the other hand have picked up an impressive 5 wins in their last 6 games and they have moved to the top of the league in that timespan.

At home, the situation is even worse for Rayo Vallecano. They have not won any of the last 9 league games and have lost the last three straight.

With this in mind we feel comfortable enough to back Real Madrid to pick all three points on offer here with competitive prices for this market offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Real Madrid Win”

The odd of 1.63 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 61% chance that Real Madrid will emerge victorious in this match

Odds comparison for Real Madrid Win

1Win – odd 1.63
Betwinner – odd 1.60

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

We expect a bucketload of goals here. Rayo have been at the bottom of the barrel defensively with just 1 clean sheet in their last 9 home games while Real have found their scoring boots again and have been banging in the net of late including the 4-0 rout of Girona last weekend

3 of their last 5 H2H matches have also had at least 3 goals scored

We fancy this goal bump from Real will continue here and with the home side expected to try and get something for themselves, we feel there is value in backing this game to have at least 3 total goals scored with terrific odds for this option available at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.89 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 53% chance that this match will have at least 3 or more total goals scored

Odds comparisons Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.89
10Bet – odd 1.84

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Prediction 3: Bellingham Anytime Scorer

Bellingham has been the star of the show for Real Madrid this season. The English superstar has had a Ballon d’Or caliber season with his goalscoring exploits

He scored a brace in the 4-0 mauling of Girona in their last league match

He is yet to score away in the league this calendar year but we expect him to break the duck and we are therefore backing Bellingham to score anytime in this game as our final Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid prediction

Statistics for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction

H2H statistics

Taking a look at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Real dominate with 7 wins, Vallecano have 2 wins and 1 game was drawn
  • These matches average 3.30 goals a match
  • The last meeting in a goalless draw at the Bernabeu in the reverse game back in October 2023

Latest results Rayo Vallecano

  • Winless in their last 5 with 1 draw and 4 losses
  • Just 3 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 0.60 goals per match
  • Lost 2-1 away at Mallorca in their last match

Latest results Real Madrid

  • 4 draws and a draw in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • Edged RB Leipzig 1-0 away in their midweek UCL matchup
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Possible squad Rayo Vallecano & Real Madrid

Line upRayo Vallecano Real Madrid
DefenseEspino, Lejuune, Hernandez, BalliuVazquez, Tchouameni, Carvajal, Mendy
MidfieldChavarria, Valentino, Lopez, PalazonValverde, Kroos, Camavinga, Bellingham
ForwardTrejo, CamelloRodrygo, Vinicius Jr.
MissingMendez, Ciss, BebeAlaba (Knee), Courtois (Knee), Militao (Knee), Rudiger (Muscle)
CoachFrancisco RodriguezCarlo Ancelotti

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