Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction
The Primera División fixture between Real Madrid and Celta de Vigo will take place on Sunday, 07.12.2025 at 11:00 at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. This encounter is part of Matchday 15 and pitches a resurgent Real Madrid side against a Celta team seeking greater consistency on the road. Real Madrid arrive in second place with 36 points from 15 matches, while Celta de Vigo lie twelfth with 16 points. The Bernabéu setting, the form lines and the head-to-head record all point towards a clear favourite, but there remain tactical nuances to consider ahead of kick-off.
And if you’re still trying to figure out where this one might tilt, it’s worth taking a quick look at our La Liga betting tips, just to see which angles stand out the most.
Betting prediction for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo
Main Tip: Correct score: 3:0 Real Madrid
A specific correct-score forecast offers a conservative and realistic outcome: 3:0 in favour of Real Madrid. This scoreline aligns with the expected superiority of the home side, a likely first-half goal to settle the game, and a subsequent Real attempt to control possession and limit Celta’s opportunities. The 3:0 prediction combines the primary belief in a Real Madrid victory with the under 3.5 goals expectation and the notion that Celta may get only limited chances to score. Best available odd for a 3:0 home win is at 1win at 6:20.
Tip 2: HT/FT – Real Madrid/Real Madrid
Real Madrid are the clear favourites to secure victory at the Bernabéu. Xabi Alonso’s side have accumulated 36 points, posting an outstanding home record of six wins from six home matches this season and a goal difference of 32:13 overall. Their capacity to control matches both in possession and in transition, combined with a strong defensive record and clinical finishing, underpins the choice of a home win as the primary betting prediction. Celta de Vigo have struggled to impose themselves away from Balaídos on an inconsistent basis despite respectable away numbers, and the head-to-head metric — five straight wins for Real Madrid in the last five meetings — further strengthens the forecast. Best available odd for a home win: Paripesa at 1.65.
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Tip 3: Under 3.5 goals
Despite an expectation of both teams scoring, the overall goal volume is likely to stay moderate. Real Madrid’s recent matches have shown they can control tempo and settle games without excessive goal tallies, while Celta often adopt a pragmatic approach away from home under Claudio Giráldez. The projection for under 3.5 goals accounts for Real Madrid’s capacity to manage the match once they take the lead and Celta’s tendency to defend compactly, attempting to frustrate superior opponents rather than engage in open, high-scoring affairs. Best available odd for Under 3.5 goals: odds not listed among provided sources.
Statistics for Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo
Real Madrid team news!
Real Madrid, coached by Xabi Alonso, sit second in the table with 36 points, having recorded 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat across all competitions this season, and a goals tally of 32 scored and 13 conceded. At the Bernabéu they remain perfect domestically with six wins from six home fixtures. Their recent run shows resilience and a capacity to control domestic encounters, and Alonso’s tactical approach emphasises structured build-up, positional discipline and clinical finishing on transitions. Their last match was an emphatic 3:0 away victory against Athletic Bilbao, which will have reinforced the squad’s confidence ahead of this fixture.
Celta de Vigo team news!
Celta de Vigo, under the management of Claudio Giráldez, occupy 12th position with 16 points, compiled from 3 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats, and a goals record of 16 scored and 19 conceded. Celta’s away record is respectable: three wins, two draws and one defeat away from home this season, suggesting they are not facile opponents on the road. However, their most recent result was a 0:1 home defeat to Espanyol, which highlights vulnerabilities in breaking down compact defensive systems and maintaining defensive concentration for the full ninety minutes. Giráldez must balance defensive solidity with sufficient support for the attacking players if his side is to threaten at the Bernabéu.
H2H statistics
Head-to-head history heavily favours Real Madrid. In the last five meetings across all competitions Real Madrid have recorded five wins, with no draws and no victories for Celta de Vigo. The most recent direct meeting ended 3:2 in favour of Real Madrid at home, indicating that while Celta can provide offensive moments, Real have historically found ways to prevail. This sustained dominance in the matchup is an important contextual factor for bettors and analysts.
Last results Real Madrid
In their last five matches across all competitions Real Madrid have achieved 2 wins and 3 draws, remaining unbeaten during this period. This run denotes solidity and reliability, with the side avoiding defeats and demonstrating consistency under Xabi Alonso. The current form suggests a team that can be trusted to maintain focus in domestic fixtures and to manage matches effectively against mid-table opposition.
Last results Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo’s last five fixtures across competitions show 2 wins and 3 defeats, with no draws in that sequence. This mixed run reflects inconsistency: the team can secure victories but is also prone to lapses that lead to defeat. Their current form is therefore more volatile than Real Madrid’s, indicating that while opportunities exist to upset stronger teams, the probability of maintaining a high-performance level for 90 minutes is less assured.
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Conclusion
On balance, Real Madrid enter this fixture as clear favourites. Their perfect home record, superior points tally, recent unbeaten run and dominant head-to-head history versus Celta de Vigo all point toward a home victory. Celta’s away form and capacity to score mean they should not be discounted entirely; however, the most prudent appraisal forecasts a controlled Real Madrid win with limited overall goal volume. , with both teams likely to score, the match remaining under 3.5 goals and a realistic correct-score projection of 3:0 in favour of Real Madrid. These selections reflect form, tactical considerations and historical precedent.
