Real Madrid vs Real Betis prediction
The Primera División returns with a compelling encounter at the Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday, 04.01.2026 (kick-off 6:15 PM GMT +3), when league leaders Real Madrid host Real Betis Sevilla in Matchday 18. This fixture pits a Real Madrid side in strong domestic form and occupying second place in the table with 42 points against a resilient Betis outfit sitting sixth on 28 points. The Bernabéu promises an intense atmosphere: Xabi Alonso’s team have been especially formidable at home (7 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat), while Manuel Pellegrini’s Betis arrive unbeaten away this season (2 wins, 6 draws, 0 defeats). The recent head-to-head record suggests a balanced rivalry: across the last five meetings both clubs have shared results (1 Real Madrid win, 3 draws, 1 Betis win), with the most recent meeting finishing 2:1 in favour of Betis. Below follows our considered betting prediction for this match and an analysis of the key statistical and tactical factors that underpin it.
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Main Betting prediction — Home win Real Madrid
Our principal betting prediction is that Real Madrid will prevail in this fixture (Tip 1). Several factors inform this view. First, Real Madrid’s position in the table (2nd with 42 points) and their goal difference (36 scored, 16 conceded) illustrate a side both prolific in attack and robust defensively. At the Bernabéu their form is particularly persuasive — seven home wins from eight matches attest to a side that converts home advantage into results. Second, while Betis have been steady on the road and are difficult to beat away from home, their imbalance between wins and draws (2 wins, 6 draws away) suggests they are capable of frustrating stronger sides but less likely to secure victories at a ground where Real Madrid typically dictate the tempo. Finally, Xabi Alonso’s tactical organisation and the team’s defensive record make a home victory the most probable outcome. Best available price for a Real Madrid win: Tip 1 at 1win with odd 1.46.
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2nd Prediction – Both teams score? Yes
We predict that both teams will score. Despite Real Madrid’s impressive defensive record, Real Betis possess sufficient attacking quality and trajectory to breach that defence: they have scored 29 goals this season and showed offensive potency in their last match (4:0). Moreover, the last direct encounter ended 2:1 to Betis, indicating that both sides have the capacity to find the net when they meet. Betis’ unbeaten away sequence includes numerous results in which they have managed to score, and Real Madrid’s forward threat combined with home impetus suggests at least one reply. The best available odds for both teams to score are: YES at 1win with odd 1.57.
3rd Prediction – Under 3.5 Goals
Our Over/Under assessment favours Under 3.5 goals. While both teams can score, neither side has produced consistently high-scoring fixtures that would justify an expectation of four or more goals in this particular matchup. Real Madrid’s defensive record (just 16 conceded in 18 rounds) and the typically measured approach of Manuel Pellegrini’s Betis away from home — a side that records many draws — point toward a contest decided by one or two goals rather than a goal-fest. In consequence, Under 3.5 goals appears the more prudent selection for bettors seeking a margin of safety while still anticipating goals. Specific best odds for the Under 3.5 market are 1.79 on 1Win.
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Statistics for Real Madrid vs Betis Sevilla
Real Madrid team news!
Coach: Xabi Alonso. Real Madrid occupy second place in the Primera División standings with 42 points accumulated from 13 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Their offensive record is impressive, with 36 goals scored, while defensive discipline is evidenced by only 16 conceded. Home form is a key strength: seven wins, no draws and a single defeat at the Bernabéu this season. In their most recent fixture the team secured a 2:0 home victory over Sevilla FC, reinforcing the view of a side that is tactically organised and effective on both ends of the pitch. Under Xabi Alonso, Real Madrid have demonstrated territorial control, fluid transitions and an ability to defend as a unit — attributes that should serve them well against Betis.
Betis Sevilla team news!
Coach: Manuel Pellegrini. Betis sit in sixth place with 28 points, attained through 7 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats, producing a respectable goal tally of 29 scored and 19 conceded. The standout feature of their campaign is the away record: 2 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats, indicating strong resilience and an ability to avoid losses when travelling. Their latest result was an emphatic 4:0 home win versus Getafe CF, demonstrating attacking firepower that cannot be overlooked. Pellegrini’s side typically set up to be compact and difficult to break down, combined with quick, incisive attacking phases that can punish defensive lapses.
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H2H statistics
In the last five meetings across all competitions the balance is close: 1 win for Real Madrid, 3 draws and 1 win for Betis Sevilla. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 2:1 victory for Betis. These head-to-head figures underline the competitive nature of encounters between these clubs; parity and tactical caution have been recurring themes.
Last results Real Madrid
Over their last five matches in all competitions Real Madrid have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats, with no draws. The current form shows a side capable of strong victories but also vulnerable to setbacks — a pattern suggesting that while they are favourites at home, complacency would be unwise.
Last results Betis Sevilla
Betis’ most recent five matches across all competitions produced 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The form indicates a team in reasonable ascendency, combining winning performances with a solitary loss and a draw, reflecting competitive consistency especially away from home.
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Conclusion
Real Madrid enter this fixture as favourites on account of superior league standing, a powerful home record and a markedly better defensive return. Betis, coached by Manuel Pellegrini, should not be underestimated: their unbeaten away record and capacity to score make them a dangerous opponent capable of spoiling the home side’s rhythm. On balance, however, the home advantage and Real Madrid’s overall balance tip the scales in favour of a Madrid victory. Recommended betting approach: main bet on a Real Madrid win, supplementary market on Both Teams to Score — Yes, and a conservative Under 3.5 goals stance.
