Valencia vs Levante Prediction
The Primera División returns to Estadio de Mestalla on Friday, 21 November 2025, when Valencia FC host city rivals Levante UD in a match scheduled for 23:00 as part of matchday 13. This derby carries significance for both clubs as they seek points to climb away from the relegation zone: Valencia enter the fixture with 10 points and occupy 17th place, while Levante sit immediately below them in 19th with 9 points. Carlos Corberán’s men have managed two wins, four draws and six defeats this season, scoring 11 and conceding 21; Levante, coached by Julián Calero, have two wins, three draws and seven defeats with a goals tally of 16:23. The teams met most recently in a 0:0 stalemate, and the head-to-head balance over the last five meetings reads two wins for Valencia, two draws and one win for Levante. Given the stakes and current form, this preview sets out the probabilities for outcomes and offers reasoned betting suggestions for market consideration.
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Betting predictions for Valencia vs Levante
Main Tip: Under 2.5 goals
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals. The first betting insight recommends an under 2.5 goals outcome. Both teams have conceded frequently but have also produced modest scoring rates; Valencia have posted only 11 goals in their league campaign to date, and several of their matches have been tightly contested. Levante’s away struggles point towards potential caution in attack, and derby matches between local rivals often produce compressed, low-scoring affairs due to tactical conservatism and the high value placed on not conceding. In the supplied betting data, the best available odds for the Under 2.5 market at Betway is 1.42. Nonetheless, the underlying narrative supports a low-scoring match.
Tip 2: Home win (Tip 1)
Betting prediction: Valencia FC to win. The prognosis in favour of a Valencia victory rests primarily on home advantage at Mestalla, slight superiority in recent head-to-head statistics, and the marginally better defensive stability displayed in certain periods this season. Although both clubs have struggled to produce consistent results, Valencia’s home record of two wins, two draws and two defeats suggests they are capable of extracting points on familiar ground. Levante arrive with a fragile away record and recent heavy defeat at Atlético Madrid, which may have undermined confidence. For bettors seeking a straight 1X2 selection, the best quoted odd available in the supplied data for a home win is 2.12 at paripesa. This market offers value for those who expect Carlos Corberán’s side to leverage local support and tactical adjustments to secure three points.
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Tip 3: Correct Score 1:0
Betting tip: Correct score 1:0. As a specific forecast, a goal to nil for the host is offered as a conservative correct-score selection. This aligns with the most recent meeting between the clubs and their current standing on the table and with the broader observation that both teams have struggled to produce consistent attacking output. A 1:0 outcome would validate the under 2.5 recommendation and be consistent with two defensively cautious sides seeking to avoid defeat more than to pursue risky openness. No explicit odds for the 1:0 correct score were provided in the supplied data; consequently, interested bettors should verify current correct-score prices across bookmakers before committing funds.
Statistics for Valencia FC vs Levante UD
Valencia FC team news!
Valencia FC come into the fixture with 10 points, occupying 17th position in the Primera División. Under the direction of coach Carlos Corberán, the team’s domestic record reflects two wins, four draws and six defeats, with a goal difference of 11:21. At Mestalla their home record reads two wins, two draws and two defeats, indicating a mixed but not hopeless set of performances on home soil. The club’s recent form across all competitions is modest: one win, two draws and two defeats in the last five matches. Their most recent outing produced a 1:1 home draw against Betis Sevilla, which underlines both the team’s vulnerability to conceding and its capacity to salvage points.
Levante UD team news!
Levante UD carry 9 points into this derby and occupy 19th place. Managed by Julián Calero, Levante’s season performance shows two wins, three draws and seven defeats, with a goals tally of 16 scored and 23 conceded. Their away record stands at two wins, two draws and three defeats, suggesting occasional effectiveness on the road but an overall struggle for consistency. Recent form has yielded one win, one draw and three defeats over the last five games; the latest fixture was a 1:3 away defeat at Atlético Madrid, which may have exposed defensive frailties and sapped morale ahead of this important rivalry. Tactical discipline and mental resilience will be necessary if Levante are to challenge at Mestalla.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head balance between Valencia and Levante over the last five meetings across all competitions indicates a competitive local rivalry: Valencia have won twice, there have been two draws, and Levante have recorded one victory. The last direct league meeting ended in a 0:0 draw, a result that underscores the potential for low-scoring affairs when the clubs meet. Historical patterns suggest encounters can be cagey and finely balanced, with fine margins determining the outcome.
Last results Valencia FC
In their last five matches across all competitions Valencia FC have achieved one win, two draws and two defeats. The current form line emphasises inconsistency: while capable of positive results, the side has not maintained a sustained winning run. Their most recent result was a 1:1 home draw against Betis Sevilla, reflecting both an ability to score and a tendency to concede.
Last results Levante UD
Levante UD’s last five outings have produced one win, one draw and three defeats. The string of defeats and the recent 1:3 loss away to Atlético Madrid illustrate defensive issues and limited momentum. Their form suggests they are on the back foot and will need to arrest the slide to challenge for points at Mestalla.
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Conclusion
On balance, Valencia FC are marginal favourites for this derby at Mestalla. Home advantage, slight superiority in recent head-to-head meetings and the imperative to secure points to avoid relegation pressure all favour Carlos Corberán’s side. The primary recommendation Under 2.5 goals, which captures the expectation of a low-scoring but open game, is also a home win (Tip 1), with the best quoted odd for that selection in the supplied data being 2.12 at Paripesa. As a conservative correct-score outcome, 1:0 is plausible given recent history. Bettors should weigh these tips against current team news, starting line-ups and bookmaker prices prior to wagering.
