Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction
The Premier League returns to the Emirates Stadium on Thursday, 08.01.2026 (kick-off 11:00) for a high-profile Matchday 21 contest between Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC. This fixture pits the table leaders, Arsenal (48 points), against a strong top-four challenger, Liverpool (34 points). Arsenal arrive with an imposing home record and the championship race clearly in their sights; Liverpool travel to North London seeking to close the gap and demonstrate their credentials under manager Arne Slot. The meeting follows a recent 1:0 victory for Liverpool in the last direct encounter, but form and season-long statistics point to a very different expectation for this particular evening.
Arsenal have amassed 48 points from 20 matches (15 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats) and possess a formidable goal difference of 40:14. Their home form is exemplary: 9 wins, 1 draw, and no defeats at the Emirates. Liverpool sit fourth with 34 points from 20 matches (10 wins, 4 draws, 6 defeats) and a more modest goal record of 31:27. The Reds’ away record is mixed (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats), suggesting vulnerability on the road. Recent direct meetings across all competitions show a balanced picture: in the last five clashes, Arsenal have registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats versus Liverpool.
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Betting Tip 1: Both teams score? Yes
Betting tip: Both teams will score — Yes. Arsenal’s attacking output has been strong this season, yet they have not been completely impermeable at the back when facing top opposition. Liverpool’s forward line and transitional play make them a likely source of goals, even away from home. Moreover, the tactical approach expected from Liverpool under Arne Slot — pressing and active offense — suggests they will create chances and test Arsenal’s defence, while Arsenal’s propensity to control possession and attack should yield opportunities of their own. Given these complementary attacking profiles and the recent scoring patterns between the clubs, the both-teams-to-score market favours “Yes.” Best available odds in the BTTS market: YES at Betway 1.78.
Betting Tip 2: Arsenal to win (Tip 1)
Betting prediction: Arsenal to win (Tip 1). Arsenal’s league-leading position, superior goal difference, and near-perfect home record form the basis for this selection. Under Mikel Arteta, Arsenal have blended defensive stability with consistent attacking output; their defensive return of only 14 goals conceded is particularly noteworthy and highlights the team’s resilience in controlling matches. Liverpool remain dangerous and possess creative resources capable of unsettling defences, but their away record is less convincing, and they have dropped points away from Anfield with greater frequency. Considering form, context, and home advantage, Arsenal are the logical favourites for a 1X2 market selection. Best available odds for the 1X2 market: Home win (Tip 1) at 1.68.
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Betting Tip 3: Over/Under — Over 2.5 Goals
Betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals. When two top-four sides with significant attacking talent meet, the probability of multiple goals is increased. Arsenal average two goals per game across the season and have scored frequently at home, while Liverpool’s matches often involve a fair share of goals given their attacking emphasis. Additionally, the recent league encounters and cup fixtures between the pair have produced open, competitive affairs. For bettors seeking value in goal markets, Over 2.5 goals represents a sensible selection based on each side’s scoring trends and the likelihood of an open tactical battle. (Note: Best odds for the Over/Under 2.5 market sit at Paripesa.)
Statistics for Arsenal FC vs Liverpool FC
Arsenal FC team news!
Under the management of Mikel Arteta, Arsenal have produced one of the most consistent campaigns in the Premier League. With 48 points from 20 matches, Arsenal top the table, having won 15 times, drawn 3 and lost only twice. Their defensive record (14 goals conceded) is among the best in the division, while 40 goals scored indicate a balanced attacking threat. Home form is exemplary: unbeaten at the Emirates with 9 wins and 1 draw. Arteta’s tactical framework emphasises structured buildup and collective pressing, which has delivered sustained results this season. Any selection backing Arsenal should account for their robust defensive organisation at home and the psychological advantage of leading the title race.
Liverpool FC team news!
Liverpool, coached by Arne Slot, occupy fourth place with 34 points (10 wins, 4 draws, 6 defeats). The Reds have scored 31 goals and conceded 27, highlighting a campaign with fewer defensive guarantees than their opponents. Liverpool’s away record (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats) reveals inconsistency on the road. Slot’s management style favours proactive, attacking football and swift transitions, which means Liverpool are capable of scoring away but also occasionally vulnerable in defensive transitions. That dual nature informs a preview that anticipates Liverpool to offer offensive threat but carry risk defensively in a pressure atmosphere at the Emirates.
H2H statistics
The last five meetings between Arsenal and Liverpool across all competitions show a relatively balanced head-to-head: Arsenal 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. The most recent direct meeting was a 1:0 home win for Liverpool, indicating that single-goal margins have been a feature of recent matches. Historical context implies close contests, with both sides capable of marginal victories depending on form and matchday circumstances.
Last results Arsenal FC
In their last five matches across all competitions, Arsenal have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. This sequence reflects excellent current form and strong momentum, suggesting confidence and cohesion in the squad. The five consecutive victories underline Arsenal’s status as the in-form team leading into this fixture.
Last results Liverpool FC
Liverpool’s recent five-match record shows 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. This run demonstrates solidity and an unbeaten streak, though the presence of draws indicates matches in which Liverpool were not fully dominant. Overall form is positive, but marginally less emphatic than Arsenal’s immediate results.
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Conclusion
Arsenal enter this encounter as clear favourites on account of league position, defensive record and impeccable home form under Mikel Arteta. Liverpool remain a potent opponent with creative and transitional strengths under Arne Slot, but their away record and slightly inferior goal differential invite caution. On balance, the most convincing forecast is a narrow home victory for Arsenal. The primary betting prediction therefore favours a Home win (Tip 1). Complementary selections envision both teams scoring and a match featuring multiple goals (Over 2.5), while a conservative exact-score projection suggests a 1:0 victory for Arsenal. Taken together, these outcomes reflect Arsenal’s superiority at the Emirates tempered by Liverpool’s capacity to find the net.
