Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction
The Premier League returns to the Vitality Stadium on Saturday, 24 January 2026, when AFC Bournemouth host Liverpool FC in a Matchday 23 fixture with kick-off scheduled for 20:30. This encounter pits a Bournemouth side sitting 15th with 27 points against a Liverpool team occupying fourth place on 36 points. Bournemouth have recorded 6 wins, 9 draws and 7 defeats this season, scoring 35 and conceding 41; their home form reads 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats. Liverpool have managed 10 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats, with a goal tally of 33:29 and an away record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats.
The recent history between the two clubs favours Liverpool emphatically: the last five meetings across all competitions have produced five Liverpool victories, most recently a 4:2 home win. Momentum-wise, Bournemouth have produced 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last five outings, while Liverpool are unbeaten in their last five, recording 2 wins and 3 draws; Liverpool’s most recent result was a 3:0 away victory in Europe, while Bournemouth drew 1:1 away at Brighton & Hove Albion. Under the stewardship of Andoni Iraola and Arne Slot respectively, both sides will approach the match with clear tactical aims: Bournemouth seeking solidity at home to climb out of the relegation battle, Liverpool intent on consolidating their top-four position.
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Main Tip: Liverpool Win – Tip 2
Our primary betting prediction for this fixture is an away win for Liverpool FC. Liverpool arrive with superior overall form, greater squad depth and a consistent record in recent head-to-heads; additionally, their unbeaten run over the last five matches across competitions suggests a side capable of controlling games and avoiding defeat on the road. While Bournemouth have been resilient at the Vitality Stadium, their defensive record this season (41 goals conceded) exposes vulnerabilities Liverpool can exploit, particularly with Liverpool’s attacking cohesion under Arne Slot improving across competitions. The best odds on the match result is 1.95 on Betwinner.
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Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Our second betting tip is that both teams will score. Bournemouth’s record at home demonstrates an ability to find the net — they have been involved in numerous competitive, open matches — while Liverpool’s attacking output means they are likely to convert chances even in matches where they restrict opponents. The head-to-head history further supports this expectation: recent meetings have frequently produced goals at both ends, and Bournemouth’s defensive frailties outside of disciplined performances make a Liverpool clean sheet far from certain. The odds for this option is 1.52 on 1xBet.
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Betting Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
For our third betting recommendation we suggest over 2.5 goals. The expectation that both teams will score, and the fact that Liverpool will goall out for a win backs out conviction that there will be at least three total goals scored in this match. Although Andoni Iraola is tactically prudent, his team are not afraid to attack and given Liverpool’s threat upfront, there are indications that this match will return over 2.5 goals.
Statistics for AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool FC
AFC Bournemouth team news!
Coach: Andoni Iraola. AFC Bournemouth have accumulated 27 points from 22 league fixtures and occupy 15th place. Their home record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats indicates a side that is difficult to beat at Vitality Stadium, but their goal difference and defensive lapses — 35 scored versus 41 conceded — underpin their precarious position. Under Iraola, Bournemouth tend to emphasise organisation and transitional play; injuries or suspensions at the back would materially affect their ability to restrict a well-drilled Liverpool side. Expect Iraola to set up pragmatically and attempt to force a tight, competitive match.
Liverpool FC team news!
Coach: Arne Slot. Liverpool sit fourth with 36 points and possess the firepower and squad rotation capacity to compete on multiple fronts. Their away record is mixed (4 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats), yet their recent unbeaten run across five matches demonstrates resilience and form. Slot’s tactical approach prioritises structure and efficient attacking movement; his side’s recent 3:0 European win suggests confidence and an ability to perform convincingly away from home. Key players’ fitness and selection choices will determine whether Liverpool seek to press high or contain and counter at the Vitality Stadium.
H2H statistics
The five most recent meetings across all competitions between AFC Bournemouth and Liverpool have been comprehensively dominated by Liverpool: Bournemouth recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. The latest direct meeting ended in a 4:2 victory for Liverpool, illustrating both Liverpool’s offensive threat and Bournemouth’s susceptibility to conceding multiple goals on occasion.
Last results AFC Bournemouth
In their last five matches across all competitions AFC Bournemouth have produced a sequence of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. The current form line indicates a side capable of grinding out results but lacking the consistency to rise up the table rapidly; defensive volatility remains the principal concern.
Last results Liverpool FC
Liverpool’s last five matches across all competitions yield 2 wins and 3 draws, with no defeats recorded in that sequence. The current form is therefore positive and suggests momentum in favour of Liverpool, even away from Anfield.
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Conclusion
Liverpool arrive at the Vitality Stadium as clear favourites on paper, based on superior league position, recent unbeaten form and the psychological edge of a dominant head-to-head record. Bournemouth’s home resilience and home crowd support mitigate some of that advantage, and their capacity to score at Vitality Stadium makes a Liverpool clean sheet uncertain. For bettors, the principal recommendation is to back an away win for Liverpool (Tip 2) while also considering Both Teams to Score (Yes) and over 2.5 goals as complementary markets.
