Bournemouth vs Tottenham prediction
The Premier League returns to Vitality Stadium on Wednesday, 07.01.2026 (kick-off 22:30) as AFC Bournemouth host Tottenham Hotspur in Matchday 21 of the competition. This encounter will pit the two sides against each other in a contest that could have material implications in the lower half of the table: Bournemouth arrive in 15th position with 23 points while Tottenham occupy 13th place with 27 points. AFC Bournemouth have produced 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats so far, scoring 31 goals and conceding 38; their home record reads 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats. Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats, with a goals tally of 28:24 and a respectable away record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. The last direct meeting ended in a 1:0 away victory for Bournemouth.
Given the relatively tight form of both teams this season, and the habit of both sides to produce low-scoring and closely contested fixtures, this match promises to be tactical and competitive. Coaches Andoni Iraola (AFC Bournemouth) and Thomas Frank (Tottenham Hotspur) will both be seeking stability and decisive performances to lift their teams up the table. The preview below sets out our considered betting prediction and supporting markets, together with the reasoning and the best available odds where provided.
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Main Tip: Under 2.5 Goals
Despite the expectation that both teams will score, the balance of form and defensive structure suggests a match that will not be high-scoring. Bournemouth’s tendency to draw and grind out results, combined with Tottenham’s relatively conservative away performances, points towards a low-scoring affair. Recent trends for both clubs — including a sequence for Bournemouth of few victories and multiple draws — indicate that games frequently settle with narrow margins. An Under 2.5 selection captures the likelihood of a close, tactical contest in which decisive finishing is at a premium. The best odds for this option is 2.13 on Paripesa.
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Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Both clubs have routinely found the net across recent fixtures while also showing defensive vulnerabilities. Bournemouth’s recent 2:3 home defeat to Arsenal exemplifies their ability to score but also to concede; Tottenham’s 1:1 draw with Sunderland similarly indicates that they can both score and be breached. Given the attacking players available to each side and the tactical profiles of both coaches, a match in which both sides register at least one goal is a plausible outcome. The odds for this outcome is listed as 1.60 on Paripesa.
Betting Tip 3: Correct Score 1-1
The combination of a predicted home victory and an Under 2.5 goals profile yields a low-scoring margin as the most probable match result. A 1:1 scoreline would reflect Bournemouth’s capacity to match Tottenham through organised defence and opportunistic attack; a 1:1 outcome remains credible if Tottenham’s attacking threats manage to convert a chance while Bournemouth respond.
Statistics for AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur
AFC Bournemouth team news!
Coached by Andoni Iraola, AFC Bournemouth occupy 15th place with 23 points after 20 league fixtures. The team’s record of 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats highlights an inability to convert draws into victories, a pattern that has cost them valuable points. At home, Bournemouth have been solid with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats, suggesting that Vitality Stadium is a venue where they can collect results. Under Andoni Iraola, Bournemouth have emphasised organisation, pressing intensity and structured defensive transitions; these attributes make them capable of frustrating visiting sides and capitalising on set-pieces or swift counters. Selection and availability will determine the exact tactical shape, but the general profile suggests a side that will seek to control the tempo and defend resolutely while attacking efficiently.
Tottenham Hotspur team news!
Managed by Thomas Frank,Tottenham Hotspur sit in 13th position with 27 points, having balanced 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats across the campaign. Their away record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats demonstrates that they can perform on the road, yet inconsistency has been a persistent concern. Thomas Frank’s coaching approach typically emphasises defensive organisation and compactness, combined with rapid transitions; however, the team has occasionally struggled to maintain concentration for the full 90 minutes, leading to dropped points. Tottenham’s goal tally of 28 scored against 24 conceded suggests a modest positive balance, but in matches against well-drilled opposition they have sometimes lacked the cutting edge required to secure comfortable victories.
H2H statistics
In the last five meetings across all competitions the head-to-head record between AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur is balanced: 2 wins for Bournemouth, 1 draw and 2 wins for Tottenham. The most recent direct meeting resulted in a 1:0 away victory for AFC Bournemouth, underscoring the competitiveness of this fixture and the capacity of the hosts to succeed in this matchup.
Last results AFC Bournemouth
In their last five matches across all competitions AFC Bournemouth have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. The current form line indicates a team that has struggled to secure victories and has dropped points through draws, affecting their league standing and momentum.
Last results Tottenham Hotspur
In their last five matches Tottenham Hotspur have achieved 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. This sequence reflects inconsistency and mixed results, with the team showing resilience at times but also susceptibility to setbacks.
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Conclusion
This fixture is poised to be a tightly contested affair. On balance, AFC Bournemouth are favoured in our assessment: their home record, recent head-to-head success and the tactical discipline imposed by Andoni Iraola provide a foundation for a narrow victory. Tottenham remain a credible threat, especially in transition, but their inconsistent form and defensive lapses make them vulnerable to an organised Bournemouth side. Our principal recommendation is a home win for AFC Bournemouth (Tip 1 at Paripesa 2.10) supplemented by a Both Teams To Score — Yes selection (Paripesa 1.60) and an Under 2.5 goals projection for the match. Conservative correct-score options such as 1:0 to Bournemouth or 1:1 are sensible stakes for punters seeking value while reflecting the likelihood of a low-scoring, closely fought Premier League encounter.
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