Burnley vs Arsenal prediction
The Premier League returns to Turf Moor on Saturday, 01.11.2025 (kick-off 6:00 GMT+3) for a Matchday 10 encounter between Burnley FC and Arsenal FC. This fixture pits a Burnley side striving for stability under Scott Parker against a high-flying Arsenal team managed by Mikel Arteta. Burnley sit 16th with 10 points from nine matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats; goals 12:17), while Arsenal lead the table on 22 points (7 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat; goals 16:3). The contrasting trajectories and statistics frame this match as an important test for the hosts and a potential consolidation opportunity for the visitors.
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Main Betting Tip: HT/FT, 2/2
Arsenal enters the fixture as clear favorites on current form and overall season performance. Mikel Arteta’s side has won seven of nine league matches and boasts an exceptional defensive record with only three goals conceded. Their away record (3 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat) indicates resilience on the road, while the recent five-game sequence shows maximum momentum with five straight victories in all competitions. Burnley, by contrast, have been inconsistent and occupy 16th place; their home record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat is respectable but not overwhelming. Head-to-head history further supports Arsenal: in the last five meetings across competitions, Arsenal have three wins and two draws, and notably the most recent direct meeting ended in a 5:0 victory for the Gunners.
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Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? No
Arsenal’s defensive solidity is a central factor behind this selection. Conceding only three goals in nine league fixtures reflects a well-organized defensive unit and disciplined structure under Arteta. Burnley possesses attacking potential, and their last match was a 3:2 away victory, but their season tally of 12 goals from nine matches suggests moderate scoring output. Given Arsenal’s capability to control tempo and limit opposition chances, the probability that Arsenal will keep a clean sheet is significant. This market offers an alternative to the straight match result and can be attractive for bettors who expect Arsenal to win while restricting Burnley’s scoring opportunities.
Betting Tip 3: Over 2.5 Goals
Despite the preceding selection that anticipates a clean sheet for Arsenal, bettors may find value in the expectation of an open contest that produces multiple goals. Burnley have conceded 17 goals so far and can be exposed at the back in transitions and set-piece situations; Arsenal carry sufficient attacking threat to exploit such vulnerabilities. While the two markets (clean sheet vs. Over 2.5) point in different directions, they reflect distinct betting strategies: a conservative play on Arsenal’s clean sheet and a more aggressive play on match tempo and openings producing at least three goals. Bettors should choose the market that aligns with their assessment of tactical intent—whether they believe Arsenal will dominate possession and neutralise Burnley, or whether Burnley’s counterattacks and direct play will create more goals.
Statistics for Burnley FC vs Arsenal FC
Burnley FC team news!
Scott Parker’s Burnley approach the fixture with an imperative to collect points at Turf Moor. The Clarets possess three league victories this season, with a home record of two wins, one draw and one defeat. Offensively they have scored 12 goals but have also conceded 17, indicating defensive lapses that require attention. Parker will likely emphasise organisation and direct transitions to exploit Arsenal on the break; set-piece efficiency and defensive compactness will be vital if Burnley are to upset the visitors. Recent form shows two wins and three defeats in the last five matches in all competitions, reflecting a team that can produce results but remains inconsistent.
Arsenal FC team news!
Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal sit atop the Premier League standings with 22 points from nine fixtures. The team has demonstrated both attacking fluency (16 goals scored) and defensive robustness (only 3 conceded). Arsenal’s away record of three wins and one defeat shows their capacity to secure results away from home, and their sequence of five consecutive victories across all competitions underscores their current momentum. Arteta’s tactical framework — high pressing, ball retention and coordinated defensive structure — makes Arsenal a difficult opponent to break down. Squad rotation and managing fitness will be factors but the available data positions Arsenal as favourites.
H2H statistics
In the last five meetings across all competitions between Burnley and Arsenal, Burnley have not recorded a victory. The recent sequence comprises three wins for Arsenal and two draws. The most recent direct meeting concluded emphatically in Arsenal’s favour with a 5:0 victory at the Emirates, reflecting a clear historical edge for the visitors in head-to-head confrontations.
Last results Burnley FC
Over the last five matches in all competitions Burnley have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, with no draws in that span. Their current form is therefore mixed: moments of attacking success are offset by defensive inconsistencies, which have contributed to the club’s position near the lower end of the table.
Last results Arsenal FC
Arsenal’s recent run across competitions is exemplary: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last five matches. This sequence of consecutive victories underlines their excellent current form and provides the most persuasive argument for expecting an Arsenal triumph at Turf Moor.
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Conclusion
The balance of evidence—league position, recent form, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head history and the tactical stability under Mikel Arteta—identifies Arsenal as clear favourites for this fixture. Burnley’s home advantage and intermittent attacking threat should not be overlooked, but the visitors’ defensive discipline and consistent winning habits make an away victory the most probable outcome. Our principal recommendation is a first-half and full-time, Arsenal away win, supplemented by a projection that both teams will not score (No) for a lower-risk defensive play, and Over 2.5 market for those expecting an open game.
