Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction
The Premier League returns to Stamford Bridge on Sunday, 30 November 2025, with a high-profile fixture between Chelsea FC and Arsenal FC. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:30 on Matchday 13. This encounter pits the second-placed hosts against the league leaders in what is likely to be a decisive early-season test of title credentials. Chelsea sit second with 23 points from 12 matches (7 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats; goals 23:11) and a home record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats. Arsenal lead the table on 29 points (9 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat; goals 24:6) and arrive at Stamford Bridge with a strong away record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat. The teams last met in a fixture that finished 0:1 in favour of Arsenal, and the recent H2H balance shows Arsenal with the upper hand (in the last five meetings, Chelsea 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 wins Arsenal). Both sides show excellent recent form, each with four wins and one draw from their last five fixtures in all competitions.
After breaking down both squads, it’s always smart to compare your read with our EPL predictions — they tie all the details together.
Our betting tip for Chelsea FC vs Arsenal FC
Main 1X2 prediction: Arsenal to win (Tip 2)
Arsenal are the clear favourites on current form and in the standings. Mikel Arteta’s side sits top of the table with a superior goal difference and a highly efficient attack, returning 24 goals in 12 matches compared with Chelsea’s 23. Arsenal’s away record this season is robust, and their defensive shape has been excellent, conceding only six goals overall. Chelsea under Enzo Maresca has produced good recent results, but the Blues’ defensive lapses at home and the influence of Arteta’s tactical structure suggest Arsenal can edge a narrow victory. Our main 1X2 betting tip is an away win for Arsenal (Tip 2). Best odds for this market (from the supplied data): Tip 2 at 1xBet with odds of 2.30.
Tip 2: Over/Under – Under 2.5 Goals
Despite the expectation that both teams will score, the balance of the game and the recent defensive standards — particularly from Arsenal — indicate a game that could be decided by a single goal and remain relatively low-scoring. Both managers are astute tacticians who will prioritise structure in a match with significant table implications, and Stamford Bridge fixtures of this nature often produce tight margins rather than open goal-fests. Therefore, our third betting tip is under 2.5 goals. Note: Specific best odds for the over/under market were not supplied in the provided data; the selection is based on form, defensive records, and tactical assessment.
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Tip 3: Correct score prediction – 0:1 Arsenal
Our final betting prediction is a correct score of 0:1 in favour of Arsenal. The forecast combines an expectation of a narrow Arsenal victory with both teams scoring — in practice, the preferred scenario is that Arsenal secures a solitary goal while Chelsea finds the net through a late response or set-piece opportunity. The match context and historical tightness between the clubs support a slim away win as the likeliest precise outcome. Specific odds for this correct-score selection were not included in the supplied data; the prediction aligns with the general market sentiment and the previously noted 0:1 result from the teams’ last direct meeting.
Statistics for Chelsea FC vs Arsenal FC
Chelsea FC team news!
Chelsea, managed by Enzo Maresca, has established itself as a potent attacking unit this season, registering 23 goals from 12 matches. The Blues occupy second place with 23 points, having recorded seven wins, two draws, and three defeats overall. At Stamford Bridge, their home record stands at three wins, one draw, and two defeats, indicating occasional vulnerability on home turf. Enzo Maresca’s side arrived off a convincing 3:0 home victory against FC Barcelona, a result that will have bolstered confidence significantly. Tactically, Chelsea are likely to seek control of possession and to exploit wide areas, but they will also need to be compact defensively to withstand Arsenal’s transition play.
Arsenal FC team news!
Arsenal, under the stewardship of Mikel Arteta, top the Premier League with 29 points and an impressive goal difference (24 scored, 6 conceded). The Gunners have recorded nine wins, two draws, and one defeat, and their away form is particularly notable with four wins, one draw, and one defeat on the road. Arsenal’s most recent fixture produced a 3:1 home victory over Bayern Munich, underlining their capability to perform at the highest level. Arteta’s team is well organized defensively and deadly on the counter; their tactical discipline and forward efficiency make them the team to beat this season.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record across the last five meetings favours Arsenal: Chelsea have not won any of the last five (0 wins), there have been 2 draws, and Arsenal claimed victory on 3 occasions. The most recent direct meeting concluded with Arsenal winning 1:0 at home. This historical pattern underscores Arsenal’s recent psychological and tactical edge in domestic encounters between these sides.
Last results of Chelsea FC
In their last five matches across all competitions, Chelsea have compiled a run of four wins and one draw, without defeat. This current form reflects a team in strong momentum, particularly given the high-profile nature of some recent opponents. Chelsea’s unbeaten sequence will contribute to confidence heading into this derby fixture.
Last results Arsenal FC
Arsenal’s form over the last five matches is identical in terms of outcome: four wins and one draw, with no defeats. Such consistency underlines Arsenal’s status as the league leaders and demonstrates their capacity to maintain high performance levels both domestically and in continental competition.
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Conclusion
This Stamford Bridge fixture promises to be an intense and tactically nuanced contest between two of England’s best-managed sides. Arsenal enter as the favourites on league position, recent form, and defensive solidity, while Chelsea possesses significant attacking firepower and the capacity to cause problems at home under Enzo Maresca. On balance, the evidence points to a narrow Arsenal victory — a result consistent with our principal betting tip — with both sides likely to score but the total number of goals remaining under 2.5. The recommended main stake is on Arsenal to win (Tip 2), supplemented by bets on Both Teams To Score (Yes), Under 2.5 goals, and a correct-score forecast of 0:1 to Arsenal. As always, bettors should consider team news, starting line-ups, and late injury updates before placing stakes.
