Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction
The Premier League returns to Stamford Bridge on Saturday, 27 December 2025, with Chelsea FC hosting Aston Villa in a high-profile Matchday 18 encounter. Kick-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM GMT +3 and the fixture presents an intriguing tactical battle between Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea and Unai Emery’s Villa. Chelsea sit fourth in the table on 29 points (8 wins, 5 draws, 4 defeats; 29 goals for, 17 against) while Aston Villa occupy third place with 36 points (11 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats; 27:18).
The most recent meeting ended in a 2:1 home win for Aston Villa, and the head-to-head over the last five meetings stands at two Chelsea victories, two draws and one Villa win. Form coming into the game differs markedly: Chelsea have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five fixtures across all competitions, while Aston Villa arrive in exceptional form with five wins from their last five matches. The last matches played saw Chelsea drawing 2:2 away at Newcastle United and Villa registering a 2:1 home victory over Manchester United, giving the visitors momentum and confidence as they travel to London.
Below are our considered betting predictions for the fixture, grounded in recent form, squad considerations and tactical match-ups. Our EPL Predictions page offers winning betting tips covering a wide range of markets. Each game is analyzed by experts to give you the best picks.
Betting prediction 1 — Both teams score? Yes
Our primary betting prediction is that both teams will score. Both Chelsea and Aston Villa are capable of creating chances and have offensive players who can capitalize on transitional moments. Aston Villa’s current five-game winning streak signals an attacking side in form; they have been consistent in converting opportunities and applying pressure. Chelsea, while solid defensively, have scored 29 goals this season and retain enough attacking quality to find the net against a Villa team that can be vulnerable to quick combinations and set-piece situations. Best odds: Both teams to score — Yes at Paripesa 1.65.
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Betting prediction 2 — Match result (1X2): Home win — Chelsea FC (Tip 1)
Our secondary betting prediction for this fixture is a home victory for Chelsea. Chelsea’s defensive record (17 goals conceded in 17 matches) demonstrates organisation, and playing at home they possess greater control of tempo and access to creative players capable of unlocking Villa’s zonal press. Aston Villa, managed by Unai Emery, pose a significant counter-attack and set-piece threat, but their intensity and pressing can be blunted by a well-organised Chelsea midfield and the familiarity of Stamford Bridge surroundings. Given Chelsea’s need for points and the stabilising effect of home advantage, the most likely scenario is a narrow Chelsea victory. Best odds (market reference): Tip 1 at 1Win — 1.82.
Betting prediction 3 — Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals
Our third betting prediction is that the match will produce over 2.5 goals. Several factors justify this recommendation: Villa’s recent run of five wins indicates a team scoring regularly, while Chelsea’s aggregate goal total (29 in the league) suggests they are capable of contributing to a higher-scoring contest. The historical head-to-head and the attacking philosophies of Emery and Maresca imply an encounter that will see both teams pushing forward, particularly after half-time if the result remains in question. Best odds (market reference): Over 2.5 — odds 1.71 at Paripesa.
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Statistics for Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa
Chelsea FC team news!
Under coach Enzo Maresca, Chelsea have produced a mixed sequence of results but remain competitive in the top-four area. The squad has accumulated 29 points and displays a sturdy defensive setup with 17 goals conceded across 17 league matches. At Stamford Bridge Chelsea’s home record is four wins, two draws and two defeats, indicating they are difficult to beat on their own turf. Injuries, rotation and selection choices will shape Maresca’s starting XI, but the tactical emphasis is likely to be on disciplined defensive structure complemented by quick vertical passes to exploit Villa’s occasional high-line.
Aston Villa team news!
Aston Villa, coached by Unai Emery, occupy third position in the table with 36 points and the second-best away record consistent with four wins, two draws and two defeats on the road. Emery’s side have scored 27 and conceded 18 in league play, and their recent five-game winning streak underscores excellent current form. Villa typically deploy an organised pressing system and look to transition swiftly into attack; set pieces and wide play have been important components of their success this season. Team selection will aim to maintain momentum while managing player fatigue during a congested fixture period.
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H2H statistics
Over the last five meetings between Chelsea and Aston Villa in all competitions, Chelsea have recorded two wins, two matches ended in draws and Aston Villa have one victory. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 2:1 win for Aston Villa. The head-to-head record suggests a competitive rivalry with relatively balanced outcomes and the potential for either side to prevail on the night.
Last results Chelsea FC
In their last five matches across all competitions, Chelsea’s form reads: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. This mixed sequence indicates a side capable of positive results but not entirely consistent — an important consideration when assessing their ability to navigate a strong Villa unit.
Last results Aston Villa
Aston Villa are in excellent recent form, having achieved 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last five outings across all competitions. This run provides them with momentum, confidence and a psychological edge as they travel to Stamford Bridge.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, this fixture presents two high-quality teams with differing recent trajectories: Chelsea with solid home credentials and tactical organisation under Enzo Maresca, and Aston Villa in red-hot form under Unai Emery. While Villa’s recent record and league position make them a very credible threat, the balance of squad quality, home advantage and Chelsea’s capacity to control certain phases of the game lead us to designate Chelsea as the favourites for a narrow victory at Stamford Bridge. Our recommended outcome is both teams likely to score, a Chelsea win (Tip 1), and the match producing more than 2.5 goals.
