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Chelsea - Brighton
Premier League
Sun, 03.12.2023 – 5:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Over 9.5 Corners

Chelsea vs Brighton prediction

Chelsea have been blowing hot and cold in the Premier League. After playing one of the most exciting games of the season in that 4-4 thriller with Man City a couple of weeks ago, they were brought back down to earth when they travelled to St James Park last weekend where they were thrashed 4-1. That loss still leaves them in midtable (10th) as coach Mauricio Pochettino struggles to build a consistent run of results from his charges. The Blues missed out on European places last year but they are not making the most of their decongested fixture list to pile pressure on the teams in front of them.

Brighton on their part have also had a mixed bag of results this season. They started off strongly but their form has dipped in recent weeks which saw them drop off the top 6 to position 8 on the log. A 3-2 comeback win away at Nottingham last weekend ended a run of six games without a win and handed Forest their first home loss of the campaign. Roberto De Zerbi’s side are also playing in the Europa League and they have been formidable on that end having already sealed their ticket from the group stage. The coach has a short turnaround to shuffle his players for this crucial fixture

One thing that both of these teams have shown is their flair for attacking football. Only Man City and Newcastle have scored more than Brighton after 13 rounds and Chelsea are also not that far behind when it comes to goals scored. This points to the coaches’ philosophies and we expect these sides to go at each other here. Games such as this tend to have lots of corners due to the goalmouth action. As such we fancy this clash to have at least 10 corners as our initial Chelsea vs Brighton prediction.

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Main tip: Over 9.5 Corners

Our Chelsea vs Brighton predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 9.5 Corners

All 5 of their last competitive games between these two teams across all competitions have witnessed at least 10 corners.

Both sides also average at least 5 corners each in their last 5 games.

We expect a game with plenty of opportunities either way and we are therefore back this game to have at least 10 corners for this option offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 9.5 Corners”

The odd of 1.95 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 45% chance that this game will have at least 10 total corners taken

Odds comparison for Over 9.5 Corners

1Win – odd 1.95
10Bet – odd 1.90

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

Goals have been a key ingredient in this fixture. 3 of the last 4 meetings have witnessed at least 3 goals scored

On top of that, these teams are amongst the top-scoring outfits in the Premier League. They have also both been scoring goals for fun lately, with Chelsea averaging 2.20 goals in their last 5 games while Brighton have averaged 1.80 over the same time span.

With both teams expected to go for it here, we fancy this game will also result in at least 3 goals being scored.

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.55 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that there will be at least 3 total goals scored in this match

Odds comparisons Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.55
Betwinner – odd 1.52

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Prediction 3: 1st Half Draw

This is a crucial match for both of these teams. Chelsea is trying to get themselves out of the midtable while Brighton are trying to get back into the top 6 equation where they had been at the start of the season.

Their head-to-head record shows there has been little to separate them over the years with at least 5 of their last 10 games ending in draws.

In particular, their last 3 straight meetings ended in stalemates at the break including Brighton’s last visit to the Stamford Bridge. We reckon a repeat of the same here and we are therefore backing this game to end in a draw at halftime as our final Chelsea vs Brighton prediction for this clash

Statistics for Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction

H2H statistics

Taking a look at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Chelsea have 3 wins, Brighton 2 wins and 5 games were drawn
  • These meetings have had an average of 2.80 goals a match
  • The last meeting ended 1-0 in favor of Chelsea

Latest results Chelsea

  • 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in these 5 games; average of 2.20 a match
  • Lost 4-1 at Newcastle in their last match

Latest results Brighton

  • 2 wins, and 3 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 8 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.80 goals per match
  • Won 3-2 at Nottingham in their last league assignment
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Possible squad Chelsea vs Brighton

Line upChelsea Brighton
GoalkeeperSánchezVerbruggen
DefenseGusto, Badiashile, Silva, ColwillVeltman, Igor, van Hecke, Hinshelwood
MidfieldUgochukwu, Fernández, Palmer, GallagherGroß, Gilmour, Adingra, Lallana
ForwardSterling, JacksonBuonanotte, Ferguson
MissingJames (Suspended), Cucurella (Disciplinary), Chilwell (Hamstring), Lavia (Ankle), Chukwuemeka (Knee), Chalobah (Hamstring), Nkunku (Knee), Bettinelli (Knock)Dahoud (Suspended), Dunk (Suspended), Lamptey (Knock), Fati (Knock), Mitoma (Knock), Welbeck (Strain), March (Knee), Enciso (Knee)
CoachMauricio PochettinoRoberto De Zerbi

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