Chelsea vs Burnley prediction
The Premier League returns to Stamford Bridge on Saturday, 21 February 2026 (kick-off 18:00 GMT+3) for a Matchday 27 fixture between Chelsea FC and Burnley FC. Chelsea arrive in fifth position on the table with 44 points, while Burnley sit in nineteenth place with 18 points. This encounter presents a clear contrast in recent form and season-long performance, and it offers multiple betting angles for those assessing the markets ahead of the contest.
Use our EPL predictions to avoid losses caused by the games that feature the underdogs and elite clubs in the league during the weekend.
Main Betting tip — Both teams score? No
For principal pick, we suggest a Both teams to score? No. Chelsea have conceded 30 goals in 26 league matches, which indicates a comparatively solid defensive record for a top-five side. Burnley, by contrast, have struggled for goals and conceded frequently; their away record is particularly poor (2 wins, 2 draws, 9 defeats), and they have mustered only modest scoring returns on the road. Recent cup and league setbacks — including a 1:2 home defeat in the last match — suggest Burnley’s attacking confidence is limited at present. Given Chelsea’s ability to control matches at Stamford Bridge and Burnley’s difficulties away from home, the market that both teams will not score is an attractive conservative selection. Best available odds on this market from the supplied data: 1xBet — No at 1.75.
Betting tip 2: Chelsea Win
The second betting pick is for Chelsea to Win. Chelsea are the clear favourites to take the three points at Stamford Bridge. They have compiled 44 points from 26 league matches (12 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses) and possess a superior goal difference (47:30) compared with Burnley’s 28:51. Chelsea’s home record of six wins, four draws and three defeats underlines their stability at Stamford Bridge, while Burnley have managed only two away wins all season, with nine defeats on the road. The most recent meeting between these sides also favours Chelsea — they have won three of the last five encounters and were 2:0 victors in the last direct meeting. On form, Chelsea have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions, including a convincing 4:0 victory in their most recent fixture. Taking into account squad quality, home advantage and recent momentum under coach Liam Rosenior, a home win is the most probable outcome.
Betting tip 3: Correct score: 2-0
Finally, a correct score of 2-0 to Chelsea is your best shot for collecting a huge return on a single bet. A 2:0 home victory is a conservative, value-oriented forecast that aligns with Chelsea’s capacity to control the game and limit Burnley’s attacking opportunities. Chelsea’s defensive organisation and home advantage make a clean sheet plausible, while their attacking quality suggests they should be able to convert one or two clear chances. The 2:0 outcome also harmonises with the “both teams do not score” selection and represents a realistic margin given the form and statistical disparity between the clubs. Best available odd for this exact score was not provided in the data set — consult your chosen bookmaker for the precise market price.
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Statistics for Chelsea FC vs Burnley FC
Chelsea FC team news!
Chelsea FC occupy fifth place in the Premier League standings with 44 points, accumulated from 12 wins, eight draws and six defeats, producing a goal record of 47 scored and 30 conceded. At Stamford Bridge they have registered six wins, four draws and three defeats, demonstrating relatively strong home form. Under coach Liam Rosenior the team has shown improved cohesion and attacking efficiency in recent weeks, as evidenced by their 4:0 result in the most recent fixture. Over the last five matches in all competitions Chelsea have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, reflecting stable form and momentum heading into this match.
Burnley FC team news!
Burnley FC are positioned nineteenth in the table with 18 points, having collected four wins, six draws and sixteen defeats, and a goal tally of 28 scored and 51 conceded. Their away record is particularly troubling: two wins, two draws and nine defeats indicate persistent difficulties on the road. Under coach Scott Parker the Clarets have struggled to find consistency, and their recent 1:2 home loss demonstrates vulnerability against lower-ranked opposition. Burnley’s last five matches across competitions show one win, one draw and three defeats, pointing to fragile form and limited attacking confidence away from home.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record from the last five meetings between Chelsea FC and Burnley FC across all competitions favours Chelsea: three wins for Chelsea and two draws; Burnley have not recorded a victory in these five fixtures. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 2:0 away win for Chelsea, underlining their historical upper hand and tactical match control in this pairing.
Last results Chelsea FC
In their last five matches across all competitions Chelsea have achieved three wins, one draw and one defeat. This sequence indicates positive momentum and relative consistency in results, with the team showing the capacity both to score multiple goals and to maintain defensive organisation in key fixtures.
Last results Burnley FC
Burnley’s last five matches in all competitions comprise one win, one draw and three defeats. This form line suggests that the side has struggled for continuity and resilience, particularly against opponents capable of exploiting defensive weaknesses and pressing effectively in transitional phases.
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Conclusion
Chelsea enter this fixture as clear favourites. The combination of superior league position, a markedly better goal difference, stronger home form, recent positive results and favourable head-to-head statistics points toward a Chelsea victory at Stamford Bridge. Burnley’s poor away record, high goals-against tally and fragile recent form under Scott Parker further diminish their prospects of earning points in this fixture. While the primary and most probable outcome is a Both Teams to Score – NO, bettors may also consider a Chelsea to win and an additional wager on a 2-0 scoreline to reflect Chelsea’s defensive stability as their alternate bet.
