Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction
The Premier League returns to Stamford Bridge on Tuesday, 10 February 2026 (22:30 GMT+3) as Chelsea FC host Leeds United in Matchday 26. This contest pits a side seeking to consolidate its top-six ambitions against a Leeds outfit fighting to climb out of the relegation zone. Chelsea arrive in fifth place with 40 points from 11 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats (goals 42:27) and a solid home record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Leeds sit 16th with 29 points from 7 wins, 8 draws and 10 defeats (goals 34:43) and a fragile away record of 1 win, 4 draws and 7 defeats. The two clubs have met frequently in recent seasons; across the last five encounters Chelsea have claimed three wins while Leeds won two times, and the most recent direct meeting was a 3:1 home victory for Leeds. Both managers—Liam Rosenior for Chelsea and Daniel Farke for Leeds—will prepare their teams carefully for what is likely to be a tactically nuanced evening under the lights at Stamford Bridge.
England Premier League Prediction experts often analyze form, injuries, and tactical setups to find value for your wagers.
Main Betting Tip: HC -1 Chelsea
Chelsea are the clear favourites to take all three points at Stamford Bridge. Their position in the table, superior goals difference and markedly better home record underpin this view. Under Liam Rosenior the Blues have shown increasing cohesion, reflected in four wins from their last five outings in all competitions; their attacking structure is producing goals while the defence remains comparatively stable (42 scored, 27 conceded overall). Leeds, by contrast, have struggled away from home this season, claiming only a single away win and conceding frequently on the road. Daniel Farke’s side can be dangerous on transitions, but the balance and quality Chelsea possesses at home make a Chelsea victory the most probable outcome.
Betting tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Despite backing a home win, a scenario in which both teams find the net is highly plausible. Chelsea’s attacking play has been productive, yet they have conceded enough to suggest Leeds can breach the defence, particularly on the counter or from set-piece situations. Leeds have been able to score in spells and will see opportunities even at Stamford Bridge; their capacity to create chances means a clean sheet for Chelsea is not guaranteed. Thus, “Both teams to score — Yes” represents a balanced complementary selection alongside the 1X2 pick. Best available odds for both teams to score: Betwinner — Yes at 1.69.
Betting tip 3: Under 3.5 goals
Although both sides can score, the most likely match environment is a controlled affair with fewer than three total goals. Chelsea will attempt to manage the tempo and exploit Leeds’ defensive vulnerabilities without leaving themselves wildly exposed; Leeds frequently adopt a pragmatic approach away from home and may prioritise structure and damage limitation. Recent meetings and the tactical tendencies suggest goals may be limited despite both teams finding the net. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals is a sensible projection for bettors seeking a lower-scoring market.
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Statistics for Chelsea FC vs Leeds United
Chelsea FC team news!
Chelsea arrive with 40 points and occupy fifth position in the Premier League table. The club has secured 11 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats, with an overall goals record of 42 for and 27 against. At home Stamford Bridge has been a relatively fruitful venue: Chelsea’s home record reads 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Under coach Liam Rosenior the team has collected four wins and one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions, indicating good momentum and confidence. Defensive organization combined with a productive forward line has been a hallmark of their recent displays.
Leeds United team news!
Leeds United occupy 16th place with 29 points, having recorded 7 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses, and an overall goals tally of 34 scored and 43 conceded. Their away form is concerning: just one win, four draws and seven defeats on the road. Manager Daniel Farke faces the challenge of tightening a defence that has conceded heavily away from home while sustaining enough attacking threat to collect essential points. In their last five matches Leeds have posted three wins, one draw and one defeat, suggesting pockets of resilience and attacking intent that could trouble Chelsea if executed well.
H2H statistics
Across the last five competitive meetings between these clubs Chelsea have claimed three victories and Leeds two; there were no draws among those five fixtures. The most recent direct meeting ended 3:1 in favour of Leeds at their home ground, underscoring that while Chelsea are favourites on paper and at home, Leeds have previously posed problems and are capable of decisive outcomes when their tactical plan succeeds.
Last results Chelsea FC
In their last five matches across all competitions Chelsea have recorded four wins and one defeat (4-0-1). This form demonstrates a strong run of results and growing consistency under Liam Rosenior. Recent performances suggest a team finding good balance between attack and defence.
Last results Leeds United
Leeds’ recent form across the last five matches stands at three wins, one draw and one defeat (3-1-1). While this sequence reflects signs of recovery and offensive capability, it also highlights inconsistency and defensive lapses that have kept them near the bottom third of the table.
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Conclusion
Chelsea head into this fixture as the clear favourites: superior league position, stronger home record and better recent form give them the edge. Leeds possess the capacity to score and can be dangerous on the break, but their away record and defensive fragility make a positive result at Stamford Bridge unlikely. Our assessment supports a Handicap -1 Chelsea victory with both teams finding the net and a modest goals total. For bettors seeking single-market clarity the primary betting tip is a HC -1 Chelsea win, supplemented by Both Teams to Score — Yes and an Under 3.5 goals projection.
