Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction
The Premier League returns to Elland Road on Saturday, 31 January 2026, for Matchday 24 when Leeds United host Arsenal FC. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 (GMT+3). This contest pits a side fighting to climb clear of the relegation zone against the league leaders and promises tactical nuances under two coaches with contrasting trajectories: Daniel Farke for Leeds and Mikel Arteta for Arsenal.
Leeds arrive in 16th place with 26 points from a record of 6 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats, and a goal tally of 31 scored and 38 conceded. Their home form is relatively respectable (5 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats), suggesting Elland Road can be a difficult venue for visitors. Arsenal sit atop the table with 50 points from 15 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats, and boast a very positive goal difference of 42:17. The Gunners’ away record is strong (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats), which makes them clear favourites on paper.
Recent direct history heavily favours Arsenal: the last meeting resulted in a 5:0 win for the visitors, and in the last five matches across all competitions Arsenal have beaten Leeds five times. Formally, Arsenal have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last five outings in all competitions, while Leeds have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last five matches. Leeds’ most recent match ended in a 1:1 away draw at Everton; Arsenal most recently won 3:2 at home to FK Kairat. Against this backdrop, this is a fixture in which Arsenal’s consistency and defensive solidity make them the natural pick for victory.
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Main Betting Tip: Arsenal Win
We suggest a primary bet on away win. Arsenal’s advantage in quality, squad depth and league position justifies backing an away victory. Their defensive record (only 17 goals conceded across 23 matches) suggests they are capable of suppressing Leeds’ attacking threats, while their attacking output remains potent. Leeds’ home form is the chief counterargument, but the gulf in class and the psychological edge from recent head-to-head results incline the balance toward the visitors.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? No
Despite Leeds’ capacity to find the net at Elland Road, Arsenal’s defensive organisation under Mikel Arteta and the form of their back line make a clean sheet for the visitors a realistic outcome. The 5:0 victory in the recent direct meeting underlines Arsenal’s ability to control Leeds and keep them quiet at times. Therefore, a no on both teams to score is considered the preferred secondary market bet.
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Betting Tip 3: Over 2.5 Goals
Although the second suggestion predicts Leeds may be kept from scoring, Arsenal’s recent matches and Leeds’ occasional defensive vulnerabilities point toward a contest with multiple goals. Arsenal have demonstrated the ability to score freely away from home on occasions, and Leeds can be exposed in transition, which can open matches up. The combination of Arsenal’s attacking threat and Leeds’ willingness to press suggests a higher-scoring game is plausible.
Statistics for Leeds United vs Arsenal FC
Leeds United team news!
Leeds United, managed by Daniel Farke, are enduring a mixed campaign but have shown moments of resilience. They occupy 16th place with 26 points, having recorded 6 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats, with a goal difference of 31:38. On home soil the Whites have been more competitive (5 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats), and Farke’s side have registered a varied set of outcomes in recent weeks. Their last competitive outing ended as a 1:1 away draw at Everton, and their form over the last five matches reads as 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat — a run that indicates moderate stability and the capacity to avoid consecutive poor results. Tactical setup under Farke typically blends organised pressing with direct attacking moments; at Elland Road they will seek to exploit set-pieces and quick transitions.
Arsenal FC team news!
Arsenal FC, under Mikel Arteta, lead the Premier League with 50 points from 15 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats, and an impressive goals record of 42 scored and 17 conceded. Their away statistics (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats) attest to their consistency on the road. Arsenal’s most recent match produced a 3:2 home victory over FK Kairat, and their form over the last five matches stands at 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Arteta’s side combine a disciplined defensive framework with creative attacking options, and they have repeatedly demonstrated the ability to manage games intelligently, particularly away from home.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record in recent meetings is starkly in Arsenal’s favour. In the last five meetings across all competitions, Leeds have not registered a win or a draw; Arsenal have won all five encounters. The most recent direct meeting was a 5:0 away win for Arsenal, underscoring the visitors’ clear dominance in recent fixtures between the sides.
Last results Leeds United
Over the last five matches in all competitions Leeds United’s form reads as: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. This indicates a team that has shown resilience and the ability to gather points, but one whose recent results are a mixture rather than a sequence of convincing performances.
Last results Arsenal FC
Arsenal’s last five matches in all competitions yield a formline of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. This run reflects strong consistency and momentum in the league campaign, contributing to their status as title contenders and making them favourites in this fixture.
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Conclusion
Arsenal enter this match as clear favourites due to superior league position, a stronger defensive record, and dominant recent head-to-head results. Leeds’ respectable home form and recent resilience under Daniel Farke offer the hosts hope of making the game competitive, but the balance of probabilities favours an Arsenal victory. Accordingly, the recommended primary selection is an away win for Arsenal (Tip 2), supported by a secondary view that both teams will not score (No), and a preference for an Over 2.5 goals market given Arsenal’s attacking tendencies.
