Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction
The Premier League returns on Saturday, 01.11.2025 (kick-off 11:00 PM GMT +3) with an intriguing Matchday 10 fixture at Anfield, where Liverpool FC host Aston Villa. Both sides arrive level on 15 points in the table, separated only by goal difference and occupying seventh and eighth positions respectively. Liverpool, under manager Arne Slot, will seek to arrest a worrying sequence of results at home and across all competitions; Unai Emery’s Aston Villa, conversely, travel with noticeably better recent momentum. This preview combines statistical context with a set of considered betting predictions for the contest, taking into account form, head-to-head history and team characteristics.
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Betting prediction for Liverpool FC vs Aston Villa
Main betting prediction — 1X2: Draw
The principal betting prediction for this encounter is a draw. Both clubs have amassed 15 points to date, and the balance of recent results points to a tightly contested game. Liverpool have struggled for consistency, producing only one victory in their last five matches, whereas Aston Villa enter Anfield on the back of a much stronger sequence. Villa’s pragmatic style under Unai Emery and Liverpool’s defensive vulnerabilities — reflected in a narrow goal difference (16 for, 14 against) — increase the likelihood of a stalemate. The best quoted odds in the supplied market for a draw are 4.42 at Paripesa, making the X market relatively attractive for bettors who expect a cagey, evenly matched affair.
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Second betting prediction — Both teams score? Yes
Both teams to score is recommended as the second betting prediction. Liverpool have scored 16 goals in the league so far but have conceded 14, demonstrating an openness at the back that Villa can exploit. Aston Villa have also shown an ability to find the net, though with a lower overall tally (9 goals). Recent meetings and the attacking tendencies of both sides suggest that both will likely register. Paripesa lists the “Both teams to score: Yes” market at 1.62, which represents a reasonable value for a market with a high probability of occurrence in this fixture.
Third betting prediction — Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals
For the Over/Under market the advised selection is Under 3.5 goals. While both teams are capable of scoring, the combination of Liverpool’s recent defensive lapses and Villa’s conservative, controlled approach under Emery tends to produce matches of modest scoring volume rather than goal-fests. Given the narrow margins separating the teams in the table and the likely tactical caution from both managers at a critical stage of the season, an outcome with three goals or fewer is plausible. The supplied data gives an Over 3.5 goals line with explicit odds of 1.60 on Paripesa.
Fourth betting prediction — Correct score: 1:1
The concise correct-score prediction is 1:1. This scoreline aligns with the primary pick of a draw and the secondary pick that both teams will score while also respecting the expectation of a game with limited overall goals. A 1:1 result reflects Liverpool’s ability to find the net at home and Villa’s tendency to strike on the counter or from set pieces; it also mirrors the equilibrium suggested by their identical points tallies and recent performance differentials. The odds for a 1-1 correct score are 6.50 on 1Win.
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Statistics for Liverpool FC vs Aston Villa
Liverpool FC team news!
Manager: Arne Slot. Liverpool sit seventh in the Premier League with 15 points after seven wins, no draws and four defeats in the season’s opening fixtures (goals 16:14). At Anfield their home record reads three wins, no draws and one defeat, indicating reasonable comfort at home despite recent setbacks. The Reds have experienced a particularly poor run in recent weeks, as reflected in their last five matches across all competitions: one win and four defeats. Their most recent match concluded in a 0:3 home loss to Crystal Palace, a result that will concern the coaching staff and supporters ahead of this important fixture. Slot’s tactical preferences and selection choices will be closely observed as he aims to stabilise the defence and restore confidence.
Aston Villa team news!
Manager: Unai Emery. Aston Villa occupy eighth place with an identical point total to Liverpool (15 points), compiled from four wins, three draws and two defeats, producing a goal record of 9:8. Villa’s away record is modest but solid: one win, two draws and one defeat. Their recent form is markedly positive — four wins and one defeat in the last five matches across all competitions — and they arrive off a morale-boosting 1:0 home victory over Manchester City. Emery’s side are organised, defensively resolute and effective on transition, traits that make them a genuine threat away from home and a difficult proposition even for high-profile opponents at Anfield.
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H2H statistics
The pair last met in a 2:2 draw. Over the last five meetings across all competitions, Liverpool have recorded two victories while three encounters ended level; Aston Villa have not won any of those five fixtures. The head-to-head record underlines Liverpool’s historical ability to avoid defeat against Villa, yet recent draws indicate the fixture can be finely balanced and unpredictable.
Last results Liverpool FC
In their last five matches across competitions Liverpool have managed 1 win, 0 draws and suffered 4 defeats. The current form suggests vulnerability, particularly in defensive phases, and a squad under pressure to produce a prompt response at Anfield.
Last results Aston Villa
Aston Villa’s recent sequence is markedly stronger: in their last five matches they have achieved 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Their current form can be characterised as robust and confidence-building, contributing to realistic expectations that they can secure a positive result on the road.
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Conclusion
This fixture presents a clear contrast: Liverpool possess home advantage and historical pedigree at Anfield, but recent form and defensive instability diminish their status as clear favourites. Aston Villa arrive with superior recent momentum and a pragmatic game-plan under Unai Emery, rendering them a stern opponent. Given the balance in points, the head-to-head trend of draws, Liverpool’s recent decline and Villa’s upward trajectory, the most reasonable outcome is a draw, with a 1:1 scoreline the likeliest precise result under current conditions. For bettors, the draw market and the “Both teams to score — Yes” market represent the most directly supported selections from the data provided; bettors seeking lower volatility may also consider Under 3.5 goals, subject to available odds. As ever, verify up-to-the-minute team news and market prices before placing wagers.
