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Liverpool - Burnley
Premier League
Sat, 17.01.2026 – 6:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
BTTS? No

Liverpool vs Burnley prediction

Liverpool FC host Burnley FC at Anfield in a Premier League fixture that pits a top-four challenger against a side fighting to climb out of the relegation zone. Liverpool arrive in relatively stable form and sit fourth in the table with 35 points from 21 matches, while Burnley occupy 19th place with 13 points from the same number of matches. The meeting carries the clear narrative of a high-quality home side expected to exert control and a struggling away team seeking to frustrate and salvage points on the road.

For Liverpool, managed by Arne Slot, the match represents an opportunity to consolidate a Champions League place and maintain pressure on the leading pack. Their home record this season reads 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, and their overall tally of 32 goals scored versus 28 conceded indicates a side capable of scoring but not completely impervious at the back. Burnley, coached by Scott Parker, have managed only a single away win this season and present a markedly poorer defensive and offensive record (22:41 goals). For Burnley, every game is a must-win opportunity to arrest the slide and gain confidence.

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Main Tip: Both Teams To Score? No

Rationale: Given Liverpool’s ability to control matches at Anfield and Burnley’s struggles in away fixtures (1 win, 1 draw, 8 defeats on the road), a low-scoring outcome in which Burnley fail to find the net is plausible. Liverpool have shown defensive resilience in recent fixtures and are likely to dominate possession and create the clearer chances. Burnley’s scoring record away from home is poor, and against a club that has beaten them consistently in recent history, a shutout for Liverpool is a realistic expectation. The best available odd for BTTS market is 1.70 on Betwwiner.

Betting Tip 2: Liverpool Win

Liverpool are the clear favourites based on form, squad quality and home advantage. They have enjoyed considerable success in recent direct encounters, having won the last five meetings across all competitions. Liverpool’s home form is significantly stronger than Burnley’s away record, and Burnley’s defensive frailties (41 goals conceded overall) make them vulnerable at Anfield. The more consistent recent performances for Liverpool – remaining unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. The best available odd for a Liverpool win is 1.27 on Betwinner.

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Betting Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals

Liverpool possess attacking quality, and although Burnley employs a pragmatic approach and the defensive focus away from home, this encounter is likely to produce at least three total goals. Historical context of Liverpool scoring for form at home is also in support of this outcome.

Betting Predictions from betting-tips.africa

Statistics for Liverpool FC vs Burnley FC

Liverpool FC team news!

Coached by Arne Slot, Liverpool have 35 points and occupy 4th position with a record of 10 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats, and a goal difference reflecting 32 scored and 28 conceded. At Anfield they have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats this season. Their recent form across the last five matches comprises 2 wins and 3 draws with no defeats, indicating resilience and a degree of consistency that should favour them in this fixture. Under Arne Slot, Liverpool have displayed tactical flexibility and greater defensive organisation compared with earlier in the campaign.

Burnley FC team news!

Under the tutelage of Burnley Scott Parker, sit in 19th place with 13 points, derived from 3 wins, 4 draws and 14 defeats and a goals tally of 22 scored and 41 conceded. Their away record reads 1 win, 1 draw and 8 defeats, underlining significant difficulties on the road. In their last five matches across competitions Burnley have managed 1 win, 2 draws and suffered 2 defeats. The squad will likely adopt a conservative approach at Anfield, prioritising defensive organisation and counter-attacking opportunities.

H2H statistics

The head-to-head record underlines Liverpool’s dominance in recent encounters: in the last five meetings across all competitions Liverpool have claimed five wins, with no draws and no victories for Burnley. The most recent direct meeting resulted in a 1:0 away win for Liverpool. This historical superiority suggests a psychological and tactical edge for the home side heading into this match.

Last results Liverpool FC

In their last five competitive fixtures Liverpool have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, remaining unbeaten across that span. The current form indicates a team that is difficult to beat, with a tendency to control matches and secure points even when not at their most prolific.

Last results Burnley FC

Burnley’s last five competitive games have produced 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Their form reflects inconsistency and defensive vulnerability, particularly in away fixtures, and contributes to the pressure the team faces as it seeks to climb out of the relegation area.

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Conclusion

In conclusion, Liverpool are clear favourites to secure victory at Anfield based on superior form, home advantage and an outstanding recent head-to-head record against Burnley. Burnley’s struggles on the road, combined with their inferior goalscoring and defensive statistics, make them unlikely to overturn these trends. The recommended match outcome is both teams to score? no, a Liverpool win, and over 2.5 goals.

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