Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction
The Premier League returns to St James’ Park on Saturday, 22 November 2025, when Newcastle United host Manchester City in a fixture scheduled for 8:30 PM GMT +3 on Matchday 12. This meeting pits Eddie Howe’s Newcastle, currently 14th in the table with 12 points and a goal difference of 11:14, against Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City, placed second with 22 points and a striking 23:8 goal record. Newcastle head into the match having won three and lost two of their last five fixtures across all competitions, while City have recorded four wins and one defeat in their most recent five matches. The last direct encounter between the clubs ended with a convincing 4:0 victory for Manchester City, and the all-competitions head-to-head over the last five meetings reads Newcastle 1 win, 1 draw and 3 wins for Manchester City.
This preview will present a reasoned betting prediction for the fixture and offer three supplementary betting tips, with associated rationale and the best available odds from the supplied data.
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Main betting prediction – Manchester City Win (Draw No Bet)
Manchester City enter this fixture as clear favourites. They occupy the upper reaches of the table, have a markedly superior goals-for tally and boast increased attacking potency compared with Newcastle. Pep Guardiola’s side have demonstrated consistent scoring ability this season and are better balanced defensively, as reflected in their 23 goals scored versus only eight conceded. Newcastle, despite home comforts at St James’ Park and a respectable three home wins this season, have struggled for consistency and have conceded more than they have scored. The recent heavy 4:0 result in the direct meeting reinforces City’s psychological advantage. Best odds on this market at 1win with odds of 1.45.
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Second betting tip — Both teams score? Yes
Prediction: Both teams will score — Yes. Rationale: Newcastle have shown willingness to attack and score, contributing 11 goals in the league, while Manchester City have been prolific in front of goal. Even when City dominate possession, they have occasionally been breached defensively this season; conversely, Newcastle can exploit transitional moments at home. The combination of Newcastle’s attacking intent and City’s relentless forward play suggests both sides will find the net. This market is attractive because it recognises City’s scoring reliability and Newcastle’s capacity to convert chances at St James’ Park. Best odds on this market (supplied): Both teams to score — YES at Betwinner with odds of 1.58.
Third betting tip — Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals. Rationale: Manchester City’s fixtures are frequently high-scoring due to their offensive philosophy under Pep Guardiola; they have already accumulated 23 league goals. Newcastle have been involved in matches that produce multiple goals, reflected in a negative goal difference but several scorelines where both sides contributed. The last direct meeting being 4:0 also points to the potential for more than three goals when these sides meet. Tactical patterns indicate City will press for goals, and Newcastle, while defending resolutely at times, have conceded enough to make an Over 2.5 outcome plausible. Best odds for Over 2.5 goals on 1Win at 1.66.
Fourth betting tip — Correct score: 1:2 Manchester City
Prediction: Correct score 1:2 in favour of Manchester City. Rationale: This scoreline balances City’s tendency to score multiple goals with Newcastle’s ability to respond offensively at home. A 1:2 prediction acknowledges Manchester City as favourites while allowing for a competitive Newcastle performance culminating in a narrow away victory. The selection aligns with the broader match outlook: City control possession and create opportunities, but Newcastle exploit moments to score themselves. Best odds on this market (supplied): 8.00 on Betwinner.
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Statistics for Newcastle United vs Manchester City
Newcastle United team news!
Manager: Eddie Howe. Current league position: 14th with 12 points. Overall record this season: 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded. Home record: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Form over the last five matches across all competitions: 3 wins and 2 defeats. Newcastle’s strengths lie in their ability to secure wins at St James’ Park and to produce spirited attacking spells; weaknesses are evident in defensive lapses and inconsistency across the campaign. Under Eddie Howe, the team tends to be well organised but can struggle to contain sustained pressure from elite attacking sides.
Manchester City team news!
Manager: Pep Guardiola. Current league position: 2nd with 22 points. Overall record this season: 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with a remarkable 23 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away record: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Form over the last five matches across all competitions: 4 wins and 1 defeat. Manchester City’s chief attributes are possession dominance, high-quality chance creation and clinical finishing; defensively they are generally robust but have shown rare vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit on the break.
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H2H statistics
In the last five competitive meetings between Newcastle United and Manchester City, the record stands at Newcastle 1 win, 1 draw and 3 wins for Manchester City. The most recent direct meeting ended with a 4:0 home victory for Manchester City, illustrating the magnitude of the challenge Newcastle face. Historically, City have tended to assert control in encounters between the sides, although individual matches have occasionally produced surprises.
Last results Newcastle United
Over their last five matches in all competitions, Newcastle United have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats. Their current form shows periods of strong offensive work interleaved with defensive frailties; inconsistency explains their mid-to-lower table standing despite home successes.
Last results Manchester City
Manchester City’s last five matches across all competitions have produced 4 wins and 1 defeat. Their recent form reflects an effective attack and a generally reliable defensive outlook; City arrive in Tyneside with momentum and confidence following a sequence of successful performances.
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Conclusion
Manchester City arrive at St James’ Park as the clear favourites. Their league position, goal difference, recent form and the psychological advantage from the last emphatic 4:0 meeting combine to make them the most likely winners. Newcastle possess home advantages and the capacity to score, so the match is unlikely to be a one-sided affair; however, the preponderance of evidence supports an away victory. The formal prediction is a Manchester City Win (DNB), with a recommended scoreline of 1:2. Complementary selections—both teams to score (Yes) and Over 2.5 goals—align with the anticipated open nature of the fixture. Bettors should verify odds with their preferred bookmakers before placing wagers and consider that football outcomes can be influenced by last-minute absences, referee decisions and matchday conditions.
