Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction

Newcastle faced their first defeat of the season, 3-1 to Fulham, after starting strong with four wins and a draw in their opening 5 EPL games. Now, they’ll face another challenge as defending champions Manchester City roll into town. Despite Newcastle’s impressive record at St James’ Park, where they’ve gone unbeaten in 10 Premier League matches (six wins and four draws), memories of past encounters with the Citizens linger heavily. The Magpies have struggled against City, managing just one win in their last 33 home meetings since 2005, accompanied by 5 draws and a staggering 27 losses.

Manchester City on the other hand recently secured a crucial 2-1 victory against Watford in the EFL Cup, providing a much-needed breather after their intense showdown with Arsenal, where they salvaged a draw with a dramatic 98th-minute equalizer. However, the challenge ahead is significant as Pep Guardiola heads to Tyneside without Rodri, who picked up an injury during the Arsenal match. Rodri has been essential to Manchester City’s impressive run of 28 unbeaten games in the EPL, including 13 on the road. Finding an adequate replacement for him will be at the forefront of Guardiola’s preparations.

Manchester City has shown no mercy against Newcastle in their recent matchups, scoring a staggering 14 goals in just 4 away games. However, with key player Rodri sidelined and De Bruyne also uncertain to play, Newcastle could also fancy their chances to get on the score sheet. Our Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction is in favor of the Citizens to win by a 3-1 final score.

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Main tip: Correct Score 1-3

Our Newcastle vs Manchester City predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Correct Score 1-3

3 reasons why we back City to win by a 3-1 score:

• Manchester City has averaged 2.80 goals in their previous 5 visits to Newcastle
• Newcastle have also scored at least a goal in their last 5 home encounters with City
• Manchester City have won 4 out of their previous 5 H2H meetings with Newcastle

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for the bet “Correct Score 1-3”

The odd of 12.00 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 8% chance that Manchester City will win this game by a 3-1 final score.

Odds comparison for Correct Score 1-3

Betboro – odd 12.00
Betwinner – odd 11.80

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back at least 3 goals to be featured:

• 4 out of Newcastle’s recent 5 matches have produced over 2 total match goals
• 4 of Manchester City’s last 5 games have featured at least 3 total match goals
• Man City’s last 5 visits to Newcastle have produced 23 total goals, (4.60 goal average)

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.50 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 67% chance that this game will produce at least 3 total match goals.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.50
Betboro – odd 1.48

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Prediction 3: Both Teams to Score

3 reasons why we back both teams to find the net:

• Newcastle’s previous 5 matches saw both teams scoring at full-time
• Manchester have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 2 matches
• 4 of their last 5 meetings saw both teams find the back of the net

Statistics Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction

Team news Newcastle!

• Absentees: Newcastle remains strategically hindered as they grapple with long-term absentees Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles, both crucial to their defensive lineup. Meanwhile, Callum Wilson and Lewis Miley are nursing back and knee injuries respectively
• Starters: Following a disappointing recent defeat, manager Eddie Howe is expected to implement tactical changes in the defense; with Lewis Hall and Valentino Livramento reclaiming their spots in the starting XI after being sidelined on the bench for the last match

Team news Manchester City!

• Absentees: Manchester City faced a major setback as Rodri was forced off the pitch with an ACL injury, sidelining him for the remainder of the season. The team’s struggles deepen as he joins Nathan Ake and Oscar Bobb among those absent due to long-term injuries
• Doubtful: Captain Kevin De Bruyne remains doubtful after missing two consecutive games with a groin issue
• Starters: With Rodri sidelined, City will look to Kovacic to take center stage in midfield. Meanwhile, after resting most of his key starters in the midweek EFL, we should see the return of Ederson in goal, Akanji in defense, Servinho, Silva, and Gundogan partnering with Haaland upfront.

H2H statistics

We take a look at their last 31 meetings

• Manchester City have 25 wins, Newcastle have 3 wins, and 3 games were drawn
• These matches featured an average of 2.85 goals per game
• In their last meetings, Manchester City won by 2-0 final score

Latest results Newcastle

• 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
• They lost 3-1 to Fulham during their last match

Latest results Manchester City

• 3 wins, and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
• 9 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.80 goals per match
• They won 2-1 against Watford during their last match

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