Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction
The Premier League season concludes with an intriguing fixture at the Stadium of Light on Sunday, 24 May 2026, kick-off 6:00 PM GMT +3. This matchday 38 encounter pits Sunderland AFC (10th, 51 points) against Chelsea FC (8th, 52 points). Both clubs arrive with objectives that are largely settled in the table but still require professional conclusions to the campaign: Sunderland to consolidate a respectable mid-table finish on home soil, and Chelsea to secure final placement and end the season with momentum.
Sunderland enter the match having recorded 13 wins, 12 draws and 12 defeats, with a goals tally of 40 scored and 47 conceded; their home record stands at 8 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats. Chelsea have compiled 14 wins, 10 draws and 13 defeats, scoring 57 and conceding 50, and have an away record of 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats. The last direct meeting between these clubs ended in a 2:1 away victory for Sunderland. The head-to-head over the last five meetings reads: 2 wins Sunderland, 0 draws, 3 wins Chelsea.
Below we present our betting tips and analysis for this fixture, listing the principal selection followed by additional market recommendations and the best available odds furnished in the supplied data.
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Main Betting tip — Double Chance – Chelsea/Draw
Our primary betting tip is a Double Chance – Chelsea/Draw. Although Sunderland enjoy home advantage and have shown resilience throughout the campaign, Chelsea hold a marginal superiority in overall goal production and possess the squad depth to exploit end-of-season fixture variability. Chelsea’s slightly higher league placement and a more productive attack (57 goals) suggest they can impose themselves even on the road. The manager Calum McFarlane has stabilized results in recent weeks and will likely set up his side to control the match tempo and seek a good performance. Best available odd on this market (provided): Double Chance – Chelsea/Draw at Paripesa, odd 1.31.
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2nd Betting tip — Both teams score? Yes
We predict that both teams will score. Sunderland have conceded 47 goals across the campaign and, despite home form that has produced eight victories, their defensive vulnerabilities persist. Chelsea, by contrast, have demonstrated consistent scoring capability (57 goals this season). The head-to-head history and recent meeting in which Sunderland recorded a 2:1 win indicate that goals at both ends are probable. Additionally, the seasonal patterns for both sides and their recent forms suggest attacking intent will be present, increasing the likelihood of goals for each team. Best available odd on this market (provided): Both teams to score — YES at 1Win, odd 1.64.
3rd Betting tip — Over 2.5 goals
For the Over/Under market, we favour Over 2.5 goals. The rationale combines Sunderland’s mixed defensive record (47 conceded) with Chelsea’s comparatively prolific attack. Their mutual willingness to commit players forward in order to secure a positive end-of-season result increases the probability of multiple scoring incidents. Moreover, the recent scoring form of both sides supports a contest yielding three or more goals. Bettors seeking value may find Over 2.5 attractive, especially when combined with the Both Teams To Score selection. Best available odd on this market: 1.77 on Paripesa.
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Statistics for Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC
Sunderland AFC team news!
Manager: Régis Le Bris. Sunderland conclude the season on 51 points with a 13-12-12 record and a 40:47 goals differential. Régis Le Bris has overseen a side that is competitive at the Stadium of Light: Sunderland’s home record reads 8 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats. Their recent form consists of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last five matches across all competitions. Key elements of Sunderland’s campaign have been a structured counter-attacking approach and an emphasis on set-piece effectiveness, although defensive lapses have cost points at stages throughout the season.
Chelsea FC team news!
Manager: Calum McFarlane. Chelsea occupy 8th place on 52 points, with a season ledger of 14 wins, 10 draws and 13 defeats and a 57:50 goals record. On the road they have achieved 7 victories, 5 draws and 6 defeats. Chelsea’s recent five-game sequence shows 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in all competitions. Under Calum McFarlane the team have sought to blend pressing and possession, producing an effective attacking unit while sometimes being exposed defensively on transitions. Chelsea will be expected to field a side capable of taking initiative and converting goal-scoring opportunities.
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H2H statistics
Over the last five meetings between these clubs across all competitions, Chelsea have recorded three wins to Sunderland’s two, with no draws. The most recent direct encounter concluded with Sunderland securing a 2:1 away victory. The H2H balance indicates competitive matches historically, often with goals and momentum shifts, and suggests no overwhelming psychological advantage for either side going into this final-day fixture.
Last results Sunderland AFC
Sunderland’s form in the last five matches shows 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, indicating a mixed run of results with sporadic positive performances but also periods of inconsistency. They come into this fixture having registered an away victory in their most recent match, demonstrating the capacity to perform under pressure away from home.
Last results Chelsea FC
Chelsea’s recent five-game record reads 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. This sequence reflects an up-and-down late-season pattern, combining convincing victories with setbacks. Their latest match was a home win, providing momentum, but overall the form is not entirely stable.
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Conclusion
This fixture is finely balanced. Chelsea are marginal favourites by virtue of a slightly superior goal record, higher league position and the betting market’s valuation. Sunderland, however, are a resolute home side under Régis Le Bris and possess the capacity to make this match competitive, as recent and historical meetings demonstrate. On balance, our principal assessment favours a Double Chance – Chelsea/Draw, with both teams expected to score and the match likely to produce multiple goals. As always, consider bankroll management and check up-to-date team news and late injuries before placing stakes.
